Cumulative survival (A) and life expectancy (B) of western Hudson Bay polar bears from Jolly-Seber models that ignore age structure (black) or incorporate age structure and assume annual survival is constant (blue) or a quadratic function of age (red).

Posterior medians and 95% credible intervals are shown. Cumulative survival and life expectancy estimates are conditional on surviving to two years of age (i.e., independent bears). Upper credible bound for life expectancy from the age structure model with constant survival is > 100 years and not...

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Main Authors:	Nathan J. Hostetter (8638365), Nicholas J. Lunn (3298062), Evan S. Richardson (2911094), Eric V. Regehr (9258385), Sarah J. Converse (2910011)
Format:	Still Image
Language:	unknown
Published:	2021
Subjects:	Ecology Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified novel age-structured Jolly-Seber model age information age-structured Jolly-Seber model age-dependent survival age-structured Jolly-Seber models forecast population changes population age structure population growth rates population dynamics age structure Median survival estimates capture-recapture data wildlife population studies Hudson Bay Hudson
Online Access:	https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252748.g005

id	ftsmithonian:oai:figshare.com:article/14756667
record_format	openpolar
spelling	ftsmithonian:oai:figshare.com:article/14756667 2023-05-15T16:35:25+02:00 Cumulative survival (A) and life expectancy (B) of western Hudson Bay polar bears from Jolly-Seber models that ignore age structure (black) or incorporate age structure and assume annual survival is constant (blue) or a quadratic function of age (red). Nathan J. Hostetter (8638365) Nicholas J. Lunn (3298062) Evan S. Richardson (2911094) Eric V. Regehr (9258385) Sarah J. Converse (2910011) 2021-06-09T17:35:08Z https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252748.g005 unknown https://figshare.com/articles/figure/Cumulative_survival_A_and_life_expectancy_B_of_western_Hudson_Bay_polar_bears_from_Jolly-Seber_models_that_ignore_age_structure_black_or_incorporate_age_structure_and_assume_annual_survival_is_constant_blue_or_a_quadratic_function_of_age_re/14756667 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0252748.g005 CC BY 4.0 CC-BY Ecology Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified novel age-structured Jolly-Seber model age information age-structured Jolly-Seber model age-dependent survival age-structured Jolly-Seber models forecast population changes population age structure population growth rates population dynamics age structure Median survival estimates capture-recapture data wildlife population studies Image Figure 2021 ftsmithonian https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252748.g005 2021-06-13T14:47:30Z Posterior medians and 95% credible intervals are shown. Cumulative survival and life expectancy estimates are conditional on surviving to two years of age (i.e., independent bears). Upper credible bound for life expectancy from the age structure model with constant survival is > 100 years and not shown (see Results ). Still Image Hudson Bay Unknown Hudson Bay Hudson
institution	Open Polar
collection	Unknown
op_collection_id	ftsmithonian
language	unknown
topic	Ecology Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified novel age-structured Jolly-Seber model age information age-structured Jolly-Seber model age-dependent survival age-structured Jolly-Seber models forecast population changes population age structure population growth rates population dynamics age structure Median survival estimates capture-recapture data wildlife population studies
spellingShingle	Ecology Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified novel age-structured Jolly-Seber model age information age-structured Jolly-Seber model age-dependent survival age-structured Jolly-Seber models forecast population changes population age structure population growth rates population dynamics age structure Median survival estimates capture-recapture data wildlife population studies Nathan J. Hostetter (8638365) Nicholas J. Lunn (3298062) Evan S. Richardson (2911094) Eric V. Regehr (9258385) Sarah J. Converse (2910011) Cumulative survival (A) and life expectancy (B) of western Hudson Bay polar bears from Jolly-Seber models that ignore age structure (black) or incorporate age structure and assume annual survival is constant (blue) or a quadratic function of age (red).
topic_facet	Ecology Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified novel age-structured Jolly-Seber model age information age-structured Jolly-Seber model age-dependent survival age-structured Jolly-Seber models forecast population changes population age structure population growth rates population dynamics age structure Median survival estimates capture-recapture data wildlife population studies
description	Posterior medians and 95% credible intervals are shown. Cumulative survival and life expectancy estimates are conditional on surviving to two years of age (i.e., independent bears). Upper credible bound for life expectancy from the age structure model with constant survival is > 100 years and not shown (see Results ).
format	Still Image
author	Nathan J. Hostetter (8638365) Nicholas J. Lunn (3298062) Evan S. Richardson (2911094) Eric V. Regehr (9258385) Sarah J. Converse (2910011)
author_facet	Nathan J. Hostetter (8638365) Nicholas J. Lunn (3298062) Evan S. Richardson (2911094) Eric V. Regehr (9258385) Sarah J. Converse (2910011)
author_sort	Nathan J. Hostetter (8638365)
title	Cumulative survival (A) and life expectancy (B) of western Hudson Bay polar bears from Jolly-Seber models that ignore age structure (black) or incorporate age structure and assume annual survival is constant (blue) or a quadratic function of age (red).
title_short	Cumulative survival (A) and life expectancy (B) of western Hudson Bay polar bears from Jolly-Seber models that ignore age structure (black) or incorporate age structure and assume annual survival is constant (blue) or a quadratic function of age (red).
title_full	Cumulative survival (A) and life expectancy (B) of western Hudson Bay polar bears from Jolly-Seber models that ignore age structure (black) or incorporate age structure and assume annual survival is constant (blue) or a quadratic function of age (red).
title_fullStr	Cumulative survival (A) and life expectancy (B) of western Hudson Bay polar bears from Jolly-Seber models that ignore age structure (black) or incorporate age structure and assume annual survival is constant (blue) or a quadratic function of age (red).
title_full_unstemmed	Cumulative survival (A) and life expectancy (B) of western Hudson Bay polar bears from Jolly-Seber models that ignore age structure (black) or incorporate age structure and assume annual survival is constant (blue) or a quadratic function of age (red).
title_sort	cumulative survival (a) and life expectancy (b) of western hudson bay polar bears from jolly-seber models that ignore age structure (black) or incorporate age structure and assume annual survival is constant (blue) or a quadratic function of age (red).
publishDate	2021
url	https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252748.g005
geographic	Hudson Bay Hudson
geographic_facet	Hudson Bay Hudson
genre	Hudson Bay
genre_facet	Hudson Bay
op_relation	https://figshare.com/articles/figure/Cumulative_survival_A_and_life_expectancy_B_of_western_Hudson_Bay_polar_bears_from_Jolly-Seber_models_that_ignore_age_structure_black_or_incorporate_age_structure_and_assume_annual_survival_is_constant_blue_or_a_quadratic_function_of_age_re/14756667 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0252748.g005
op_rights	CC BY 4.0
op_rightsnorm	CC-BY
op_doi	https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252748.g005
_version_	1766025629493362688

Cumulative survival (A) and life expectancy (B) of western Hudson Bay polar bears from Jolly-Seber models that ignore age structure (black) or incorporate age structure and assume annual survival is constant (blue) or a quadratic function of age (red).

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