Bayesískt stigskipt líkan fyrir daglegan meðalhita

• Main Author: Snæbjörn Helgi Emilsson 1984-
• Other Authors: Háskóli Íslands
• Format: Thesis
• Language: English
• Published: 2012
• Subjects: Iðnaðarverkfræði; Líkanagerð; Hitastig; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Reykjavík; Akureyri; Stórhöfði; Dalatangi; Iceland
• Online Access: http://hdl.handle.net/1946/12062

In this thesis, a Bayesian hierarchical model for daily average temperature is presented. A multivariate normal distribution is selected as the data distribution due to its flexibility and theoretical basis. The linear fit is assumed to be governed by a seasonal effect parameter vector, a linear tre...