Climate Change and Fate of Arctic Oil Spills
To investigate how the fate of oil released in the Arctic Ocean may change with a warmer climate, we have performed ensembles of oil spill simulations using Arctic environmental information (winds, currents, ice cover, etc.), covering the periods 2009 - 2013 and 2050 - 2054. Three different scenario...
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ftsintef:oai:sintef.brage.unit.no:11250/2677133 2024-09-15T17:53:56+00:00 Climate Change and Fate of Arctic Oil Spills Nordam, Tor Beegle-Krause, Cynthia Juyne Reed, Mark 2016-06 application/pdf https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2677133 eng eng Environment and Climate Change Canada AMOP Technical Seminar on Environmental Contamination and Response - 2008 - 2017 Proceedings of the thirty-ninth AMOP Technical Seminar, Halifax, NS, Canada, June 2-4 2016 urn:isbn:978-0-660-04851-2 https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2677133 cristin:1828338 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internasjonal http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.no 36-52 Chapter 2016 ftsintef 2024-08-30T03:27:11Z To investigate how the fate of oil released in the Arctic Ocean may change with a warmer climate, we have performed ensembles of oil spill simulations using Arctic environmental information (winds, currents, ice cover, etc.), covering the periods 2009 - 2013 and 2050 - 2054. Three different scenarios have been investigated: a well blowout, a shipping accident and a pipeline rupture. For each scenario, approximately 700 simulations were performed, with all parameters kept constant except the start date, which was chosen to be every five days during the two five-year periods covered by the available data. In this way, the underlying environmental data was sampled, allowing us to obtain statistical information on the influence of the climate on the footprint and fate of an arctic oil spill. The results mainly show that partial or full ice cover has the effect of reducing the spread of oil, due to damping the effects of wind and waves, and the ice increasingly controlling oil movements. Evaporation is also reduced. The length of oiled shoreline for the well blowout scenario is found to be almost twice as large in the future scenarios, while for the pipeline rupture and the tanker accident the amount of oil on the shore is slightly higher in the present, although there is little or no change in the length of oiled shoreline. publishedVersion Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Ocean Climate change SINTEF Open |
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English |
description |
To investigate how the fate of oil released in the Arctic Ocean may change with a warmer climate, we have performed ensembles of oil spill simulations using Arctic environmental information (winds, currents, ice cover, etc.), covering the periods 2009 - 2013 and 2050 - 2054. Three different scenarios have been investigated: a well blowout, a shipping accident and a pipeline rupture. For each scenario, approximately 700 simulations were performed, with all parameters kept constant except the start date, which was chosen to be every five days during the two five-year periods covered by the available data. In this way, the underlying environmental data was sampled, allowing us to obtain statistical information on the influence of the climate on the footprint and fate of an arctic oil spill. The results mainly show that partial or full ice cover has the effect of reducing the spread of oil, due to damping the effects of wind and waves, and the ice increasingly controlling oil movements. Evaporation is also reduced. The length of oiled shoreline for the well blowout scenario is found to be almost twice as large in the future scenarios, while for the pipeline rupture and the tanker accident the amount of oil on the shore is slightly higher in the present, although there is little or no change in the length of oiled shoreline. publishedVersion |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Nordam, Tor Beegle-Krause, Cynthia Juyne Reed, Mark |
spellingShingle |
Nordam, Tor Beegle-Krause, Cynthia Juyne Reed, Mark Climate Change and Fate of Arctic Oil Spills |
author_facet |
Nordam, Tor Beegle-Krause, Cynthia Juyne Reed, Mark |
author_sort |
Nordam, Tor |
title |
Climate Change and Fate of Arctic Oil Spills |
title_short |
Climate Change and Fate of Arctic Oil Spills |
title_full |
Climate Change and Fate of Arctic Oil Spills |
title_fullStr |
Climate Change and Fate of Arctic Oil Spills |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate Change and Fate of Arctic Oil Spills |
title_sort |
climate change and fate of arctic oil spills |
publisher |
Environment and Climate Change Canada |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2677133 |
genre |
Arctic Ocean Climate change |
genre_facet |
Arctic Ocean Climate change |
op_source |
36-52 |
op_relation |
AMOP Technical Seminar on Environmental Contamination and Response - 2008 - 2017 Proceedings of the thirty-ninth AMOP Technical Seminar, Halifax, NS, Canada, June 2-4 2016 urn:isbn:978-0-660-04851-2 https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2677133 cristin:1828338 |
op_rights |
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internasjonal http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.no |
_version_ |
1810430065167564800 |