Understanding the Risk of an Avian Flu Pandemic: Rational Waiting or Precautionary Failure?
The precautionary principle (PP) has been proposed as the proper guide for the decision‐making criteria to be adopted in the face of the new catastrophic risks that have arisen in the last decades. This article puts forward a workable definition of the PP based on the so‐called α‐maximin expected ut...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00761.x |
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ftrepec:oai:RePEc:wly:riskan:v:26:y:2006:i:3:p:617-630 2023-05-15T15:34:13+02:00 Understanding the Risk of an Avian Flu Pandemic: Rational Waiting or Precautionary Failure? Marcello Basili Maurizio Franzini https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00761.x unknown https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00761.x article ftrepec https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00761.x 2020-12-04T13:40:56Z The precautionary principle (PP) has been proposed as the proper guide for the decision‐making criteria to be adopted in the face of the new catastrophic risks that have arisen in the last decades. This article puts forward a workable definition of the PP based on the so‐called α‐maximin expected utility approach, applying it to the possible outbreak of the avian flu disease among humans. Moreover, it shows how the shortage and/or lack of effective drugs against the infection of the virus A(H5N1) among humans can be considered a precautionary failure. Article in Journal/Newspaper Avian flu RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) Risk Analysis 26 3 617 630 |
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Open Polar |
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RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) |
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ftrepec |
language |
unknown |
description |
The precautionary principle (PP) has been proposed as the proper guide for the decision‐making criteria to be adopted in the face of the new catastrophic risks that have arisen in the last decades. This article puts forward a workable definition of the PP based on the so‐called α‐maximin expected utility approach, applying it to the possible outbreak of the avian flu disease among humans. Moreover, it shows how the shortage and/or lack of effective drugs against the infection of the virus A(H5N1) among humans can be considered a precautionary failure. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Marcello Basili Maurizio Franzini |
spellingShingle |
Marcello Basili Maurizio Franzini Understanding the Risk of an Avian Flu Pandemic: Rational Waiting or Precautionary Failure? |
author_facet |
Marcello Basili Maurizio Franzini |
author_sort |
Marcello Basili |
title |
Understanding the Risk of an Avian Flu Pandemic: Rational Waiting or Precautionary Failure? |
title_short |
Understanding the Risk of an Avian Flu Pandemic: Rational Waiting or Precautionary Failure? |
title_full |
Understanding the Risk of an Avian Flu Pandemic: Rational Waiting or Precautionary Failure? |
title_fullStr |
Understanding the Risk of an Avian Flu Pandemic: Rational Waiting or Precautionary Failure? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Understanding the Risk of an Avian Flu Pandemic: Rational Waiting or Precautionary Failure? |
title_sort |
understanding the risk of an avian flu pandemic: rational waiting or precautionary failure? |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00761.x |
genre |
Avian flu |
genre_facet |
Avian flu |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00761.x |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00761.x |
container_title |
Risk Analysis |
container_volume |
26 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
617 |
op_container_end_page |
630 |
_version_ |
1766364697120997376 |