Economic feasibility of an NSR/SCR-combined container service on the Asia-Europe lane: a new approach dynamically considering sea ice extent
The trend towards global warming and the rapid decline in the extent of summer Arctic sea ice over recent years has increased the feasibility of international Arctic shipping. In this study we propose a seasonal NSR (North Sea Route)/SCR (Suez Canal Route)-combined shipping service linking Shanghai...
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ftrepec:oai:RePEc:taf:marpmg:v:45:y:2018:i:4:p:514-529 2023-05-15T14:46:39+02:00 Economic feasibility of an NSR/SCR-combined container service on the Asia-Europe lane: a new approach dynamically considering sea ice extent Hua Xu Dong Yang Jinxian Weng http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03088839.2018.1443521 unknown http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03088839.2018.1443521 article ftrepec 2020-12-04T13:32:46Z The trend towards global warming and the rapid decline in the extent of summer Arctic sea ice over recent years has increased the feasibility of international Arctic shipping. In this study we propose a seasonal NSR (North Sea Route)/SCR (Suez Canal Route)-combined shipping service linking Shanghai and Rotterdam, using the Northern Sea Route during the economical navigable window but using the traditional Suez Canal Route at other times. Different from the previous literatures, this paper dynamically considers the sea ice extent in the model, which is more reasonable for the assessment of Arctic container shipping, because fuel consumption is highly related to ship speed, while ship speed is determined by the relative distances of ice-covered and ice-free route stages. A new approach is developed to predict the time points at which the ship enters and exits the ice-covered stage, given that both the ship position and the extent of sea ice are constantly changing. The results show that the NSR/SCR-combined Arctic container service can be more economical than the SCR, given lower NSR tariffs. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Global warming Northern Sea Route Sea ice RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) Arctic |
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Open Polar |
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RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) |
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ftrepec |
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description |
The trend towards global warming and the rapid decline in the extent of summer Arctic sea ice over recent years has increased the feasibility of international Arctic shipping. In this study we propose a seasonal NSR (North Sea Route)/SCR (Suez Canal Route)-combined shipping service linking Shanghai and Rotterdam, using the Northern Sea Route during the economical navigable window but using the traditional Suez Canal Route at other times. Different from the previous literatures, this paper dynamically considers the sea ice extent in the model, which is more reasonable for the assessment of Arctic container shipping, because fuel consumption is highly related to ship speed, while ship speed is determined by the relative distances of ice-covered and ice-free route stages. A new approach is developed to predict the time points at which the ship enters and exits the ice-covered stage, given that both the ship position and the extent of sea ice are constantly changing. The results show that the NSR/SCR-combined Arctic container service can be more economical than the SCR, given lower NSR tariffs. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hua Xu Dong Yang Jinxian Weng |
spellingShingle |
Hua Xu Dong Yang Jinxian Weng Economic feasibility of an NSR/SCR-combined container service on the Asia-Europe lane: a new approach dynamically considering sea ice extent |
author_facet |
Hua Xu Dong Yang Jinxian Weng |
author_sort |
Hua Xu |
title |
Economic feasibility of an NSR/SCR-combined container service on the Asia-Europe lane: a new approach dynamically considering sea ice extent |
title_short |
Economic feasibility of an NSR/SCR-combined container service on the Asia-Europe lane: a new approach dynamically considering sea ice extent |
title_full |
Economic feasibility of an NSR/SCR-combined container service on the Asia-Europe lane: a new approach dynamically considering sea ice extent |
title_fullStr |
Economic feasibility of an NSR/SCR-combined container service on the Asia-Europe lane: a new approach dynamically considering sea ice extent |
title_full_unstemmed |
Economic feasibility of an NSR/SCR-combined container service on the Asia-Europe lane: a new approach dynamically considering sea ice extent |
title_sort |
economic feasibility of an nsr/scr-combined container service on the asia-europe lane: a new approach dynamically considering sea ice extent |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03088839.2018.1443521 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Global warming Northern Sea Route Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Global warming Northern Sea Route Sea ice |
op_relation |
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03088839.2018.1443521 |
_version_ |
1766317860485857280 |