Key criteria influencing the choice of Arctic shipping: a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process model
As Arctic sea ice shrinks due to global warming, the Northern Sea Route (NSR) and the Northwest Passage (NWP) offer a substantial reduction in shipping distance between Asia and the European and North American continents, respectively, when compared to conventional routes through the Suez and Panama...
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ftrepec:oai:RePEc:taf:marpmg:v:45:y:2018:i:4:p:422-438 2023-05-15T14:39:35+02:00 Key criteria influencing the choice of Arctic shipping: a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process model Po-Hsing Tseng Kevin Cullinane http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03088839.2018.1443225 unknown http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03088839.2018.1443225 article ftrepec 2020-12-04T13:41:49Z As Arctic sea ice shrinks due to global warming, the Northern Sea Route (NSR) and the Northwest Passage (NWP) offer a substantial reduction in shipping distance between Asia and the European and North American continents, respectively, when compared to conventional routes through the Suez and Panama Canals. However, Arctic shipping routes have many problems associated with their use. The main objective of this paper is to identify the key criteria that influence the decisions of shipping operators with respect to using Arctic shipping routes. A multi-criteria decision-making methodology, the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process, is applied to rank four potential categories of criteria (‘economic’, ‘technical’, ‘political’ and ‘safety’ factors) and their sub-criteria.The results of the analysis suggest that, on aggregate, ‘economic’ is the most important category of influential factors, followed by ‘safety’, ‘technical’ and ‘political’ factors. The paper concludes, however, that the most influential specific sub-criteria relate to risks that lie mainly within the ‘safety’ and ‘political’ domains and that, especially in combination, these overwhelm the importance which is attached to ‘economic’ factors such as reduced fuel use. Finally, the implications of these findings for the future development of Arctic shipping are addressed at a strategic level. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Global warming Northern Sea Route Northwest passage Sea ice RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) Arctic Northwest Passage |
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Open Polar |
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RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) |
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ftrepec |
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unknown |
description |
As Arctic sea ice shrinks due to global warming, the Northern Sea Route (NSR) and the Northwest Passage (NWP) offer a substantial reduction in shipping distance between Asia and the European and North American continents, respectively, when compared to conventional routes through the Suez and Panama Canals. However, Arctic shipping routes have many problems associated with their use. The main objective of this paper is to identify the key criteria that influence the decisions of shipping operators with respect to using Arctic shipping routes. A multi-criteria decision-making methodology, the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process, is applied to rank four potential categories of criteria (‘economic’, ‘technical’, ‘political’ and ‘safety’ factors) and their sub-criteria.The results of the analysis suggest that, on aggregate, ‘economic’ is the most important category of influential factors, followed by ‘safety’, ‘technical’ and ‘political’ factors. The paper concludes, however, that the most influential specific sub-criteria relate to risks that lie mainly within the ‘safety’ and ‘political’ domains and that, especially in combination, these overwhelm the importance which is attached to ‘economic’ factors such as reduced fuel use. Finally, the implications of these findings for the future development of Arctic shipping are addressed at a strategic level. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Po-Hsing Tseng Kevin Cullinane |
spellingShingle |
Po-Hsing Tseng Kevin Cullinane Key criteria influencing the choice of Arctic shipping: a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process model |
author_facet |
Po-Hsing Tseng Kevin Cullinane |
author_sort |
Po-Hsing Tseng |
title |
Key criteria influencing the choice of Arctic shipping: a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process model |
title_short |
Key criteria influencing the choice of Arctic shipping: a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process model |
title_full |
Key criteria influencing the choice of Arctic shipping: a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process model |
title_fullStr |
Key criteria influencing the choice of Arctic shipping: a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Key criteria influencing the choice of Arctic shipping: a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process model |
title_sort |
key criteria influencing the choice of arctic shipping: a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process model |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03088839.2018.1443225 |
geographic |
Arctic Northwest Passage |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Northwest Passage |
genre |
Arctic Global warming Northern Sea Route Northwest passage Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Global warming Northern Sea Route Northwest passage Sea ice |
op_relation |
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03088839.2018.1443225 |
_version_ |
1766311568460480512 |