The vulnerability of the European air traffic network to spatial hazards

• Main Authors: Sean Wilkinson, Sarah Dunn, Shu Ma
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: unknown
• Subjects: Eyjafjallajökull
• Online Access: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11069-011-9885-6

The 2010 eruption of the Eyjafjallajökull volcano had a devastating effect on the European air traffic network, preventing air travel throughout most of Europe for 6 days (Oroian in ProEnvironment 3:5–8, 2010 ). The severity of the disruption was surprising as previous research suggests that this type of network should be tolerant to random hazard (Albert et al. in Nature 406(6794):378–382, 2000 Strogatz in Nature 410(6825):268–276, 2001 ). The source of this hazard tolerance lies in the degree distribution of the network which, for many real-world networks, has been shown to follow a power law (Albert et al. in Nature 401(6749):130–131, 1999 Albert et al. in Nature 406(6794):378–382, 2000 ). In this paper, we demonstrate that the ash cloud was unexpectedly disruptive because it was spatially coherent rather than uniformly random. We analyse the spatial dependence in air traffic networks and demonstrate how the combination of their geographical distribution and their network architectures jeopardises their inherent hazard tolerance. Copyright The Author(s) 2012 Network reliability, Scale-free networks, Spatial hazard, Airline networks, Hazard tolerance, Exponential networks