Misfortune and Mistake: The Financial Conditions and Decision-making Ability of High-cost Loan Borrowers
The appropriateness of many high-cost loan regulations depends on whether demand is driven by financial conditions (“misfortunes”) or imperfect decisions (“mistakes”). Bank records from Iceland show borrowers have especially low liquidity just before getting a loan, but their spending is not especia...
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ftrepec:oai:RePEc:nbr:nberwo:26328 2024-04-14T08:13:40+00:00 Misfortune and Mistake: The Financial Conditions and Decision-making Ability of High-cost Loan Borrowers Leandro Carvalho Arna Olafsson Dan Silverman http://www.nber.org/papers/w26328.pdf unknown http://www.nber.org/papers/w26328.pdf preprint ftrepec 2024-03-19T10:37:22Z The appropriateness of many high-cost loan regulations depends on whether demand is driven by financial conditions (“misfortunes”) or imperfect decisions (“mistakes”). Bank records from Iceland show borrowers have especially low liquidity just before getting a loan, but their spending is not especially low in the days before the loan arrives and some spend a substantial fraction of the loans on seemingly inessential items. Borrowers exhibit lower decision-making ability (DMA) in linked choice experiments: 45% of loan dollars go to the bottom 20% of the DMA distribution. Standard determinants of demand do not explain this relationship, which is also mirrored by the relationship between DMA and an unambiguous “mistake.” Both “misfortune” and “mistake” thus appear to drive demand. Report Iceland RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) |
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The appropriateness of many high-cost loan regulations depends on whether demand is driven by financial conditions (“misfortunes”) or imperfect decisions (“mistakes”). Bank records from Iceland show borrowers have especially low liquidity just before getting a loan, but their spending is not especially low in the days before the loan arrives and some spend a substantial fraction of the loans on seemingly inessential items. Borrowers exhibit lower decision-making ability (DMA) in linked choice experiments: 45% of loan dollars go to the bottom 20% of the DMA distribution. Standard determinants of demand do not explain this relationship, which is also mirrored by the relationship between DMA and an unambiguous “mistake.” Both “misfortune” and “mistake” thus appear to drive demand. |
format |
Report |
author |
Leandro Carvalho Arna Olafsson Dan Silverman |
spellingShingle |
Leandro Carvalho Arna Olafsson Dan Silverman Misfortune and Mistake: The Financial Conditions and Decision-making Ability of High-cost Loan Borrowers |
author_facet |
Leandro Carvalho Arna Olafsson Dan Silverman |
author_sort |
Leandro Carvalho |
title |
Misfortune and Mistake: The Financial Conditions and Decision-making Ability of High-cost Loan Borrowers |
title_short |
Misfortune and Mistake: The Financial Conditions and Decision-making Ability of High-cost Loan Borrowers |
title_full |
Misfortune and Mistake: The Financial Conditions and Decision-making Ability of High-cost Loan Borrowers |
title_fullStr |
Misfortune and Mistake: The Financial Conditions and Decision-making Ability of High-cost Loan Borrowers |
title_full_unstemmed |
Misfortune and Mistake: The Financial Conditions and Decision-making Ability of High-cost Loan Borrowers |
title_sort |
misfortune and mistake: the financial conditions and decision-making ability of high-cost loan borrowers |
url |
http://www.nber.org/papers/w26328.pdf |
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Iceland |
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Iceland |
op_relation |
http://www.nber.org/papers/w26328.pdf |
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1796311692053839872 |