Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit

• Published in: Interfaces
• Main Authors: J. Scott Armstrong, Kesten C. Green, Willie Soon
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: unknown
• Subjects: Anchorage; Stirling; Beaufort Sea; Sea ice; Alaska
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.1287/inte.1080.0383

Calls to list polar bears as a threatened species under the United States Endangered Species Act are based on forecasts of substantial long-term declines in their population. Nine government reports were written to help US Fish and Wildlife Service managers decide whether or not to list polar bears...