A model of inflation with variable time lags

Variable time lags are a possible source of randomness in relationships between economic time series. They are modelled here by means of variable regression coefficients. The model entails heteroscedastic residuals with a negative serial correlation and can be estimated by the Kalman filter. This ex...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Guðmundur Guðmundsson
Format: Report
Language:unknown
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sedlabanki.is/uploads/files/Wp-2.pdf
Description
Summary:Variable time lags are a possible source of randomness in relationships between economic time series. They are modelled here by means of variable regression coefficients. The model entails heteroscedastic residuals with a negative serial correlation and can be estimated by the Kalman filter. This extension of the traditional regression model is highly significant for the relationship between quarterly values of wages and prices in Iceland.