Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions from Electricity: The Influence of The North Atlantic Oscillation
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a large-scale circulation pattern driving climate variability in north-western Europe. In recent years there has been an increasing deployment of wind-powered generation technology, i.e. wind farms, on electricity networks across Europe. As this deployment inc...
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ftrepec:oai:RePEc:esr:wpaper:wp510 2024-04-14T08:15:38+00:00 Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions from Electricity: The Influence of The North Atlantic Oscillation Curtis, John Lynch, Muireann Á. Zubiate, Laura https://www.esri.ie/pubs/WP510.pdf unknown https://www.esri.ie/pubs/WP510.pdf preprint ftrepec 2024-03-19T10:29:03Z The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a large-scale circulation pattern driving climate variability in north-western Europe. In recent years there has been an increasing deployment of wind-powered generation technology, i.e. wind farms, on electricity networks across Europe. As this deployment increases it is important to understand how climate variability will affect both wind powered and non-renewable power generation. This study extends the literature by assessing the impact of NAO, via wind-power generation, on carbon dioxide emissions from the wider electricity system. A Monte Carlo approach is used to model NAO phases, generate hourly wind speed time series data, electricity demand and fuel input data. A unit commitment, least-cost economic dispatch model is used to simulate an entire electricity system, modelled on the all-island Irish electricity system. Our results confirm that the NAO has a significant impact on monthly mean wind speeds, wind power output, and carbon dioxide emissions from the entire electricity system. The impact of NAO on emissions obviously depends on the level of wind penetration within an electricity system but our results indicate that emissions intensity within the Irish electricity system could vary by as much as 10% depending on the NAO phase within the next few years. The emissions intensity of the electricity system will vary with the NAO phase. Report North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) |
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Open Polar |
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RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) |
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ftrepec |
language |
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description |
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a large-scale circulation pattern driving climate variability in north-western Europe. In recent years there has been an increasing deployment of wind-powered generation technology, i.e. wind farms, on electricity networks across Europe. As this deployment increases it is important to understand how climate variability will affect both wind powered and non-renewable power generation. This study extends the literature by assessing the impact of NAO, via wind-power generation, on carbon dioxide emissions from the wider electricity system. A Monte Carlo approach is used to model NAO phases, generate hourly wind speed time series data, electricity demand and fuel input data. A unit commitment, least-cost economic dispatch model is used to simulate an entire electricity system, modelled on the all-island Irish electricity system. Our results confirm that the NAO has a significant impact on monthly mean wind speeds, wind power output, and carbon dioxide emissions from the entire electricity system. The impact of NAO on emissions obviously depends on the level of wind penetration within an electricity system but our results indicate that emissions intensity within the Irish electricity system could vary by as much as 10% depending on the NAO phase within the next few years. The emissions intensity of the electricity system will vary with the NAO phase. |
format |
Report |
author |
Curtis, John Lynch, Muireann Á. Zubiate, Laura |
spellingShingle |
Curtis, John Lynch, Muireann Á. Zubiate, Laura Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions from Electricity: The Influence of The North Atlantic Oscillation |
author_facet |
Curtis, John Lynch, Muireann Á. Zubiate, Laura |
author_sort |
Curtis, John |
title |
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions from Electricity: The Influence of The North Atlantic Oscillation |
title_short |
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions from Electricity: The Influence of The North Atlantic Oscillation |
title_full |
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions from Electricity: The Influence of The North Atlantic Oscillation |
title_fullStr |
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions from Electricity: The Influence of The North Atlantic Oscillation |
title_full_unstemmed |
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions from Electricity: The Influence of The North Atlantic Oscillation |
title_sort |
carbon dioxide (co2) emissions from electricity: the influence of the north atlantic oscillation |
url |
https://www.esri.ie/pubs/WP510.pdf |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
https://www.esri.ie/pubs/WP510.pdf |
_version_ |
1796314040464572416 |