Delphi path simulator for unveiling development opportunities in the forest industries by contrasting forest management practices — The case of North Karelia
This paper investigates how uneven-aged forest management practice could supply roundwood under different demand conditions in North Karelia in Finland. Four alternative development paths for the forest industries were estimated by means of the Delphi method combining past development in forest indu...
Main Authors: | , |
---|---|
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | unknown |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004016251300173X |
id |
ftrepec:oai:RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:84:y:2014:i:c:p:171-185 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftrepec:oai:RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:84:y:2014:i:c:p:171-185 2024-04-14T08:14:16+00:00 Delphi path simulator for unveiling development opportunities in the forest industries by contrasting forest management practices — The case of North Karelia Lehtonen, Olli Tykkyläinen, Markku http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004016251300173X unknown http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004016251300173X article ftrepec 2024-03-19T10:27:29Z This paper investigates how uneven-aged forest management practice could supply roundwood under different demand conditions in North Karelia in Finland. Four alternative development paths for the forest industries were estimated by means of the Delphi method combining past development in forest industries with expert visions of industrial restructuring and future final demand. The results of a single-tree forest simulator were used to indicate local opportunities for the supply of roundwood, and the demand for roundwood was estimated via the resource matrix of the input–output model for each alternative development path. The study reveals that both even-aged and uneven-aged forest management would be technically possible in order to satisfy the mills' demand for wood in the tested instances. Further research is recommended to compare the profitability of alternative production technology chains and to carry out a geospatial supply and demand analysis for wood, which would fine-tune the results locally. Delphi; Simulation; Forest industry; Forest management practices; Article in Journal/Newspaper karelia* RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) |
op_collection_id |
ftrepec |
language |
unknown |
description |
This paper investigates how uneven-aged forest management practice could supply roundwood under different demand conditions in North Karelia in Finland. Four alternative development paths for the forest industries were estimated by means of the Delphi method combining past development in forest industries with expert visions of industrial restructuring and future final demand. The results of a single-tree forest simulator were used to indicate local opportunities for the supply of roundwood, and the demand for roundwood was estimated via the resource matrix of the input–output model for each alternative development path. The study reveals that both even-aged and uneven-aged forest management would be technically possible in order to satisfy the mills' demand for wood in the tested instances. Further research is recommended to compare the profitability of alternative production technology chains and to carry out a geospatial supply and demand analysis for wood, which would fine-tune the results locally. Delphi; Simulation; Forest industry; Forest management practices; |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Lehtonen, Olli Tykkyläinen, Markku |
spellingShingle |
Lehtonen, Olli Tykkyläinen, Markku Delphi path simulator for unveiling development opportunities in the forest industries by contrasting forest management practices — The case of North Karelia |
author_facet |
Lehtonen, Olli Tykkyläinen, Markku |
author_sort |
Lehtonen, Olli |
title |
Delphi path simulator for unveiling development opportunities in the forest industries by contrasting forest management practices — The case of North Karelia |
title_short |
Delphi path simulator for unveiling development opportunities in the forest industries by contrasting forest management practices — The case of North Karelia |
title_full |
Delphi path simulator for unveiling development opportunities in the forest industries by contrasting forest management practices — The case of North Karelia |
title_fullStr |
Delphi path simulator for unveiling development opportunities in the forest industries by contrasting forest management practices — The case of North Karelia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Delphi path simulator for unveiling development opportunities in the forest industries by contrasting forest management practices — The case of North Karelia |
title_sort |
delphi path simulator for unveiling development opportunities in the forest industries by contrasting forest management practices — the case of north karelia |
url |
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004016251300173X |
genre |
karelia* |
genre_facet |
karelia* |
op_relation |
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004016251300173X |
_version_ |
1796312454495469568 |