Assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a Bayesian belief model
One of the largest Ramsar-designated wetlands in New Zealand is located at Miranda, in the Hauraki Gulf, at the head of a large sheltered embayment (the Firth of Thames). The habitat is particularly significant in that it supports large populations of nationally important, and Arctic migratory, shor...
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ftqueensland:oai:eprints.qut.edu.au:97762 2024-02-04T09:58:19+01:00 Assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a Bayesian belief model Gibbs, Mark 2007 https://eprints.qut.edu.au/97762/ unknown Taylor and Francis Ltd. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10807030601105423 doi:10.1080/10807030601105423 Gibbs, Mark (2007) Assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a Bayesian belief model. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment (HERA), 13(1), pp. 156-179. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/97762/ Institute for Future Environments 2007 Taylor & Francis This work is covered by copyright. Unless the document is being made available under a Creative Commons Licence, you must assume that re-use is limited to personal use and that permission from the copyright owner must be obtained for all other uses. If the document is available under a Creative Commons License (or other specified license) then refer to the Licence for details of permitted re-use. It is a condition of access that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. If you believe that this work infringes copyright please provide details by email to qut.copyright@qut.edu.au Human and Ecological Risk Assessment (HERA) Bayesian Ecological risk assessment Mussel farming New Zealand Probability network Ramsar Shorebirds Contribution to Journal 2007 ftqueensland https://doi.org/10.1080/10807030601105423 2024-01-08T23:38:05Z One of the largest Ramsar-designated wetlands in New Zealand is located at Miranda, in the Hauraki Gulf, at the head of a large sheltered embayment (the Firth of Thames). The habitat is particularly significant in that it supports large populations of nationally important, and Arctic migratory, shorebirds. At present regulatory authorities are processing applications for a new marine farming region in the Firth and both regulators and stakeholders have expressed a desire to investigate possible interactions between the possible marine farms and the Ramsar wetland. The specific objective of this study was therefore to use existing information to investigate the risks of the possible aquaculture activities on the ability of the southern Firth habitats to support shorebirds. The study involved the development of a hazard assessment, and then investigating risk pathways through the use of a Bayesian network model, and a complex systems model. The hazard assessment identified multiple pathways through which the farms may interact with the wetland habitat; including through changes to primary productivity, detrital pathways and sediment dynamics. Furthermore, both the Bayesian network model and complex systems model suggested that the ability of the habitat to support shorebirds is nonlinearly dependent on both the habitat size, and quality; both of which could potentially be influenced by the establishment of the farms. Copyright © Taylor & Francis Group, LLC. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Queensland University of Technology: QUT ePrints Arctic New Zealand Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal 13 1 156 179 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Queensland University of Technology: QUT ePrints |
op_collection_id |
ftqueensland |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Bayesian Ecological risk assessment Mussel farming New Zealand Probability network Ramsar Shorebirds |
spellingShingle |
Bayesian Ecological risk assessment Mussel farming New Zealand Probability network Ramsar Shorebirds Gibbs, Mark Assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a Bayesian belief model |
topic_facet |
Bayesian Ecological risk assessment Mussel farming New Zealand Probability network Ramsar Shorebirds |
description |
One of the largest Ramsar-designated wetlands in New Zealand is located at Miranda, in the Hauraki Gulf, at the head of a large sheltered embayment (the Firth of Thames). The habitat is particularly significant in that it supports large populations of nationally important, and Arctic migratory, shorebirds. At present regulatory authorities are processing applications for a new marine farming region in the Firth and both regulators and stakeholders have expressed a desire to investigate possible interactions between the possible marine farms and the Ramsar wetland. The specific objective of this study was therefore to use existing information to investigate the risks of the possible aquaculture activities on the ability of the southern Firth habitats to support shorebirds. The study involved the development of a hazard assessment, and then investigating risk pathways through the use of a Bayesian network model, and a complex systems model. The hazard assessment identified multiple pathways through which the farms may interact with the wetland habitat; including through changes to primary productivity, detrital pathways and sediment dynamics. Furthermore, both the Bayesian network model and complex systems model suggested that the ability of the habitat to support shorebirds is nonlinearly dependent on both the habitat size, and quality; both of which could potentially be influenced by the establishment of the farms. Copyright © Taylor & Francis Group, LLC. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Gibbs, Mark |
author_facet |
Gibbs, Mark |
author_sort |
Gibbs, Mark |
title |
Assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a Bayesian belief model |
title_short |
Assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a Bayesian belief model |
title_full |
Assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a Bayesian belief model |
title_fullStr |
Assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a Bayesian belief model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a Bayesian belief model |
title_sort |
assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a bayesian belief model |
publisher |
Taylor and Francis Ltd. |
publishDate |
2007 |
url |
https://eprints.qut.edu.au/97762/ |
geographic |
Arctic New Zealand |
geographic_facet |
Arctic New Zealand |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
Human and Ecological Risk Assessment (HERA) |
op_relation |
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10807030601105423 doi:10.1080/10807030601105423 Gibbs, Mark (2007) Assessing the risk of an aquaculture development on shorebirds using a Bayesian belief model. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment (HERA), 13(1), pp. 156-179. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/97762/ Institute for Future Environments |
op_rights |
2007 Taylor & Francis This work is covered by copyright. Unless the document is being made available under a Creative Commons Licence, you must assume that re-use is limited to personal use and that permission from the copyright owner must be obtained for all other uses. If the document is available under a Creative Commons License (or other specified license) then refer to the Licence for details of permitted re-use. It is a condition of access that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. If you believe that this work infringes copyright please provide details by email to qut.copyright@qut.edu.au |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1080/10807030601105423 |
container_title |
Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
156 |
op_container_end_page |
179 |
_version_ |
1789962748319236096 |