Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds
Millions of birds migrate to and from the Arctic each year, but rapid climate change in the High North could strongly affect where species are able to breed, disrupting migratory connections globally. We modelled the climatically suitable breeding conditions of 24 Arctic specialist shorebirds and pr...
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ftqueensland:oai:eprints.qut.edu.au:234141 2024-05-19T07:33:13+00:00 Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds Wauchope, Hannah S. Shaw, Justine D. Varpe, Øystein Lappo, Elena G. Boertmann, David Lanctot, Richard B. Fuller, Richard A. 2017-03-01 application/pdf https://eprints.qut.edu.au/234141/ unknown Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd https://eprints.qut.edu.au/234141/1/113345150.pdf doi:10.1111/gcb.13404 Wauchope, Hannah S., Shaw, Justine D., Varpe, Øystein, Lappo, Elena G., Boertmann, David, Lanctot, Richard B., & Fuller, Richard A. (2017) Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds. Global Change Biology, 23(3), pp. 1085-1094. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/234141/ free_to_read 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd This work is covered by copyright. Unless the document is being made available under a Creative Commons Licence, you must assume that re-use is limited to personal use and that permission from the copyright owner must be obtained for all other uses. If the document is available under a Creative Commons License (or other specified license) then refer to the Licence for details of permitted re-use. It is a condition of access that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. If you believe that this work infringes copyright please provide details by email to qut.copyright@qut.edu.au Global Change Biology Beringia flyway maxent mid-Holocene protected areas shorebirds species distribution modelling waders Contribution to Journal 2017 ftqueensland https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13404 2024-04-24T00:06:08Z Millions of birds migrate to and from the Arctic each year, but rapid climate change in the High North could strongly affect where species are able to breed, disrupting migratory connections globally. We modelled the climatically suitable breeding conditions of 24 Arctic specialist shorebirds and projected them to 2070 and to the mid-Holocene climatic optimum, the world's last major warming event ~6000 years ago. We show that climatically suitable breeding conditions could shift, contract and decline over the next 70 years, with 66–83% of species losing the majority of currently suitable area. This exceeds, in rate and magnitude, the impact of the mid-Holocene climatic optimum. Suitable climatic conditions are predicted to decline acutely in the most species rich region, Beringia (western Alaska and eastern Russia), and become concentrated in the Eurasian and Canadian Arctic islands. These predicted spatial shifts of breeding grounds could affect the species composition of the world's major flyways. Encouragingly, protected area coverage of current and future climatically suitable breeding conditions generally meets target levels; however, there is a lack of protected areas within the Canadian Arctic where resource exploitation is a growing threat. Given that already there are rapid declines of many populations of Arctic migratory birds, our results emphasize the urgency of mitigating climate change and protecting Arctic biodiversity. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic biodiversity Arctic Climate change Alaska Beringia Queensland University of Technology: QUT ePrints Global Change Biology 23 3 1085 1094 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Queensland University of Technology: QUT ePrints |
op_collection_id |
ftqueensland |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Beringia flyway maxent mid-Holocene protected areas shorebirds species distribution modelling waders |
spellingShingle |
Beringia flyway maxent mid-Holocene protected areas shorebirds species distribution modelling waders Wauchope, Hannah S. Shaw, Justine D. Varpe, Øystein Lappo, Elena G. Boertmann, David Lanctot, Richard B. Fuller, Richard A. Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds |
topic_facet |
Beringia flyway maxent mid-Holocene protected areas shorebirds species distribution modelling waders |
description |
Millions of birds migrate to and from the Arctic each year, but rapid climate change in the High North could strongly affect where species are able to breed, disrupting migratory connections globally. We modelled the climatically suitable breeding conditions of 24 Arctic specialist shorebirds and projected them to 2070 and to the mid-Holocene climatic optimum, the world's last major warming event ~6000 years ago. We show that climatically suitable breeding conditions could shift, contract and decline over the next 70 years, with 66–83% of species losing the majority of currently suitable area. This exceeds, in rate and magnitude, the impact of the mid-Holocene climatic optimum. Suitable climatic conditions are predicted to decline acutely in the most species rich region, Beringia (western Alaska and eastern Russia), and become concentrated in the Eurasian and Canadian Arctic islands. These predicted spatial shifts of breeding grounds could affect the species composition of the world's major flyways. Encouragingly, protected area coverage of current and future climatically suitable breeding conditions generally meets target levels; however, there is a lack of protected areas within the Canadian Arctic where resource exploitation is a growing threat. Given that already there are rapid declines of many populations of Arctic migratory birds, our results emphasize the urgency of mitigating climate change and protecting Arctic biodiversity. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Wauchope, Hannah S. Shaw, Justine D. Varpe, Øystein Lappo, Elena G. Boertmann, David Lanctot, Richard B. Fuller, Richard A. |
author_facet |
Wauchope, Hannah S. Shaw, Justine D. Varpe, Øystein Lappo, Elena G. Boertmann, David Lanctot, Richard B. Fuller, Richard A. |
author_sort |
Wauchope, Hannah S. |
title |
Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds |
title_short |
Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds |
title_full |
Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds |
title_fullStr |
Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds |
title_full_unstemmed |
Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds |
title_sort |
rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for arctic migratory birds |
publisher |
Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://eprints.qut.edu.au/234141/ |
genre |
Arctic Arctic biodiversity Arctic Climate change Alaska Beringia |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic biodiversity Arctic Climate change Alaska Beringia |
op_source |
Global Change Biology |
op_relation |
https://eprints.qut.edu.au/234141/1/113345150.pdf doi:10.1111/gcb.13404 Wauchope, Hannah S., Shaw, Justine D., Varpe, Øystein, Lappo, Elena G., Boertmann, David, Lanctot, Richard B., & Fuller, Richard A. (2017) Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds. Global Change Biology, 23(3), pp. 1085-1094. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/234141/ |
op_rights |
free_to_read 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd This work is covered by copyright. Unless the document is being made available under a Creative Commons Licence, you must assume that re-use is limited to personal use and that permission from the copyright owner must be obtained for all other uses. If the document is available under a Creative Commons License (or other specified license) then refer to the Licence for details of permitted re-use. It is a condition of access that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. If you believe that this work infringes copyright please provide details by email to qut.copyright@qut.edu.au |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13404 |
container_title |
Global Change Biology |
container_volume |
23 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
1085 |
op_container_end_page |
1094 |
_version_ |
1799471312397139968 |