Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) could contribute metres to global sea level rise (SLR) in the long run. We couple models of AIS melting due to rising temperatures, SLR, and economic impacts of SLR on coastlines worldwide. We report SLR projections close to the latest literature. Coastal imp...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:9529876 2023-05-15T13:54:44+02:00 Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Dietz, Simon Koninx, Felix 2022-10-03 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9529876/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36192387 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33406-6 en eng Nature Publishing Group UK http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9529876/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36192387 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33406-6 © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . CC-BY Nat Commun Article Text 2022 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33406-6 2022-10-09T00:44:19Z Melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) could contribute metres to global sea level rise (SLR) in the long run. We couple models of AIS melting due to rising temperatures, SLR, and economic impacts of SLR on coastlines worldwide. We report SLR projections close to the latest literature. Coastal impacts of AIS melting are very heterogeneous: they are large as a share of GDP in one to two dozen countries, primarily Small Island Developing States. Costs can be reduced dramatically by economically efficient, proactive coastal planning: relative to a no adaptation scenario, optimal adaptation reduces total costs by roughly an order of magnitude. AIS melting increases the social cost of carbon by an expected 7% on low to medium emissions scenarios and with moderate discounting. There is a tail risk of very large increases in the social cost of carbon, particularly on a high emissions scenario. Text Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet PubMed Central (PMC) Antarctic The Antarctic Nature Communications 13 1 |
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Article Dietz, Simon Koninx, Felix Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet |
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Article |
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Melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) could contribute metres to global sea level rise (SLR) in the long run. We couple models of AIS melting due to rising temperatures, SLR, and economic impacts of SLR on coastlines worldwide. We report SLR projections close to the latest literature. Coastal impacts of AIS melting are very heterogeneous: they are large as a share of GDP in one to two dozen countries, primarily Small Island Developing States. Costs can be reduced dramatically by economically efficient, proactive coastal planning: relative to a no adaptation scenario, optimal adaptation reduces total costs by roughly an order of magnitude. AIS melting increases the social cost of carbon by an expected 7% on low to medium emissions scenarios and with moderate discounting. There is a tail risk of very large increases in the social cost of carbon, particularly on a high emissions scenario. |
format |
Text |
author |
Dietz, Simon Koninx, Felix |
author_facet |
Dietz, Simon Koninx, Felix |
author_sort |
Dietz, Simon |
title |
Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet |
title_short |
Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet |
title_full |
Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet |
title_fullStr |
Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet |
title_full_unstemmed |
Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet |
title_sort |
economic impacts of melting of the antarctic ice sheet |
publisher |
Nature Publishing Group UK |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9529876/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36192387 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33406-6 |
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Antarctic The Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic The Antarctic |
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Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet |
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Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet |
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Nat Commun |
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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9529876/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36192387 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33406-6 |
op_rights |
© The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33406-6 |
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Nature Communications |
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