Climate variations and salmonellosis in northwest Russia: a time-series analysis
Associations between monthly counts of all laboratory-confirmed cases of salmonellosis in Arkhangelsk, northern Russia, from 1992 to 2008 and climatic variables with lags 0–2 were studied by three different models. We observed a linear association between the number of cases of salmonellosis and mea...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:9152056 2023-05-15T15:23:52+02:00 Climate variations and salmonellosis in northwest Russia: a time-series analysis GRJIBOVSKI, A. M. BUSHUEVA, V. BOLTENKOV, V. P. BUZINOV, R. V. DEGTEVA, G. N. YURASOVA, E. D. NURSE, J. 2013-02 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9152056/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22475326 https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268812000544 en eng Cambridge University Press http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9152056/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22475326 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268812000544 © Cambridge University Press 2012 Epidemiol Infect Original Papers Text 2013 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268812000544 2022-06-19T00:33:03Z Associations between monthly counts of all laboratory-confirmed cases of salmonellosis in Arkhangelsk, northern Russia, from 1992 to 2008 and climatic variables with lags 0–2 were studied by three different models. We observed a linear association between the number of cases of salmonellosis and mean monthly temperature with a lag of 1 month across the whole range of temperatures. An increase of 1 °C was associated with a 2·04% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0·25–3·84], 1·84% (95% CI 0·06–3·63) and 2·32% (95% CI 0·38–4·27) increase in different models. Only one of the three models suggested an increase in the number of cases, by 0·24% (95% CI 0·02–0·46) with an increase in precipitation by 1 mm in the same month. Higher temperatures were associated with higher monthly counts of salmonellosis while the association with precipitation was less certain. The results may have implications for the future patterns of enteric infections in northern areas related to climate change. Text Arkhangelsk Northwest Russia PubMed Central (PMC) Epidemiology and Infection 141 2 269 276 |
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Original Papers GRJIBOVSKI, A. M. BUSHUEVA, V. BOLTENKOV, V. P. BUZINOV, R. V. DEGTEVA, G. N. YURASOVA, E. D. NURSE, J. Climate variations and salmonellosis in northwest Russia: a time-series analysis |
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Original Papers |
description |
Associations between monthly counts of all laboratory-confirmed cases of salmonellosis in Arkhangelsk, northern Russia, from 1992 to 2008 and climatic variables with lags 0–2 were studied by three different models. We observed a linear association between the number of cases of salmonellosis and mean monthly temperature with a lag of 1 month across the whole range of temperatures. An increase of 1 °C was associated with a 2·04% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0·25–3·84], 1·84% (95% CI 0·06–3·63) and 2·32% (95% CI 0·38–4·27) increase in different models. Only one of the three models suggested an increase in the number of cases, by 0·24% (95% CI 0·02–0·46) with an increase in precipitation by 1 mm in the same month. Higher temperatures were associated with higher monthly counts of salmonellosis while the association with precipitation was less certain. The results may have implications for the future patterns of enteric infections in northern areas related to climate change. |
format |
Text |
author |
GRJIBOVSKI, A. M. BUSHUEVA, V. BOLTENKOV, V. P. BUZINOV, R. V. DEGTEVA, G. N. YURASOVA, E. D. NURSE, J. |
author_facet |
GRJIBOVSKI, A. M. BUSHUEVA, V. BOLTENKOV, V. P. BUZINOV, R. V. DEGTEVA, G. N. YURASOVA, E. D. NURSE, J. |
author_sort |
GRJIBOVSKI, A. M. |
title |
Climate variations and salmonellosis in northwest Russia: a time-series analysis |
title_short |
Climate variations and salmonellosis in northwest Russia: a time-series analysis |
title_full |
Climate variations and salmonellosis in northwest Russia: a time-series analysis |
title_fullStr |
Climate variations and salmonellosis in northwest Russia: a time-series analysis |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate variations and salmonellosis in northwest Russia: a time-series analysis |
title_sort |
climate variations and salmonellosis in northwest russia: a time-series analysis |
publisher |
Cambridge University Press |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9152056/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22475326 https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268812000544 |
genre |
Arkhangelsk Northwest Russia |
genre_facet |
Arkhangelsk Northwest Russia |
op_source |
Epidemiol Infect |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9152056/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22475326 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268812000544 |
op_rights |
© Cambridge University Press 2012 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268812000544 |
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Epidemiology and Infection |
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141 |
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2 |
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269 |
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276 |
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1766354471320813568 |