Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming
Marine phytoplankton and zooplankton form the basis of the ocean’s food-web, yet the impacts of climate change on their biodiversity are poorly understood. Here, we use an ensemble of species distribution models for a total of 336 phytoplankton and 524 zooplankton species to determine their present...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:8410869 2023-05-15T15:04:40+02:00 Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming Benedetti, Fabio Vogt, Meike Elizondo, Urs Hofmann Righetti, Damiano Zimmermann, Niklaus E. Gruber, Nicolas 2021-09-01 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8410869/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34471105 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25385-x en eng Nature Publishing Group UK http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8410869/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34471105 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25385-x © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . CC-BY Nat Commun Article Text 2021 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25385-x 2021-09-26T00:23:15Z Marine phytoplankton and zooplankton form the basis of the ocean’s food-web, yet the impacts of climate change on their biodiversity are poorly understood. Here, we use an ensemble of species distribution models for a total of 336 phytoplankton and 524 zooplankton species to determine their present and future habitat suitability patterns. For the end of this century, under a high emission scenario, we find an overall increase in plankton species richness driven by ocean warming, and a poleward shift of the species’ distributions at a median speed of 35 km/decade. Phytoplankton species richness is projected to increase by more than 16% over most regions except for the Arctic Ocean. In contrast, zooplankton richness is projected to slightly decline in the tropics, but to increase strongly in temperate to subpolar latitudes. In these latitudes, nearly 40% of the phytoplankton and zooplankton assemblages are replaced by poleward shifting species. This implies that climate change threatens the contribution of plankton communities to plankton-mediated ecosystem services such as biological carbon sequestration. Text Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Global warming Phytoplankton Zooplankton PubMed Central (PMC) Arctic Arctic Ocean Nature Communications 12 1 |
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Article Benedetti, Fabio Vogt, Meike Elizondo, Urs Hofmann Righetti, Damiano Zimmermann, Niklaus E. Gruber, Nicolas Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
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Article |
description |
Marine phytoplankton and zooplankton form the basis of the ocean’s food-web, yet the impacts of climate change on their biodiversity are poorly understood. Here, we use an ensemble of species distribution models for a total of 336 phytoplankton and 524 zooplankton species to determine their present and future habitat suitability patterns. For the end of this century, under a high emission scenario, we find an overall increase in plankton species richness driven by ocean warming, and a poleward shift of the species’ distributions at a median speed of 35 km/decade. Phytoplankton species richness is projected to increase by more than 16% over most regions except for the Arctic Ocean. In contrast, zooplankton richness is projected to slightly decline in the tropics, but to increase strongly in temperate to subpolar latitudes. In these latitudes, nearly 40% of the phytoplankton and zooplankton assemblages are replaced by poleward shifting species. This implies that climate change threatens the contribution of plankton communities to plankton-mediated ecosystem services such as biological carbon sequestration. |
format |
Text |
author |
Benedetti, Fabio Vogt, Meike Elizondo, Urs Hofmann Righetti, Damiano Zimmermann, Niklaus E. Gruber, Nicolas |
author_facet |
Benedetti, Fabio Vogt, Meike Elizondo, Urs Hofmann Righetti, Damiano Zimmermann, Niklaus E. Gruber, Nicolas |
author_sort |
Benedetti, Fabio |
title |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
title_short |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
title_full |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
title_fullStr |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
title_full_unstemmed |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
title_sort |
major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
publisher |
Nature Publishing Group UK |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8410869/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34471105 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25385-x |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Global warming Phytoplankton Zooplankton |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Global warming Phytoplankton Zooplankton |
op_source |
Nat Commun |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8410869/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34471105 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25385-x |
op_rights |
© The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
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CC-BY |
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25385-x |
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Nature Communications |
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12 |
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1 |
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