Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100
The Arctic Ocean is an early warning system for indicators and effects of climate change. We use a novel combination of experimental and time-series data on effects of ocean warming and acidification on the commercially important Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) to incorporate these physiological...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:7176117 2023-05-15T14:30:22+02:00 Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100 Hänsel, Martin C. Schmidt, Jörn O. Stiasny, Martina H. Stöven, Max T. Voss, Rudi Quaas, Martin F. 2020-04-22 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7176117/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32320411 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 en eng Public Library of Science http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7176117/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32320411 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 © 2020 Hänsel et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. CC-BY PLoS One Research Article Text 2020 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 2020-05-17T00:16:39Z The Arctic Ocean is an early warning system for indicators and effects of climate change. We use a novel combination of experimental and time-series data on effects of ocean warming and acidification on the commercially important Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) to incorporate these physiological processes into the recruitment model of the fish population. By running an ecological-economic optimization model, we investigate how the interaction of ocean warming, acidification and fishing pressure affects the sustainability of the fishery in terms of ecological, economic, social and consumer-related indicators, ranging from present day conditions up to future climate change scenarios. We find that near-term climate change will benefit the fishery, but under likely future warming and acidification this large fishery is at risk of collapse by the end of the century, even with the best adaptation effort in terms of reduced fishing pressure. Text Arctic cod Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Gadus morhua Northeast Arctic cod PubMed Central (PMC) Arctic Arctic Ocean PLOS ONE 15 4 e0231589 |
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Research Article |
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Research Article Hänsel, Martin C. Schmidt, Jörn O. Stiasny, Martina H. Stöven, Max T. Voss, Rudi Quaas, Martin F. Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100 |
topic_facet |
Research Article |
description |
The Arctic Ocean is an early warning system for indicators and effects of climate change. We use a novel combination of experimental and time-series data on effects of ocean warming and acidification on the commercially important Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) to incorporate these physiological processes into the recruitment model of the fish population. By running an ecological-economic optimization model, we investigate how the interaction of ocean warming, acidification and fishing pressure affects the sustainability of the fishery in terms of ecological, economic, social and consumer-related indicators, ranging from present day conditions up to future climate change scenarios. We find that near-term climate change will benefit the fishery, but under likely future warming and acidification this large fishery is at risk of collapse by the end of the century, even with the best adaptation effort in terms of reduced fishing pressure. |
format |
Text |
author |
Hänsel, Martin C. Schmidt, Jörn O. Stiasny, Martina H. Stöven, Max T. Voss, Rudi Quaas, Martin F. |
author_facet |
Hänsel, Martin C. Schmidt, Jörn O. Stiasny, Martina H. Stöven, Max T. Voss, Rudi Quaas, Martin F. |
author_sort |
Hänsel, Martin C. |
title |
Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100 |
title_short |
Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100 |
title_full |
Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100 |
title_fullStr |
Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100 |
title_sort |
ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial arctic cod fishery by 2100 |
publisher |
Public Library of Science |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7176117/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32320411 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
genre |
Arctic cod Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Gadus morhua Northeast Arctic cod |
genre_facet |
Arctic cod Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Gadus morhua Northeast Arctic cod |
op_source |
PLoS One |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7176117/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32320411 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 |
op_rights |
© 2020 Hänsel et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
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CC-BY |
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https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 |
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PLOS ONE |
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15 |
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4 |
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e0231589 |
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1766304221992321024 |