Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska
Arctic lakes located in permafrost regions are susceptible to catastrophic drainage. In this study, we reconstructed historical lake drainage events on the western Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska between 1955 and 2017 using USGS topographic maps, historical aerial photography (1955), and Landsat Imag...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:7074070 2023-05-15T14:50:21+02:00 Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska Jones, Benjamin M. Arp, Christopher D. Grosse, Guido Nitze, Ingmar Lara, Mark J. Whitman, Matthew S. Farquharson, Louise M. Kanevskiy, Mikhail Parsekian, Andrew D. Breen, Amy L. Ohara, Nori Rangel, Rodrigo Correa Hinkel, Kenneth M. 2020-02-21 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7074070/ https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038 en eng John Wiley and Sons Inc. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7074070/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038 © 2020 The Authors Permafrost and Periglacial Processes Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. CC-BY Research Articles Text 2020 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038 2020-03-22T01:51:35Z Arctic lakes located in permafrost regions are susceptible to catastrophic drainage. In this study, we reconstructed historical lake drainage events on the western Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska between 1955 and 2017 using USGS topographic maps, historical aerial photography (1955), and Landsat Imagery (ca. 1975, ca. 2000, and annually since 2000). We identified 98 lakes larger than 10 ha that partially (>25% of area) or completely drained during the 62‐year period. Decadal‐scale lake drainage rates progressively declined from 2.0 lakes/yr (1955–1975), to 1.6 lakes/yr (1975–2000), and to 1.2 lakes/yr (2000–2017) in the ~30,000‐km(2) study area. Detailed Landsat trend analysis between 2000 and 2017 identified two years, 2004 and 2006, with a cluster (five or more) of lake drainages probably associated with bank overtopping or headward erosion. To identify future potential lake drainages, we combined the historical lake drainage observations with a geospatial dataset describing lake elevation, hydrologic connectivity, and adjacent lake margin topographic gradients developed with a 5‐m‐resolution digital surface model. We identified ~1900 lakes likely to be prone to drainage in the future. Of the 20 lakes that drained in the most recent study period, 85% were identified in this future lake drainage potential dataset. Our assessment of historical lake drainage magnitude, mechanisms and pathways, and identification of potential future lake drainages provides insights into how arctic lowland landscapes may change and evolve in the coming decades to centuries. Text Arctic permafrost Alaska PubMed Central (PMC) Arctic Scale Lake ENVELOPE(78.174,78.174,-68.584,-68.584) Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 31 1 110 127 |
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PubMed Central (PMC) |
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English |
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Research Articles |
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Research Articles Jones, Benjamin M. Arp, Christopher D. Grosse, Guido Nitze, Ingmar Lara, Mark J. Whitman, Matthew S. Farquharson, Louise M. Kanevskiy, Mikhail Parsekian, Andrew D. Breen, Amy L. Ohara, Nori Rangel, Rodrigo Correa Hinkel, Kenneth M. Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
topic_facet |
Research Articles |
description |
Arctic lakes located in permafrost regions are susceptible to catastrophic drainage. In this study, we reconstructed historical lake drainage events on the western Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska between 1955 and 2017 using USGS topographic maps, historical aerial photography (1955), and Landsat Imagery (ca. 1975, ca. 2000, and annually since 2000). We identified 98 lakes larger than 10 ha that partially (>25% of area) or completely drained during the 62‐year period. Decadal‐scale lake drainage rates progressively declined from 2.0 lakes/yr (1955–1975), to 1.6 lakes/yr (1975–2000), and to 1.2 lakes/yr (2000–2017) in the ~30,000‐km(2) study area. Detailed Landsat trend analysis between 2000 and 2017 identified two years, 2004 and 2006, with a cluster (five or more) of lake drainages probably associated with bank overtopping or headward erosion. To identify future potential lake drainages, we combined the historical lake drainage observations with a geospatial dataset describing lake elevation, hydrologic connectivity, and adjacent lake margin topographic gradients developed with a 5‐m‐resolution digital surface model. We identified ~1900 lakes likely to be prone to drainage in the future. Of the 20 lakes that drained in the most recent study period, 85% were identified in this future lake drainage potential dataset. Our assessment of historical lake drainage magnitude, mechanisms and pathways, and identification of potential future lake drainages provides insights into how arctic lowland landscapes may change and evolve in the coming decades to centuries. |
format |
Text |
author |
Jones, Benjamin M. Arp, Christopher D. Grosse, Guido Nitze, Ingmar Lara, Mark J. Whitman, Matthew S. Farquharson, Louise M. Kanevskiy, Mikhail Parsekian, Andrew D. Breen, Amy L. Ohara, Nori Rangel, Rodrigo Correa Hinkel, Kenneth M. |
author_facet |
Jones, Benjamin M. Arp, Christopher D. Grosse, Guido Nitze, Ingmar Lara, Mark J. Whitman, Matthew S. Farquharson, Louise M. Kanevskiy, Mikhail Parsekian, Andrew D. Breen, Amy L. Ohara, Nori Rangel, Rodrigo Correa Hinkel, Kenneth M. |
author_sort |
Jones, Benjamin M. |
title |
Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
title_short |
Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
title_full |
Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
title_fullStr |
Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
title_full_unstemmed |
Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
title_sort |
identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western arctic coastal plain of alaska |
publisher |
John Wiley and Sons Inc. |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7074070/ https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(78.174,78.174,-68.584,-68.584) |
geographic |
Arctic Scale Lake |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Scale Lake |
genre |
Arctic permafrost Alaska |
genre_facet |
Arctic permafrost Alaska |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7074070/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038 |
op_rights |
© 2020 The Authors Permafrost and Periglacial Processes Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038 |
container_title |
Permafrost and Periglacial Processes |
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31 |
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1 |
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110 |
op_container_end_page |
127 |
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1766321385524690944 |