Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts
The western North-Atlantic coast experienced major coastal floods in recent years. Coastal floods are primarily composed of tides and storm surges due to tropical (TCs) and extra-tropical cyclones (ETCs). We present a reanalysis from 1988 to 2015 of extreme sea levels that explicitly include TCs for...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:6399338 2023-05-15T17:28:43+02:00 Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts Muis, Sanne Lin, Ning Verlaan, Martin Winsemius, Hessel C. Ward, Philip J. Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H. 2019-03-04 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6399338/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30833680 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40157-w en eng Nature Publishing Group UK http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6399338/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30833680 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40157-w © The Author(s) 2019 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. CC-BY Article Text 2019 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40157-w 2019-03-10T01:20:09Z The western North-Atlantic coast experienced major coastal floods in recent years. Coastal floods are primarily composed of tides and storm surges due to tropical (TCs) and extra-tropical cyclones (ETCs). We present a reanalysis from 1988 to 2015 of extreme sea levels that explicitly include TCs for the western North-Atlantic coastline. Validation shows a good agreement between modeled and observed sea levels and demonstrates that the framework can capture large-scale variability in extreme sea levels. We apply the 28-year reanalysis to analyze spatiotemporal patterns. Along the US Atlantic coasts the contribution of tides can be significant, with the average contribution of tides during the 10 largest events up to 55% in some locations, whereas along the Mexican Southern Gulf coast, the average contribution of tides over the largest 10 events is generally below 25%. At the US Atlantic coast, ETCs are responsible for 8.5 out of the 10 largest extreme events, whereas at the Gulf Coast and Caribbean TCs dominate. During the TC season more TC-driven events exceed a 10-year return period. During winter, there is a peak in ETC-driven events. Future research directions include coupling the framework with synthetic tropical cyclone tracks and extension to the global scale. Text North Atlantic PubMed Central (PMC) Scientific Reports 9 1 |
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Article Muis, Sanne Lin, Ning Verlaan, Martin Winsemius, Hessel C. Ward, Philip J. Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H. Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts |
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The western North-Atlantic coast experienced major coastal floods in recent years. Coastal floods are primarily composed of tides and storm surges due to tropical (TCs) and extra-tropical cyclones (ETCs). We present a reanalysis from 1988 to 2015 of extreme sea levels that explicitly include TCs for the western North-Atlantic coastline. Validation shows a good agreement between modeled and observed sea levels and demonstrates that the framework can capture large-scale variability in extreme sea levels. We apply the 28-year reanalysis to analyze spatiotemporal patterns. Along the US Atlantic coasts the contribution of tides can be significant, with the average contribution of tides during the 10 largest events up to 55% in some locations, whereas along the Mexican Southern Gulf coast, the average contribution of tides over the largest 10 events is generally below 25%. At the US Atlantic coast, ETCs are responsible for 8.5 out of the 10 largest extreme events, whereas at the Gulf Coast and Caribbean TCs dominate. During the TC season more TC-driven events exceed a 10-year return period. During winter, there is a peak in ETC-driven events. Future research directions include coupling the framework with synthetic tropical cyclone tracks and extension to the global scale. |
format |
Text |
author |
Muis, Sanne Lin, Ning Verlaan, Martin Winsemius, Hessel C. Ward, Philip J. Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H. |
author_facet |
Muis, Sanne Lin, Ning Verlaan, Martin Winsemius, Hessel C. Ward, Philip J. Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H. |
author_sort |
Muis, Sanne |
title |
Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts |
title_short |
Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts |
title_full |
Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts |
title_fullStr |
Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts |
title_full_unstemmed |
Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts |
title_sort |
spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western north-atlantic coasts |
publisher |
Nature Publishing Group UK |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6399338/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30833680 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40157-w |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6399338/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30833680 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40157-w |
op_rights |
© The Author(s) 2019 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. |
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CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40157-w |
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Scientific Reports |
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