Structural stability as a consistent predictor of phenological events
The timing of the first and last seasonal appearance of a species in a community typically follows a pattern that is governed by temporal factors. While it has been shown that changes in the environment are linked to phenological changes, the direction of this link appears elusive and context-depend...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:6015855 2023-05-15T15:06:29+02:00 Structural stability as a consistent predictor of phenological events Song, Chuliang Saavedra, Serguei 2018-06-13 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6015855/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29899073 https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2018.0767 en eng The Royal Society http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6015855/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29899073 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2018.0767 © 2018 The Author(s) http://royalsocietypublishing.org/licence Published by the Royal Society. All rights reserved. Ecology Text 2018 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2018.0767 2019-06-16T00:08:36Z The timing of the first and last seasonal appearance of a species in a community typically follows a pattern that is governed by temporal factors. While it has been shown that changes in the environment are linked to phenological changes, the direction of this link appears elusive and context-dependent. Thus, finding consistent predictors of phenological events is of central importance for a better assessment of expected changes in the temporal dynamics of ecological communities. Here we introduce a measure of structural stability derived from species interaction networks as an estimator of the expected range of environmental conditions compatible with the existence of a community. We test this measure as a predictor of changes in species richness recorded on a daily basis in a high-arctic plant–pollinator community during two spring seasons. We find that our measure of structural stability is the only consistent predictor of changes in species richness among different ecological and environmental variables. Our findings suggest that measures based on the notion of structural stability can synthesize the expected variation of environmental conditions tolerated by a community, and explain more consistently the phenological changes observed in ecological communities. Text Arctic PubMed Central (PMC) Arctic Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 285 1880 20180767 |
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ftpubmed |
language |
English |
topic |
Ecology |
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Ecology Song, Chuliang Saavedra, Serguei Structural stability as a consistent predictor of phenological events |
topic_facet |
Ecology |
description |
The timing of the first and last seasonal appearance of a species in a community typically follows a pattern that is governed by temporal factors. While it has been shown that changes in the environment are linked to phenological changes, the direction of this link appears elusive and context-dependent. Thus, finding consistent predictors of phenological events is of central importance for a better assessment of expected changes in the temporal dynamics of ecological communities. Here we introduce a measure of structural stability derived from species interaction networks as an estimator of the expected range of environmental conditions compatible with the existence of a community. We test this measure as a predictor of changes in species richness recorded on a daily basis in a high-arctic plant–pollinator community during two spring seasons. We find that our measure of structural stability is the only consistent predictor of changes in species richness among different ecological and environmental variables. Our findings suggest that measures based on the notion of structural stability can synthesize the expected variation of environmental conditions tolerated by a community, and explain more consistently the phenological changes observed in ecological communities. |
format |
Text |
author |
Song, Chuliang Saavedra, Serguei |
author_facet |
Song, Chuliang Saavedra, Serguei |
author_sort |
Song, Chuliang |
title |
Structural stability as a consistent predictor of phenological events |
title_short |
Structural stability as a consistent predictor of phenological events |
title_full |
Structural stability as a consistent predictor of phenological events |
title_fullStr |
Structural stability as a consistent predictor of phenological events |
title_full_unstemmed |
Structural stability as a consistent predictor of phenological events |
title_sort |
structural stability as a consistent predictor of phenological events |
publisher |
The Royal Society |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6015855/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29899073 https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2018.0767 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6015855/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29899073 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2018.0767 |
op_rights |
© 2018 The Author(s) http://royalsocietypublishing.org/licence Published by the Royal Society. All rights reserved. |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2018.0767 |
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Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences |
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285 |
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1880 |
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20180767 |
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1766338080687521792 |