Climigration? Population and climate change in Arctic Alaska
Residents of towns and villages in Arctic Alaska live on “the front line of climate change.” Some communities face immediate threats from erosion and flooding associated with thawing permafrost, increasing river flows, and reduced sea ice protection of shorelines. The term climigration, referring to...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:5080311 2023-05-15T14:51:37+02:00 Climigration? Population and climate change in Arctic Alaska Hamilton, Lawrence C. Saito, Kei Loring, Philip A. Lammers, Richard B. Huntington, Henry P. 2016-06-23 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5080311/ https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-016-0259-6 en eng Springer Netherlands http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5080311/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11111-016-0259-6 © The Author(s) 2016 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. CC-BY Original Paper Text 2016 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-016-0259-6 2016-11-13T01:04:55Z Residents of towns and villages in Arctic Alaska live on “the front line of climate change.” Some communities face immediate threats from erosion and flooding associated with thawing permafrost, increasing river flows, and reduced sea ice protection of shorelines. The term climigration, referring to migration caused by climate change, originally was coined for these places. Although initial applications emphasized the need for government relocation policies, it has elsewhere been applied more broadly to encompass unplanned migration as well. Some historical movements have been attributed to climate change, but closer study tends to find multiple causes, making it difficult to quantify the climate contribution. Clearer attribution might come from comparisons of migration rates among places that are similar in most respects, apart from known climatic impacts. We apply this approach using annual 1990–2014 time series on 43 Arctic Alaska towns and villages. Within-community time plots show no indication of enhanced out-migration from the most at-risk communities. More formally, there is no significant difference between net migration rates of at-risk and other places, testing several alternative classifications. Although climigration is not detectable to date, growing risks make either planned or unplanned movements unavoidable in the near future. Text Arctic Climate change Ice permafrost Sea ice Alaska PubMed Central (PMC) Arctic Population and Environment 38 2 115 133 |
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Original Paper Hamilton, Lawrence C. Saito, Kei Loring, Philip A. Lammers, Richard B. Huntington, Henry P. Climigration? Population and climate change in Arctic Alaska |
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Original Paper |
description |
Residents of towns and villages in Arctic Alaska live on “the front line of climate change.” Some communities face immediate threats from erosion and flooding associated with thawing permafrost, increasing river flows, and reduced sea ice protection of shorelines. The term climigration, referring to migration caused by climate change, originally was coined for these places. Although initial applications emphasized the need for government relocation policies, it has elsewhere been applied more broadly to encompass unplanned migration as well. Some historical movements have been attributed to climate change, but closer study tends to find multiple causes, making it difficult to quantify the climate contribution. Clearer attribution might come from comparisons of migration rates among places that are similar in most respects, apart from known climatic impacts. We apply this approach using annual 1990–2014 time series on 43 Arctic Alaska towns and villages. Within-community time plots show no indication of enhanced out-migration from the most at-risk communities. More formally, there is no significant difference between net migration rates of at-risk and other places, testing several alternative classifications. Although climigration is not detectable to date, growing risks make either planned or unplanned movements unavoidable in the near future. |
format |
Text |
author |
Hamilton, Lawrence C. Saito, Kei Loring, Philip A. Lammers, Richard B. Huntington, Henry P. |
author_facet |
Hamilton, Lawrence C. Saito, Kei Loring, Philip A. Lammers, Richard B. Huntington, Henry P. |
author_sort |
Hamilton, Lawrence C. |
title |
Climigration? Population and climate change in Arctic Alaska |
title_short |
Climigration? Population and climate change in Arctic Alaska |
title_full |
Climigration? Population and climate change in Arctic Alaska |
title_fullStr |
Climigration? Population and climate change in Arctic Alaska |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climigration? Population and climate change in Arctic Alaska |
title_sort |
climigration? population and climate change in arctic alaska |
publisher |
Springer Netherlands |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5080311/ https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-016-0259-6 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Ice permafrost Sea ice Alaska |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Ice permafrost Sea ice Alaska |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5080311/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11111-016-0259-6 |
op_rights |
© The Author(s) 2016 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-016-0259-6 |
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Population and Environment |
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38 |
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2 |
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115 |
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133 |
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