Ensemble Modeling of the Baltic Sea Ecosystem to Provide Scenarios for Management
We present a multi-model ensemble study for the Baltic Sea, and investigate the combined impact of changing climate, external nutrient supply, and fisheries on the marine ecosystem. The applied regional climate system model contains state-of-the-art component models for the atmosphere, sea ice, ocea...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:3888662 2023-05-15T18:18:14+02:00 Ensemble Modeling of the Baltic Sea Ecosystem to Provide Scenarios for Management Meier, H. E. Markus Andersson, Helén C. Arheimer, Berit Donnelly, Chantal Eilola, Kari Gustafsson, Bo G. Kotwicki, Lech Neset, Tina-Simone Niiranen, Susa Piwowarczyk, Joanna Savchuk, Oleg P. Schenk, Frederik Węsławski, Jan Marcin Zorita, Eduardo 2014-01-12 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3888662 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24414803 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0475-6 en eng Springer Netherlands http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3888662 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24414803 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0475-6 © The Author(s) 2013 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits any use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and the source are credited. CC-BY Article Text 2014 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0475-6 2014-01-19T01:43:41Z We present a multi-model ensemble study for the Baltic Sea, and investigate the combined impact of changing climate, external nutrient supply, and fisheries on the marine ecosystem. The applied regional climate system model contains state-of-the-art component models for the atmosphere, sea ice, ocean, land surface, terrestrial and marine biogeochemistry, and marine food-web. Time-dependent scenario simulations for the period 1960–2100 are performed and uncertainties of future projections are estimated. In addition, reconstructions since 1850 are carried out to evaluate the models sensitivity to external stressors on long time scales. Information from scenario simulations are used to support decision-makers and stakeholders and to raise awareness of climate change, environmental problems, and possible abatement strategies among the general public using geovisualization. It is concluded that the study results are relevant for the Baltic Sea Action Plan of the Helsinki Commission. Text Sea ice PubMed Central (PMC) AMBIO 43 1 37 48 |
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Article |
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Article Meier, H. E. Markus Andersson, Helén C. Arheimer, Berit Donnelly, Chantal Eilola, Kari Gustafsson, Bo G. Kotwicki, Lech Neset, Tina-Simone Niiranen, Susa Piwowarczyk, Joanna Savchuk, Oleg P. Schenk, Frederik Węsławski, Jan Marcin Zorita, Eduardo Ensemble Modeling of the Baltic Sea Ecosystem to Provide Scenarios for Management |
topic_facet |
Article |
description |
We present a multi-model ensemble study for the Baltic Sea, and investigate the combined impact of changing climate, external nutrient supply, and fisheries on the marine ecosystem. The applied regional climate system model contains state-of-the-art component models for the atmosphere, sea ice, ocean, land surface, terrestrial and marine biogeochemistry, and marine food-web. Time-dependent scenario simulations for the period 1960–2100 are performed and uncertainties of future projections are estimated. In addition, reconstructions since 1850 are carried out to evaluate the models sensitivity to external stressors on long time scales. Information from scenario simulations are used to support decision-makers and stakeholders and to raise awareness of climate change, environmental problems, and possible abatement strategies among the general public using geovisualization. It is concluded that the study results are relevant for the Baltic Sea Action Plan of the Helsinki Commission. |
format |
Text |
author |
Meier, H. E. Markus Andersson, Helén C. Arheimer, Berit Donnelly, Chantal Eilola, Kari Gustafsson, Bo G. Kotwicki, Lech Neset, Tina-Simone Niiranen, Susa Piwowarczyk, Joanna Savchuk, Oleg P. Schenk, Frederik Węsławski, Jan Marcin Zorita, Eduardo |
author_facet |
Meier, H. E. Markus Andersson, Helén C. Arheimer, Berit Donnelly, Chantal Eilola, Kari Gustafsson, Bo G. Kotwicki, Lech Neset, Tina-Simone Niiranen, Susa Piwowarczyk, Joanna Savchuk, Oleg P. Schenk, Frederik Węsławski, Jan Marcin Zorita, Eduardo |
author_sort |
Meier, H. E. Markus |
title |
Ensemble Modeling of the Baltic Sea Ecosystem to Provide Scenarios for Management |
title_short |
Ensemble Modeling of the Baltic Sea Ecosystem to Provide Scenarios for Management |
title_full |
Ensemble Modeling of the Baltic Sea Ecosystem to Provide Scenarios for Management |
title_fullStr |
Ensemble Modeling of the Baltic Sea Ecosystem to Provide Scenarios for Management |
title_full_unstemmed |
Ensemble Modeling of the Baltic Sea Ecosystem to Provide Scenarios for Management |
title_sort |
ensemble modeling of the baltic sea ecosystem to provide scenarios for management |
publisher |
Springer Netherlands |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3888662 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24414803 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0475-6 |
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Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Sea ice |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3888662 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24414803 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0475-6 |
op_rights |
© The Author(s) 2013 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits any use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and the source are credited. |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0475-6 |
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AMBIO |
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