Climate change impact on seaweed meadow distribution in the North Atlantic rocky intertidal
The North-Atlantic has warmed faster than all other ocean basins and climate change scenarios predict sea surface temperature isotherms to shift up to 600 km northwards by the end of the 21st century. The pole-ward shift has already begun for many temperate seaweed species that are important interti...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:3678489 2023-05-15T14:58:42+02:00 Climate change impact on seaweed meadow distribution in the North Atlantic rocky intertidal Jueterbock, Alexander Tyberghein, Lennert Verbruggen, Heroen Coyer, James A Olsen, Jeanine L Hoarau, Galice 2013-05 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3678489 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23762521 https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.541 en eng Blackwell Publishing Ltd http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3678489 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23762521 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.541 © 2013 Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ Re-use of this article is permitted in accordance with the Creative Commons Deed, Attribution 2.5, which does not permit commercial exploitation. CC-BY Original Research Text 2013 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.541 2013-09-05T00:54:41Z The North-Atlantic has warmed faster than all other ocean basins and climate change scenarios predict sea surface temperature isotherms to shift up to 600 km northwards by the end of the 21st century. The pole-ward shift has already begun for many temperate seaweed species that are important intertidal foundation species. We asked the question: Where will climate change have the greatest impact on three foundational, macroalgal species that occur along North-Atlantic shores: Fucus serratus, Fucus vesiculosus, and Ascophyllum nodosum? To predict distributional changes of these key species under three IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) climate change scenarios (A2, A1B, and B1) over the coming two centuries, we generated Ecological Niche Models with the program MAXENT. Model predictions suggest that these three species will shift northwards as an assemblage or “unit” and that phytogeographic changes will be most pronounced in the southern Arctic and the southern temperate provinces. Our models predict that Arctic shores in Canada, Greenland, and Spitsbergen will become suitable for all three species by 2100. Shores south of 45° North will become unsuitable for at least two of the three focal species on both the Northwest- and Northeast-Atlantic coasts by 2200. If these foundational species are unable to adapt to the rising temperatures, they will lose their centers of genetic diversity and their loss will trigger an unpredictable shift in the North-Atlantic intertidal ecosystem. Text Arctic Climate change Greenland North Atlantic Northeast Atlantic Spitsbergen PubMed Central (PMC) Arctic Canada Greenland Ecology and Evolution 3 5 1356 1373 |
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Original Research |
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Original Research Jueterbock, Alexander Tyberghein, Lennert Verbruggen, Heroen Coyer, James A Olsen, Jeanine L Hoarau, Galice Climate change impact on seaweed meadow distribution in the North Atlantic rocky intertidal |
topic_facet |
Original Research |
description |
The North-Atlantic has warmed faster than all other ocean basins and climate change scenarios predict sea surface temperature isotherms to shift up to 600 km northwards by the end of the 21st century. The pole-ward shift has already begun for many temperate seaweed species that are important intertidal foundation species. We asked the question: Where will climate change have the greatest impact on three foundational, macroalgal species that occur along North-Atlantic shores: Fucus serratus, Fucus vesiculosus, and Ascophyllum nodosum? To predict distributional changes of these key species under three IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) climate change scenarios (A2, A1B, and B1) over the coming two centuries, we generated Ecological Niche Models with the program MAXENT. Model predictions suggest that these three species will shift northwards as an assemblage or “unit” and that phytogeographic changes will be most pronounced in the southern Arctic and the southern temperate provinces. Our models predict that Arctic shores in Canada, Greenland, and Spitsbergen will become suitable for all three species by 2100. Shores south of 45° North will become unsuitable for at least two of the three focal species on both the Northwest- and Northeast-Atlantic coasts by 2200. If these foundational species are unable to adapt to the rising temperatures, they will lose their centers of genetic diversity and their loss will trigger an unpredictable shift in the North-Atlantic intertidal ecosystem. |
format |
Text |
author |
Jueterbock, Alexander Tyberghein, Lennert Verbruggen, Heroen Coyer, James A Olsen, Jeanine L Hoarau, Galice |
author_facet |
Jueterbock, Alexander Tyberghein, Lennert Verbruggen, Heroen Coyer, James A Olsen, Jeanine L Hoarau, Galice |
author_sort |
Jueterbock, Alexander |
title |
Climate change impact on seaweed meadow distribution in the North Atlantic rocky intertidal |
title_short |
Climate change impact on seaweed meadow distribution in the North Atlantic rocky intertidal |
title_full |
Climate change impact on seaweed meadow distribution in the North Atlantic rocky intertidal |
title_fullStr |
Climate change impact on seaweed meadow distribution in the North Atlantic rocky intertidal |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate change impact on seaweed meadow distribution in the North Atlantic rocky intertidal |
title_sort |
climate change impact on seaweed meadow distribution in the north atlantic rocky intertidal |
publisher |
Blackwell Publishing Ltd |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3678489 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23762521 https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.541 |
geographic |
Arctic Canada Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Canada Greenland |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Greenland North Atlantic Northeast Atlantic Spitsbergen |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Greenland North Atlantic Northeast Atlantic Spitsbergen |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3678489 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23762521 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.541 |
op_rights |
© 2013 Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ Re-use of this article is permitted in accordance with the Creative Commons Deed, Attribution 2.5, which does not permit commercial exploitation. |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.541 |
container_title |
Ecology and Evolution |
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3 |
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5 |
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1356 |
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1373 |
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1766330828309135360 |