Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe
Several studies provide evidence of a link between vector-borne disease outbreaks and El Niño driven climate anomalies. Less investigated are the effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, we test its impact on outbreak occurrences of 13 infectious diseases over Europe during the last fi...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:3642657 2023-05-15T17:32:28+02:00 Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe Morand, Serge Owers, Katharine A. Waret-Szkuta, Agnes McIntyre, K. Marie Baylis, Matthew 2013-05-03 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3642657 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23639950 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01774 en eng Nature Publishing Group http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3642657 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23639950 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep01774 Copyright © 2013, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ CC-BY-NC-ND Article Text 2013 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01774 2013-09-04T23:14:33Z Several studies provide evidence of a link between vector-borne disease outbreaks and El Niño driven climate anomalies. Less investigated are the effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, we test its impact on outbreak occurrences of 13 infectious diseases over Europe during the last fifty years, controlling for potential bias due to increased surveillance and detection. NAO variation statistically influenced the outbreak occurrence of eleven of the infectious diseases. Seven diseases were associated with winter NAO positive phases in northern Europe, and therefore with above-average temperatures and precipitation. Two diseases were associated with the summer or spring NAO negative phases in northern Europe, and therefore with below-average temperatures and precipitation. Two diseases were associated with summer positive or negative NAO phases in southern Mediterranean countries. These findings suggest that there is potential for developing early warning systems, based on climatic variation information, for improved outbreak control and management. Text North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation PubMed Central (PMC) Scientific Reports 3 1 |
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Article Morand, Serge Owers, Katharine A. Waret-Szkuta, Agnes McIntyre, K. Marie Baylis, Matthew Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe |
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Article |
description |
Several studies provide evidence of a link between vector-borne disease outbreaks and El Niño driven climate anomalies. Less investigated are the effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, we test its impact on outbreak occurrences of 13 infectious diseases over Europe during the last fifty years, controlling for potential bias due to increased surveillance and detection. NAO variation statistically influenced the outbreak occurrence of eleven of the infectious diseases. Seven diseases were associated with winter NAO positive phases in northern Europe, and therefore with above-average temperatures and precipitation. Two diseases were associated with the summer or spring NAO negative phases in northern Europe, and therefore with below-average temperatures and precipitation. Two diseases were associated with summer positive or negative NAO phases in southern Mediterranean countries. These findings suggest that there is potential for developing early warning systems, based on climatic variation information, for improved outbreak control and management. |
format |
Text |
author |
Morand, Serge Owers, Katharine A. Waret-Szkuta, Agnes McIntyre, K. Marie Baylis, Matthew |
author_facet |
Morand, Serge Owers, Katharine A. Waret-Szkuta, Agnes McIntyre, K. Marie Baylis, Matthew |
author_sort |
Morand, Serge |
title |
Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe |
title_short |
Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe |
title_full |
Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe |
title_fullStr |
Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe |
title_sort |
climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in europe |
publisher |
Nature Publishing Group |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3642657 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23639950 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01774 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3642657 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23639950 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep01774 |
op_rights |
Copyright © 2013, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ |
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CC-BY-NC-ND |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01774 |
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Scientific Reports |
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3 |
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1 |
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1766130624218791936 |