Future Distribution of Arctic Char Salvelinus alpinus in Sweden under Climate Change: Effects of Temperature, Lake Size and Species Interactions
Novel communities will be formed as species with a variety of dispersal abilities and environmental tolerances respond individually to climate change. Thus, models projecting future species distributions must account for species interactions and differential dispersal abilities. We developed a speci...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:3535054 2023-05-15T14:42:07+02:00 Future Distribution of Arctic Char Salvelinus alpinus in Sweden under Climate Change: Effects of Temperature, Lake Size and Species Interactions Hein, Catherine L. Öhlund, Gunnar Englund, Göran 2012-08-03 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3535054 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22864703 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-012-0308-z en eng Springer Netherlands http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3535054 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22864703 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-012-0308-z © Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2012 Article Text 2012 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-012-0308-z 2013-09-04T17:52:45Z Novel communities will be formed as species with a variety of dispersal abilities and environmental tolerances respond individually to climate change. Thus, models projecting future species distributions must account for species interactions and differential dispersal abilities. We developed a species distribution model for Arctic char Salvelinus alpinus, a freshwater fish that is sensitive both to warm temperatures and to species interactions. A logistic regression model using lake area, mean annual air temperature (1961–1990), pike Esox lucius and brown trout Salmo trutta occurrence correctly classified 95 % of 467 Swedish lakes. We predicted that Arctic char will lose 73 % of its range in Sweden by 2100. Predicted extinctions could be attributed both to simulated temperature increases and to projected pike invasions. The Swedish mountains will continue to provide refugia for Arctic char in the future and should be the focus of conservation efforts for this highly valued fish. Text Arctic Climate change Esox lucius Salvelinus alpinus PubMed Central (PMC) Arctic AMBIO 41 S3 303 312 |
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Article Hein, Catherine L. Öhlund, Gunnar Englund, Göran Future Distribution of Arctic Char Salvelinus alpinus in Sweden under Climate Change: Effects of Temperature, Lake Size and Species Interactions |
topic_facet |
Article |
description |
Novel communities will be formed as species with a variety of dispersal abilities and environmental tolerances respond individually to climate change. Thus, models projecting future species distributions must account for species interactions and differential dispersal abilities. We developed a species distribution model for Arctic char Salvelinus alpinus, a freshwater fish that is sensitive both to warm temperatures and to species interactions. A logistic regression model using lake area, mean annual air temperature (1961–1990), pike Esox lucius and brown trout Salmo trutta occurrence correctly classified 95 % of 467 Swedish lakes. We predicted that Arctic char will lose 73 % of its range in Sweden by 2100. Predicted extinctions could be attributed both to simulated temperature increases and to projected pike invasions. The Swedish mountains will continue to provide refugia for Arctic char in the future and should be the focus of conservation efforts for this highly valued fish. |
format |
Text |
author |
Hein, Catherine L. Öhlund, Gunnar Englund, Göran |
author_facet |
Hein, Catherine L. Öhlund, Gunnar Englund, Göran |
author_sort |
Hein, Catherine L. |
title |
Future Distribution of Arctic Char Salvelinus alpinus in Sweden under Climate Change: Effects of Temperature, Lake Size and Species Interactions |
title_short |
Future Distribution of Arctic Char Salvelinus alpinus in Sweden under Climate Change: Effects of Temperature, Lake Size and Species Interactions |
title_full |
Future Distribution of Arctic Char Salvelinus alpinus in Sweden under Climate Change: Effects of Temperature, Lake Size and Species Interactions |
title_fullStr |
Future Distribution of Arctic Char Salvelinus alpinus in Sweden under Climate Change: Effects of Temperature, Lake Size and Species Interactions |
title_full_unstemmed |
Future Distribution of Arctic Char Salvelinus alpinus in Sweden under Climate Change: Effects of Temperature, Lake Size and Species Interactions |
title_sort |
future distribution of arctic char salvelinus alpinus in sweden under climate change: effects of temperature, lake size and species interactions |
publisher |
Springer Netherlands |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3535054 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22864703 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-012-0308-z |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Esox lucius Salvelinus alpinus |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Esox lucius Salvelinus alpinus |
op_relation |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3535054 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22864703 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-012-0308-z |
op_rights |
© Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2012 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-012-0308-z |
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41 |
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303 |
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312 |
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