Arctic Climate Tipping Points
There is widespread concern that anthropogenic global warming will trigger Arctic climate tipping points. The Arctic has a long history of natural, abrupt climate changes, which together with current observations and model projections, can help us to identify which parts of the Arctic climate system...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:3357822 2023-05-15T14:32:10+02:00 Arctic Climate Tipping Points Lenton, Timothy M. 2012-01-22 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3357822 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22270703 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-011-0221-x en eng Springer Netherlands http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3357822 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22270703 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-011-0221-x © Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2012 Article Text 2012 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-011-0221-x 2013-09-04T07:36:26Z There is widespread concern that anthropogenic global warming will trigger Arctic climate tipping points. The Arctic has a long history of natural, abrupt climate changes, which together with current observations and model projections, can help us to identify which parts of the Arctic climate system might pass future tipping points. Here the climate tipping points are defined, noting that not all of them involve bifurcations leading to irreversible change. Past abrupt climate changes in the Arctic are briefly reviewed. Then, the current behaviour of a range of Arctic systems is summarised. Looking ahead, a range of potential tipping phenomena are described. This leads to a revised and expanded list of potential Arctic climate tipping elements, whose likelihood is assessed, in terms of how much warming will be required to tip them. Finally, the available responses are considered, especially the prospects for avoiding Arctic climate tipping points. Text Arctic Global warming PubMed Central (PMC) Arctic AMBIO 41 1 10 22 |
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Article Lenton, Timothy M. Arctic Climate Tipping Points |
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There is widespread concern that anthropogenic global warming will trigger Arctic climate tipping points. The Arctic has a long history of natural, abrupt climate changes, which together with current observations and model projections, can help us to identify which parts of the Arctic climate system might pass future tipping points. Here the climate tipping points are defined, noting that not all of them involve bifurcations leading to irreversible change. Past abrupt climate changes in the Arctic are briefly reviewed. Then, the current behaviour of a range of Arctic systems is summarised. Looking ahead, a range of potential tipping phenomena are described. This leads to a revised and expanded list of potential Arctic climate tipping elements, whose likelihood is assessed, in terms of how much warming will be required to tip them. Finally, the available responses are considered, especially the prospects for avoiding Arctic climate tipping points. |
format |
Text |
author |
Lenton, Timothy M. |
author_facet |
Lenton, Timothy M. |
author_sort |
Lenton, Timothy M. |
title |
Arctic Climate Tipping Points |
title_short |
Arctic Climate Tipping Points |
title_full |
Arctic Climate Tipping Points |
title_fullStr |
Arctic Climate Tipping Points |
title_full_unstemmed |
Arctic Climate Tipping Points |
title_sort |
arctic climate tipping points |
publisher |
Springer Netherlands |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3357822 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22270703 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-011-0221-x |
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Arctic |
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Arctic |
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Arctic Global warming |
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Arctic Global warming |
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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3357822 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22270703 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-011-0221-x |
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© Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2012 |
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https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-011-0221-x |
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