Arctic weather variability and connectivity
The Arctic’s rapid sea ice decline may influence global weather patterns, making the understanding of Arctic weather variability (WV) vital for accurate weather forecasting and analyzing extreme weather events. Quantifying this WV and its impacts under human-induced climate change remains a challeng...
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ftpubmed:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:10584854 2023-11-12T04:10:31+01:00 Arctic weather variability and connectivity Meng, Jun Fan, Jingfang Bhatt, Uma S. Kurths, Jürgen 2023-10-18 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10584854/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37852979 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42351-x en eng Nature Publishing Group UK http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10584854/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37852979 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42351-x © Springer Nature Limited 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . Nat Commun Article Text 2023 ftpubmed https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42351-x 2023-10-22T01:02:31Z The Arctic’s rapid sea ice decline may influence global weather patterns, making the understanding of Arctic weather variability (WV) vital for accurate weather forecasting and analyzing extreme weather events. Quantifying this WV and its impacts under human-induced climate change remains a challenge. Here we develop a complexity-based approach and discover a strong statistical correlation between intraseasonal WV in the Arctic and the Arctic Oscillation. Our findings highlight an increased variability in daily Arctic sea ice, attributed to its decline accelerated by global warming. This weather instability can influence broader regional patterns via atmospheric teleconnections, elevating risks to human activities and weather forecast predictability. Our analyses reveal these teleconnections and a positive feedback loop between Arctic and global weather instabilities, offering insights into how Arctic changes affect global weather. This framework bridges complexity science, Arctic WV, and its widespread implications. Text Arctic Climate change Global warming Sea ice PubMed Central (PMC) Arctic Nature Communications 14 1 |
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Article Meng, Jun Fan, Jingfang Bhatt, Uma S. Kurths, Jürgen Arctic weather variability and connectivity |
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The Arctic’s rapid sea ice decline may influence global weather patterns, making the understanding of Arctic weather variability (WV) vital for accurate weather forecasting and analyzing extreme weather events. Quantifying this WV and its impacts under human-induced climate change remains a challenge. Here we develop a complexity-based approach and discover a strong statistical correlation between intraseasonal WV in the Arctic and the Arctic Oscillation. Our findings highlight an increased variability in daily Arctic sea ice, attributed to its decline accelerated by global warming. This weather instability can influence broader regional patterns via atmospheric teleconnections, elevating risks to human activities and weather forecast predictability. Our analyses reveal these teleconnections and a positive feedback loop between Arctic and global weather instabilities, offering insights into how Arctic changes affect global weather. This framework bridges complexity science, Arctic WV, and its widespread implications. |
format |
Text |
author |
Meng, Jun Fan, Jingfang Bhatt, Uma S. Kurths, Jürgen |
author_facet |
Meng, Jun Fan, Jingfang Bhatt, Uma S. Kurths, Jürgen |
author_sort |
Meng, Jun |
title |
Arctic weather variability and connectivity |
title_short |
Arctic weather variability and connectivity |
title_full |
Arctic weather variability and connectivity |
title_fullStr |
Arctic weather variability and connectivity |
title_full_unstemmed |
Arctic weather variability and connectivity |
title_sort |
arctic weather variability and connectivity |
publisher |
Nature Publishing Group UK |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10584854/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37852979 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42351-x |
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Arctic |
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Arctic |
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Arctic Climate change Global warming Sea ice |
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Arctic Climate change Global warming Sea ice |
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Nat Commun |
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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10584854/ http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37852979 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42351-x |
op_rights |
© Springer Nature Limited 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42351-x |
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Nature Communications |
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