The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification
Polar amplification - the phenomenon where external radiative forcing produces a larger change in surface temperature at high latitudes than the global average - is a key aspect of anthropogenic climate change, but its causes and consequences are not fully understood. The Polar Amplification Model I...
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ftpubman:oai:pure.mpg.de:item_3047366 2023-08-27T04:05:58+02:00 The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification Smith, D. Screen, J. Deser, C. Cohen, J. Fyfe, J. Garcia-Serrano, J. Jung, T. Kattsov, V. Matei, D. Msadek, R. Peings, Y. Sigmond, M. Ukita, J. Yoon, J. Zhang, X. 2019-03-25 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0003-5FEE-8 http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0003-5FF0-4 eng eng info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/GA641727 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/GA 727852 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/gmd-12-1139-2019 http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0003-5FEE-8 http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0003-5FF0-4 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Geoscientific Model Development info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2019 ftpubman https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1139-2019 2023-08-02T01:38:35Z Polar amplification - the phenomenon where external radiative forcing produces a larger change in surface temperature at high latitudes than the global average - is a key aspect of anthropogenic climate change, but its causes and consequences are not fully understood. The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to the sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6; Eyring et al., 2016) seeks to improve our understanding of this phenomenon through a coordinated set of numerical model experiments documented here. In particular, PAMIP will address the following primary questions: (1) what are the relative roles of local sea ice and remote sea surface temperature changes in driving polar amplification? (2) How does the global climate system respond to changes in Arctic and Antarctic sea ice? These issues will be addressed with multi-model simulations that are forced with different combinations of sea ice and/or sea surface temperatures representing present-day, pre-industrial and future conditions. The use of three time periods allows the signals of interest to be diagnosed in multiple ways. Lower-priority tier experiments are proposed to investigate additional aspects and provide further understanding of the physical processes. These experiments will address the following specific questions: what role does ocean-atmosphere coupling play in the response to sea ice? How and why does the atmospheric response to Arctic sea ice depend on the pattern of sea ice forcing? How and why does the atmospheric response to Arctic sea ice depend on the model background state? What have been the roles of local sea ice and remote sea surface temperature in polar amplification, and the response to sea ice, over the recent period since 1979? How does the response to sea ice evolve on decadal and longer timescales? A key goal of PAMIP is to determine the real-world situation using imperfect climate models. Although the experiments proposed here form a coordinated set, we anticipate a large spread ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Climate change Sea ice Max Planck Society: MPG.PuRe Antarctic Arctic Geoscientific Model Development 12 3 1139 1164 |
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Max Planck Society: MPG.PuRe |
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ftpubman |
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English |
description |
Polar amplification - the phenomenon where external radiative forcing produces a larger change in surface temperature at high latitudes than the global average - is a key aspect of anthropogenic climate change, but its causes and consequences are not fully understood. The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to the sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6; Eyring et al., 2016) seeks to improve our understanding of this phenomenon through a coordinated set of numerical model experiments documented here. In particular, PAMIP will address the following primary questions: (1) what are the relative roles of local sea ice and remote sea surface temperature changes in driving polar amplification? (2) How does the global climate system respond to changes in Arctic and Antarctic sea ice? These issues will be addressed with multi-model simulations that are forced with different combinations of sea ice and/or sea surface temperatures representing present-day, pre-industrial and future conditions. The use of three time periods allows the signals of interest to be diagnosed in multiple ways. Lower-priority tier experiments are proposed to investigate additional aspects and provide further understanding of the physical processes. These experiments will address the following specific questions: what role does ocean-atmosphere coupling play in the response to sea ice? How and why does the atmospheric response to Arctic sea ice depend on the pattern of sea ice forcing? How and why does the atmospheric response to Arctic sea ice depend on the model background state? What have been the roles of local sea ice and remote sea surface temperature in polar amplification, and the response to sea ice, over the recent period since 1979? How does the response to sea ice evolve on decadal and longer timescales? A key goal of PAMIP is to determine the real-world situation using imperfect climate models. Although the experiments proposed here form a coordinated set, we anticipate a large spread ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Smith, D. Screen, J. Deser, C. Cohen, J. Fyfe, J. Garcia-Serrano, J. Jung, T. Kattsov, V. Matei, D. Msadek, R. Peings, Y. Sigmond, M. Ukita, J. Yoon, J. Zhang, X. |
spellingShingle |
Smith, D. Screen, J. Deser, C. Cohen, J. Fyfe, J. Garcia-Serrano, J. Jung, T. Kattsov, V. Matei, D. Msadek, R. Peings, Y. Sigmond, M. Ukita, J. Yoon, J. Zhang, X. The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification |
author_facet |
Smith, D. Screen, J. Deser, C. Cohen, J. Fyfe, J. Garcia-Serrano, J. Jung, T. Kattsov, V. Matei, D. Msadek, R. Peings, Y. Sigmond, M. Ukita, J. Yoon, J. Zhang, X. |
author_sort |
Smith, D. |
title |
The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification |
title_short |
The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification |
title_full |
The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification |
title_fullStr |
The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification |
title_sort |
polar amplification model intercomparison project (pamip) contribution to cmip6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0003-5FEE-8 http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0003-5FF0-4 |
geographic |
Antarctic Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic Arctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Climate change Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Climate change Sea ice |
op_source |
Geoscientific Model Development |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/GA641727 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/GA 727852 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/gmd-12-1139-2019 http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0003-5FEE-8 http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0003-5FF0-4 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1139-2019 |
container_title |
Geoscientific Model Development |
container_volume |
12 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
1139 |
op_container_end_page |
1164 |
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1775346699231821824 |