A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change
Climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability studies tend to confine their attention to impacts and responses within the same geographical region. However, this approach ignores cross-border climate change impacts that occur remotely from the location of their initial impact and that may sev...
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ftpotsdamik:oai:publications.pik-potsdam.de:item_25892 2023-10-29T02:34:39+01:00 A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change Carter, T. Benzie, M. Campiglio, E. Carlsen, H. Fronzek, S. Hildén, M. Reyer, C. West, C. 2021-07-30 application/pdf https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25892 https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25892_1/component/file_25968/25892oa.pdf unknown info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307 https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25892 https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25892_1/component/file_25968/25892oa.pdf info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Global Environmental Change info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2021 ftpotsdamik https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307 2023-09-30T18:00:08Z Climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability studies tend to confine their attention to impacts and responses within the same geographical region. However, this approach ignores cross-border climate change impacts that occur remotely from the location of their initial impact and that may severely disrupt societies and livelihoods. We propose a conceptual framework and accompanying nomenclature for describing and analysing such cross-border impacts. The conceptual framework distinguishes an initial impact that is caused by a climate trigger within a specific region. Downstream consequences of that impact propagate through an impact transmission system while adaptation responses to deal with the impact propagate through a response transmission system. A key to understanding cross-border impacts and responses is a recognition of different types of climate triggers, categories of cross-border impacts, the scales and dynamics of impact transmission, the targets and dynamics of responses and the socio-economic and environmental context that also encompasses factors and processes unrelated to climate change. These insights can then provide a basis for identifying relevant causal relationships. We apply the framework to the floods that affected industrial production in Thailand in 2011, and to projected Arctic sea ice decline, and demonstrate that the framework can usefully capture the complex system dynamics of cross-border climate impacts. It also provides a useful mechanism to identify and understand adaptation strategies and their potential consequences in the wider context of resilience planning. The cross-border dimensions of climate impacts could become increasingly important as climate changes intensify. We conclude that our framework will allow for these to be properly accounted for, help to identify new areas of empirical and model-based research and thereby support climate risk management. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change Sea ice Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Global Environmental Change 69 102307 |
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Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) |
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ftpotsdamik |
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description |
Climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability studies tend to confine their attention to impacts and responses within the same geographical region. However, this approach ignores cross-border climate change impacts that occur remotely from the location of their initial impact and that may severely disrupt societies and livelihoods. We propose a conceptual framework and accompanying nomenclature for describing and analysing such cross-border impacts. The conceptual framework distinguishes an initial impact that is caused by a climate trigger within a specific region. Downstream consequences of that impact propagate through an impact transmission system while adaptation responses to deal with the impact propagate through a response transmission system. A key to understanding cross-border impacts and responses is a recognition of different types of climate triggers, categories of cross-border impacts, the scales and dynamics of impact transmission, the targets and dynamics of responses and the socio-economic and environmental context that also encompasses factors and processes unrelated to climate change. These insights can then provide a basis for identifying relevant causal relationships. We apply the framework to the floods that affected industrial production in Thailand in 2011, and to projected Arctic sea ice decline, and demonstrate that the framework can usefully capture the complex system dynamics of cross-border climate impacts. It also provides a useful mechanism to identify and understand adaptation strategies and their potential consequences in the wider context of resilience planning. The cross-border dimensions of climate impacts could become increasingly important as climate changes intensify. We conclude that our framework will allow for these to be properly accounted for, help to identify new areas of empirical and model-based research and thereby support climate risk management. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Carter, T. Benzie, M. Campiglio, E. Carlsen, H. Fronzek, S. Hildén, M. Reyer, C. West, C. |
spellingShingle |
Carter, T. Benzie, M. Campiglio, E. Carlsen, H. Fronzek, S. Hildén, M. Reyer, C. West, C. A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
author_facet |
Carter, T. Benzie, M. Campiglio, E. Carlsen, H. Fronzek, S. Hildén, M. Reyer, C. West, C. |
author_sort |
Carter, T. |
title |
A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
title_short |
A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
title_full |
A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
title_fullStr |
A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
title_sort |
conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25892 https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25892_1/component/file_25968/25892oa.pdf |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Sea ice |
op_source |
Global Environmental Change |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307 https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25892 https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25892_1/component/file_25968/25892oa.pdf |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307 |
container_title |
Global Environmental Change |
container_volume |
69 |
container_start_page |
102307 |
_version_ |
1781057320222982144 |