Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic
Recent studies have raised concerns about the potential reemergence of infectious diseases in Arctic regions associated with warming temperatures. Among these, particular attention has been devoted to anthrax, as a consequence of the outbreak that occurred in the Russian Yamalo-Nenets peninsula in 2...
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ftpolimilanoiris:oai:re.public.polimi.it:11311/1190476 2024-04-21T08:07:03+00:00 Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic Stella E. Mari L. Gabrieli J. Barbante C. Bertuzzo E. Stella, E. Mari, L. Gabrieli, J. Barbante, C. Bertuzzo, E. 2021 http://hdl.handle.net/11311/1190476 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 eng eng info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/WOS:000706473400001 volume:16 issue:10 firstpage:105013 lastpage:105013 numberofpages:1 journal:ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/773421 http://hdl.handle.net/11311/1190476 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85118643014 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess anthrax disease Arctic climate warming ecological niche model MaxEnt re-emerging diseases info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2021 ftpolimilanoiris https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 2024-03-25T16:58:09Z Recent studies have raised concerns about the potential reemergence of infectious diseases in Arctic regions associated with warming temperatures. Among these, particular attention has been devoted to anthrax, as a consequence of the outbreak that occurred in the Russian Yamalo-Nenets peninsula in 2016. Understanding how environmental change might influence the diffusion of this pathogen could allow informed decisions to prevent further zoonotic or epidemic episodes. To that end, the present study aims to identify and investigate the driving variables that may favor anthrax transmission within the Arctic, in order to build environmental niche maps describing the future suitability of these regions for the pathogen. To do so, we use the MaxEnt statistical learning tool informed by Arctic-specific variables, such as reindeer herd distribution and active-layer variation. Because of the relative lack of reliable georeferenced information in these regions, the resulting potential distribution maps are to be considered preliminary, but they can already provide a first assessment tool for local communities living in potential risk areas. They also indicate areas in which additional investigation is needed to improve the reliability of environmental niche modeling, hence the accuracy of risk mapping and the usefulness to Arctic communities. Article in Journal/Newspaper nenets Yamalo Nenets RE.PUBLIC@POLIMI - Research Publications at Politecnico di Milano Environmental Research Letters 16 10 105013 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
RE.PUBLIC@POLIMI - Research Publications at Politecnico di Milano |
op_collection_id |
ftpolimilanoiris |
language |
English |
topic |
anthrax disease Arctic climate warming ecological niche model MaxEnt re-emerging diseases |
spellingShingle |
anthrax disease Arctic climate warming ecological niche model MaxEnt re-emerging diseases Stella E. Mari L. Gabrieli J. Barbante C. Bertuzzo E. Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
topic_facet |
anthrax disease Arctic climate warming ecological niche model MaxEnt re-emerging diseases |
description |
Recent studies have raised concerns about the potential reemergence of infectious diseases in Arctic regions associated with warming temperatures. Among these, particular attention has been devoted to anthrax, as a consequence of the outbreak that occurred in the Russian Yamalo-Nenets peninsula in 2016. Understanding how environmental change might influence the diffusion of this pathogen could allow informed decisions to prevent further zoonotic or epidemic episodes. To that end, the present study aims to identify and investigate the driving variables that may favor anthrax transmission within the Arctic, in order to build environmental niche maps describing the future suitability of these regions for the pathogen. To do so, we use the MaxEnt statistical learning tool informed by Arctic-specific variables, such as reindeer herd distribution and active-layer variation. Because of the relative lack of reliable georeferenced information in these regions, the resulting potential distribution maps are to be considered preliminary, but they can already provide a first assessment tool for local communities living in potential risk areas. They also indicate areas in which additional investigation is needed to improve the reliability of environmental niche modeling, hence the accuracy of risk mapping and the usefulness to Arctic communities. |
author2 |
Stella, E. Mari, L. Gabrieli, J. Barbante, C. Bertuzzo, E. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Stella E. Mari L. Gabrieli J. Barbante C. Bertuzzo E. |
author_facet |
Stella E. Mari L. Gabrieli J. Barbante C. Bertuzzo E. |
author_sort |
Stella E. |
title |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_short |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_full |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_fullStr |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_sort |
mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the arctic |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11311/1190476 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 |
genre |
nenets Yamalo Nenets |
genre_facet |
nenets Yamalo Nenets |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/WOS:000706473400001 volume:16 issue:10 firstpage:105013 lastpage:105013 numberofpages:1 journal:ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/773421 http://hdl.handle.net/11311/1190476 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85118643014 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 |
container_title |
Environmental Research Letters |
container_volume |
16 |
container_issue |
10 |
container_start_page |
105013 |
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1796946605758218240 |