Rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions
Aim Identifying niche shifts is key for forecasting future species distributions. Non-indigenous species (NIS) are one of the greatest threats to biodiversity, and understanding how niche shifts affect the spread of NIS is fundamental. Here, we modelled the native and introduced niches, as well as t...
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Online Access: | http://plymsea.ac.uk/id/eprint/9558/ http://plymsea.ac.uk/id/eprint/9558/1/10.1111/ddi.13471 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/ddi.13471 |
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ftplymouthml:oai:plymsea.ac.uk:9558 2023-05-15T17:54:21+02:00 Rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions Mieszkowska, N Pack, KE Rius, M 2022-01-13 text http://plymsea.ac.uk/id/eprint/9558/ http://plymsea.ac.uk/id/eprint/9558/1/10.1111/ddi.13471 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/ddi.13471 en eng Wiley http://plymsea.ac.uk/id/eprint/9558/1/10.1111/ddi.13471 Mieszkowska, N; Pack, KE; Rius, M. 2022 Rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions. Diversity and Distributions. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13471 <https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13471> cc_by_4 CC-BY Biology Ecology and Environment Marine Sciences Publication - Article PeerReviewed 2022 ftplymouthml https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13471 2022-09-13T05:50:02Z Aim Identifying niche shifts is key for forecasting future species distributions. Non-indigenous species (NIS) are one of the greatest threats to biodiversity, and understanding how niche shifts affect the spread of NIS is fundamental. Here, we modelled the native and introduced niches, as well as the potential geographical extent of a widely distributed NIS, the Pacific oyster Magallana gigas. We then tested for niche shifts in environmental space and predicted spread under contemporary climate change (CCC) conditions. Location Global. Methods We used: (1) the two-dimensional Centroid shift, Overlap, Unfilling and Expansion (COUE) framework and (2) the n-dimensional hypervolume framework (NDH) to quantify the niches in both analogue and total environmental spaces. Niches were tested for equivalency by comparing the observed and randomized overlaps. Ensemble ecological niche models (ENMs) were then used to predict habitat suitability for the present-day and two future CCC scenarios. Results The NDH framework indicated that the introduced niche of M. gigas has shifted into new environmental conditions compared to the native niche. In contrast, COUE framework implied no niche shift, but the first two dimensions only accounted for a small proportion of the overall environmental variability. Ensemble ENMs revealed suitable areas where M. gigas has yet to be recorded and predicted both a poleward expansion and a tropical contraction of suitable habitat for M. gigas by 2100. Main conclusions We found that M. gigas has rapidly shifted its niche in both analogue and non-analogue environmental spaces since it was first recorded as introduced species over 50 years ago. Our results suggested that niche shifts facilitate both present-day and future spread of NIS. Additionally, our study demonstrated the importance of modelling niche dynamics in multidimensional space for predicting range shifts of NIS under CCC. Article in Journal/Newspaper Pacific oyster Plymouth Marine Science Electronic Archive (PlyMSEA - Plymouth Marine Laboratory, PML) Pacific Diversity and Distributions 28 4 596 610 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Plymouth Marine Science Electronic Archive (PlyMSEA - Plymouth Marine Laboratory, PML) |
op_collection_id |
ftplymouthml |
language |
English |
topic |
Biology Ecology and Environment Marine Sciences |
spellingShingle |
Biology Ecology and Environment Marine Sciences Mieszkowska, N Pack, KE Rius, M Rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions |
topic_facet |
Biology Ecology and Environment Marine Sciences |
description |
Aim Identifying niche shifts is key for forecasting future species distributions. Non-indigenous species (NIS) are one of the greatest threats to biodiversity, and understanding how niche shifts affect the spread of NIS is fundamental. Here, we modelled the native and introduced niches, as well as the potential geographical extent of a widely distributed NIS, the Pacific oyster Magallana gigas. We then tested for niche shifts in environmental space and predicted spread under contemporary climate change (CCC) conditions. Location Global. Methods We used: (1) the two-dimensional Centroid shift, Overlap, Unfilling and Expansion (COUE) framework and (2) the n-dimensional hypervolume framework (NDH) to quantify the niches in both analogue and total environmental spaces. Niches were tested for equivalency by comparing the observed and randomized overlaps. Ensemble ecological niche models (ENMs) were then used to predict habitat suitability for the present-day and two future CCC scenarios. Results The NDH framework indicated that the introduced niche of M. gigas has shifted into new environmental conditions compared to the native niche. In contrast, COUE framework implied no niche shift, but the first two dimensions only accounted for a small proportion of the overall environmental variability. Ensemble ENMs revealed suitable areas where M. gigas has yet to be recorded and predicted both a poleward expansion and a tropical contraction of suitable habitat for M. gigas by 2100. Main conclusions We found that M. gigas has rapidly shifted its niche in both analogue and non-analogue environmental spaces since it was first recorded as introduced species over 50 years ago. Our results suggested that niche shifts facilitate both present-day and future spread of NIS. Additionally, our study demonstrated the importance of modelling niche dynamics in multidimensional space for predicting range shifts of NIS under CCC. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Mieszkowska, N Pack, KE Rius, M |
author_facet |
Mieszkowska, N Pack, KE Rius, M |
author_sort |
Mieszkowska, N |
title |
Rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions |
title_short |
Rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions |
title_full |
Rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions |
title_fullStr |
Rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions |
title_full_unstemmed |
Rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions |
title_sort |
rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
http://plymsea.ac.uk/id/eprint/9558/ http://plymsea.ac.uk/id/eprint/9558/1/10.1111/ddi.13471 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/ddi.13471 |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
Pacific oyster |
genre_facet |
Pacific oyster |
op_relation |
http://plymsea.ac.uk/id/eprint/9558/1/10.1111/ddi.13471 Mieszkowska, N; Pack, KE; Rius, M. 2022 Rapid niche shifts as drivers for the spread of a non-indigenours species under novel environmental conditions. Diversity and Distributions. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13471 <https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13471> |
op_rights |
cc_by_4 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13471 |
container_title |
Diversity and Distributions |
container_volume |
28 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
596 |
op_container_end_page |
610 |
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1766162110023204864 |