A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections
Climate model projections have previously been used to compute ice shelf basal melt rates in ice sheet models, but the strategies employed – e.g., ocean input, parameterization, calibration technique, and corrections – have varied widely and are often ad hoc. Here, a methodology is proposed for the...
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ftosti:oai:osti.gov:1699464 2023-07-30T03:57:31+02:00 A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections Jourdain, Nicolas C. Asay-Davis, Xylar Hattermann, Tore Straneo, Fiammetta Seroussi, Hélène Little, Christopher M. Nowicki, Sophie 2023-07-03 application/pdf http://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1699464 https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1699464 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020 unknown http://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1699464 https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1699464 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020 doi:10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES 2023 ftosti https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020 2023-07-11T09:51:58Z Climate model projections have previously been used to compute ice shelf basal melt rates in ice sheet models, but the strategies employed – e.g., ocean input, parameterization, calibration technique, and corrections – have varied widely and are often ad hoc. Here, a methodology is proposed for the calculation of circum-Antarctic basal melt rates for floating ice, based on climate models, that is suitable for ISMIP6, the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project). The past and future evolution of ocean temperature and salinity is derived from a climate model by estimating anomalies with respect to the modern day, which are added to a present-day climatology constructed from existing observational datasets. Temperature and salinity are extrapolated to any position potentially occupied by a simulated ice shelf. A simple formulation is proposed for a basal melt parameterization in ISMIP6, constrained by the observed temperature climatology, with a quadratic dependency on either the nonlocal or local thermal forcing. Two calibration methods are proposed: (1) based on the mean Antarctic melt rate (MeanAnt) and (2) based on melt rates near Pine Island's deep grounding line (PIGL). Future Antarctic mean melt rates are an order of magnitude greater in PIGL than in MeanAnt. The PIGL calibration and the local parameterization result in more realistic melt rates near grounding lines. PIGL is also more consistent with observations of interannual melt rate variability underneath Pine Island and Dotson ice shelves. This work stresses the need for more physics and less calibration in the parameterizations and for more observations of hydrographic properties and melt rates at interannual and decadal timescales. Other/Unknown Material Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Ice Shelf Ice Shelves SciTec Connect (Office of Scientific and Technical Information - OSTI, U.S. Department of Energy) Antarctic The Cryosphere 14 9 3111 3134 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
SciTec Connect (Office of Scientific and Technical Information - OSTI, U.S. Department of Energy) |
op_collection_id |
ftosti |
language |
unknown |
topic |
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES |
spellingShingle |
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Jourdain, Nicolas C. Asay-Davis, Xylar Hattermann, Tore Straneo, Fiammetta Seroussi, Hélène Little, Christopher M. Nowicki, Sophie A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections |
topic_facet |
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES |
description |
Climate model projections have previously been used to compute ice shelf basal melt rates in ice sheet models, but the strategies employed – e.g., ocean input, parameterization, calibration technique, and corrections – have varied widely and are often ad hoc. Here, a methodology is proposed for the calculation of circum-Antarctic basal melt rates for floating ice, based on climate models, that is suitable for ISMIP6, the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project). The past and future evolution of ocean temperature and salinity is derived from a climate model by estimating anomalies with respect to the modern day, which are added to a present-day climatology constructed from existing observational datasets. Temperature and salinity are extrapolated to any position potentially occupied by a simulated ice shelf. A simple formulation is proposed for a basal melt parameterization in ISMIP6, constrained by the observed temperature climatology, with a quadratic dependency on either the nonlocal or local thermal forcing. Two calibration methods are proposed: (1) based on the mean Antarctic melt rate (MeanAnt) and (2) based on melt rates near Pine Island's deep grounding line (PIGL). Future Antarctic mean melt rates are an order of magnitude greater in PIGL than in MeanAnt. The PIGL calibration and the local parameterization result in more realistic melt rates near grounding lines. PIGL is also more consistent with observations of interannual melt rate variability underneath Pine Island and Dotson ice shelves. This work stresses the need for more physics and less calibration in the parameterizations and for more observations of hydrographic properties and melt rates at interannual and decadal timescales. |
author |
Jourdain, Nicolas C. Asay-Davis, Xylar Hattermann, Tore Straneo, Fiammetta Seroussi, Hélène Little, Christopher M. Nowicki, Sophie |
author_facet |
Jourdain, Nicolas C. Asay-Davis, Xylar Hattermann, Tore Straneo, Fiammetta Seroussi, Hélène Little, Christopher M. Nowicki, Sophie |
author_sort |
Jourdain, Nicolas C. |
title |
A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections |
title_short |
A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections |
title_full |
A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections |
title_fullStr |
A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections |
title_full_unstemmed |
A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections |
title_sort |
protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ismip6 antarctic ice sheet projections |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
http://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1699464 https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1699464 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020 |
geographic |
Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Ice Shelf Ice Shelves |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Ice Shelf Ice Shelves |
op_relation |
http://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1699464 https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1699464 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020 doi:10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020 |
container_title |
The Cryosphere |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
9 |
container_start_page |
3111 |
op_container_end_page |
3134 |
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1772817839421390848 |