Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region
Recent warming in the Arctic, which has been amplified during the winter1,2,3, greatly enhances microbial decomposition of soil organic matter and subsequent release of carbon dioxide (CO2)4. However, the amount of CO2 released in winter is not known and has not been well represented by ecosystem mo...
Published in: | Nature Climate Change |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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2019
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10852/75962 http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-79083 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8 |
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Universitet i Oslo: Digitale utgivelser ved UiO (DUO) |
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Recent warming in the Arctic, which has been amplified during the winter1,2,3, greatly enhances microbial decomposition of soil organic matter and subsequent release of carbon dioxide (CO2)4. However, the amount of CO2 released in winter is not known and has not been well represented by ecosystem models or empirically based estimates5,6. Here we synthesize regional in situ observations of CO2 flux from Arctic and boreal soils to assess current and future winter carbon losses from the northern permafrost domain. We estimate a contemporary loss of 1,662 TgC per year from the permafrost region during the winter season (October–April). This loss is greater than the average growing season carbon uptake for this region estimated from process models (−1,032 TgC per year). Extending model predictions to warmer conditions up to 2100 indicates that winter CO2 emissions will increase 17% under a moderate mitigation scenario—Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5—and 41% under business-as-usual emissions scenario—Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5. Our results provide a baseline for winter CO2 emissions from northern terrestrial regions and indicate that enhanced soil CO2 loss due to winter warming may offset growing season carbon uptake under future climatic conditions. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Natali, Susan M. Watts, Jennifer D. Rogers, Brendan M. Potter, Stefano Ludwig, Sarah M. Selbmann, Anne-Katrin Sullivan, Patrick F. Abbott, Benjamin W. Arndt, Kyla A. Birch, Leah Björkman, Mats P. Bloom, A. Anthony Celis, Gerardo Christensen, Torben R. Christiansen, Casper Tai Commane, Roisin Cooper, Elisabeth J. Crill, Patrick Czimczik, Claudia Davydov, Sergey Du, Jinyang Egan, Jocelyn E. Elberling, Bo Euskirchen, Eugenie S. Friborg, Thomas Genet, Hélène Göckede, Mathias Goodrich, Jordan P. Grogan, Paul Helbig, Manuel Jafarov, Elchin E. Jastrow, Julie D. Kalhori, Aram A. M. Kim, Yongwon Kimball, John S. Kutzbach, Lars Lara, Mark J. Larsen, Klaus S. Lee, Bang-Yong Liu, Zhihua Loranty, Michael M. Lund, Magnus Lupascu, Massimo Madani, Nima Malhotra, Avni Matamala, Roser McFarland, Jack McGuire, A. David Michelsen, Anders Minions, Christina Oechel, Walter C. Olefeldt, David Parmentier, Frans-Jan W. Pirk, Norbert Poulter, Ben Quinton, William Rezanezhad, Fereidoun Risk, David Sachs, Torsten Schaefer, Kevin Schmidt, Niels M. Schuur, Edward A. G. Semenchuk, Philipp R. Shaver, Gaius Sonnentag, Oliver Starr, Gregory Treat, Claire C. Waldrop, Mark P. Wang, Yihui Welker, Jeffrey Wille, Christian Xu, Xiaofeng Zhang, Zhen Zhuang, Qianlai Zona, Donatella |
spellingShingle |
Natali, Susan M. Watts, Jennifer D. Rogers, Brendan M. Potter, Stefano Ludwig, Sarah M. Selbmann, Anne-Katrin Sullivan, Patrick F. Abbott, Benjamin W. Arndt, Kyla A. Birch, Leah Björkman, Mats P. Bloom, A. Anthony Celis, Gerardo Christensen, Torben R. Christiansen, Casper Tai Commane, Roisin Cooper, Elisabeth J. Crill, Patrick Czimczik, Claudia Davydov, Sergey Du, Jinyang Egan, Jocelyn E. Elberling, Bo Euskirchen, Eugenie S. Friborg, Thomas Genet, Hélène Göckede, Mathias Goodrich, Jordan P. Grogan, Paul Helbig, Manuel Jafarov, Elchin E. Jastrow, Julie D. Kalhori, Aram A. M. Kim, Yongwon Kimball, John S. Kutzbach, Lars Lara, Mark J. Larsen, Klaus S. Lee, Bang-Yong Liu, Zhihua Loranty, Michael M. Lund, Magnus Lupascu, Massimo Madani, Nima Malhotra, Avni Matamala, Roser McFarland, Jack McGuire, A. David Michelsen, Anders Minions, Christina Oechel, Walter C. Olefeldt, David Parmentier, Frans-Jan W. Pirk, Norbert Poulter, Ben Quinton, William Rezanezhad, Fereidoun Risk, David Sachs, Torsten Schaefer, Kevin Schmidt, Niels M. Schuur, Edward A. G. Semenchuk, Philipp R. Shaver, Gaius Sonnentag, Oliver Starr, Gregory Treat, Claire C. Waldrop, Mark P. Wang, Yihui Welker, Jeffrey Wille, Christian Xu, Xiaofeng Zhang, Zhen Zhuang, Qianlai Zona, Donatella Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region |
author_facet |
Natali, Susan M. Watts, Jennifer D. Rogers, Brendan M. Potter, Stefano Ludwig, Sarah M. Selbmann, Anne-Katrin Sullivan, Patrick F. Abbott, Benjamin W. Arndt, Kyla A. Birch, Leah Björkman, Mats P. Bloom, A. Anthony Celis, Gerardo Christensen, Torben R. Christiansen, Casper Tai Commane, Roisin Cooper, Elisabeth J. Crill, Patrick Czimczik, Claudia Davydov, Sergey Du, Jinyang Egan, Jocelyn E. Elberling, Bo Euskirchen, Eugenie S. Friborg, Thomas Genet, Hélène Göckede, Mathias Goodrich, Jordan P. Grogan, Paul Helbig, Manuel Jafarov, Elchin E. Jastrow, Julie D. Kalhori, Aram A. M. Kim, Yongwon Kimball, John S. Kutzbach, Lars Lara, Mark J. Larsen, Klaus S. Lee, Bang-Yong Liu, Zhihua Loranty, Michael M. Lund, Magnus Lupascu, Massimo Madani, Nima Malhotra, Avni Matamala, Roser McFarland, Jack McGuire, A. David Michelsen, Anders Minions, Christina Oechel, Walter C. Olefeldt, David Parmentier, Frans-Jan W. Pirk, Norbert Poulter, Ben Quinton, William Rezanezhad, Fereidoun Risk, David Sachs, Torsten Schaefer, Kevin Schmidt, Niels M. Schuur, Edward A. G. Semenchuk, Philipp R. Shaver, Gaius Sonnentag, Oliver Starr, Gregory Treat, Claire C. Waldrop, Mark P. Wang, Yihui Welker, Jeffrey Wille, Christian Xu, Xiaofeng Zhang, Zhen Zhuang, Qianlai Zona, Donatella |
author_sort |
Natali, Susan M. |
title |
Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region |
title_short |
Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region |
title_full |
Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region |
title_fullStr |
Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region |
title_full_unstemmed |
Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region |
title_sort |
large loss of co2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10852/75962 http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-79083 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8 |
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Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic permafrost |
genre_facet |
Arctic permafrost |
op_source |
1758-678X |
op_relation |
http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-79083 Natali, Susan M. Watts, Jennifer D. Rogers, Brendan M. Potter, Stefano Ludwig, Sarah M. Selbmann, Anne-Katrin Sullivan, Patrick F. Abbott, Benjamin W. Arndt, Kyla A. Birch, Leah Björkman, Mats P. Bloom, A. Anthony Celis, Gerardo Christensen, Torben R. Christiansen, Casper Tai Commane, Roisin Cooper, Elisabeth J. Crill, Patrick Czimczik, Claudia Davydov, Sergey Du, Jinyang Egan, Jocelyn E. Elberling, Bo Euskirchen, Eugenie S. Friborg, Thomas Genet, Hélène Göckede, Mathias Goodrich, Jordan P. Grogan, Paul Helbig, Manuel Jafarov, Elchin E. Jastrow, Julie D. Kalhori, Aram A. M. Kim, Yongwon Kimball, John S. Kutzbach, Lars Lara, Mark J. Larsen, Klaus S. Lee, Bang-Yong Liu, Zhihua Loranty, Michael M. Lund, Magnus Lupascu, Massimo Madani, Nima Malhotra, Avni Matamala, Roser McFarland, Jack McGuire, A. David Michelsen, Anders Minions, Christina Oechel, Walter C. Olefeldt, David Parmentier, Frans-Jan W. Pirk, Norbert Poulter, Ben Quinton, William Rezanezhad, Fereidoun Risk, David Sachs, Torsten Schaefer, Kevin Schmidt, Niels M. Schuur, Edward A. G. Semenchuk, Philipp R. Shaver, Gaius Sonnentag, Oliver Starr, Gregory Treat, Claire C. Waldrop, Mark P. Wang, Yihui Welker, Jeffrey Wille, Christian Xu, Xiaofeng Zhang, Zhen Zhuang, Qianlai Zona, Donatella . Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region. Nature Climate Change. 2019, 9, 852-857 http://hdl.handle.net/10852/75962 1751100 info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.jtitle=Nature Climate Change&rft.volume=9&rft.spage=852&rft.date=2019 Nature Climate Change 9 11 852 857 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8 URN:NBN:no-79083 Fulltext https://www.duo.uio.no/bitstream/handle/10852/75962/2/Natali_NCC_08.01.19__manuscript%2Baccepted%2Bpost%2Bprint.pdf |
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8 |
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Nature Climate Change |
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ftoslouniv:oai:www.duo.uio.no:10852/75962 2023-05-15T14:57:17+02:00 Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region Natali, Susan M. Watts, Jennifer D. Rogers, Brendan M. Potter, Stefano Ludwig, Sarah M. Selbmann, Anne-Katrin Sullivan, Patrick F. Abbott, Benjamin W. Arndt, Kyla A. Birch, Leah Björkman, Mats P. Bloom, A. Anthony Celis, Gerardo Christensen, Torben R. Christiansen, Casper Tai Commane, Roisin Cooper, Elisabeth J. Crill, Patrick Czimczik, Claudia Davydov, Sergey Du, Jinyang Egan, Jocelyn E. Elberling, Bo Euskirchen, Eugenie S. Friborg, Thomas Genet, Hélène Göckede, Mathias Goodrich, Jordan P. Grogan, Paul Helbig, Manuel Jafarov, Elchin E. Jastrow, Julie D. Kalhori, Aram A. M. Kim, Yongwon Kimball, John S. Kutzbach, Lars Lara, Mark J. Larsen, Klaus S. Lee, Bang-Yong Liu, Zhihua Loranty, Michael M. Lund, Magnus Lupascu, Massimo Madani, Nima Malhotra, Avni Matamala, Roser McFarland, Jack McGuire, A. David Michelsen, Anders Minions, Christina Oechel, Walter C. Olefeldt, David Parmentier, Frans-Jan W. Pirk, Norbert Poulter, Ben Quinton, William Rezanezhad, Fereidoun Risk, David Sachs, Torsten Schaefer, Kevin Schmidt, Niels M. Schuur, Edward A. G. Semenchuk, Philipp R. Shaver, Gaius Sonnentag, Oliver Starr, Gregory Treat, Claire C. Waldrop, Mark P. Wang, Yihui Welker, Jeffrey Wille, Christian Xu, Xiaofeng Zhang, Zhen Zhuang, Qianlai Zona, Donatella 2019-11-22T14:30:42Z http://hdl.handle.net/10852/75962 http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-79083 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8 EN eng http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-79083 Natali, Susan M. Watts, Jennifer D. Rogers, Brendan M. Potter, Stefano Ludwig, Sarah M. Selbmann, Anne-Katrin Sullivan, Patrick F. Abbott, Benjamin W. Arndt, Kyla A. Birch, Leah Björkman, Mats P. Bloom, A. Anthony Celis, Gerardo Christensen, Torben R. Christiansen, Casper Tai Commane, Roisin Cooper, Elisabeth J. Crill, Patrick Czimczik, Claudia Davydov, Sergey Du, Jinyang Egan, Jocelyn E. Elberling, Bo Euskirchen, Eugenie S. Friborg, Thomas Genet, Hélène Göckede, Mathias Goodrich, Jordan P. Grogan, Paul Helbig, Manuel Jafarov, Elchin E. Jastrow, Julie D. Kalhori, Aram A. M. Kim, Yongwon Kimball, John S. Kutzbach, Lars Lara, Mark J. Larsen, Klaus S. Lee, Bang-Yong Liu, Zhihua Loranty, Michael M. Lund, Magnus Lupascu, Massimo Madani, Nima Malhotra, Avni Matamala, Roser McFarland, Jack McGuire, A. David Michelsen, Anders Minions, Christina Oechel, Walter C. Olefeldt, David Parmentier, Frans-Jan W. Pirk, Norbert Poulter, Ben Quinton, William Rezanezhad, Fereidoun Risk, David Sachs, Torsten Schaefer, Kevin Schmidt, Niels M. Schuur, Edward A. G. Semenchuk, Philipp R. Shaver, Gaius Sonnentag, Oliver Starr, Gregory Treat, Claire C. Waldrop, Mark P. Wang, Yihui Welker, Jeffrey Wille, Christian Xu, Xiaofeng Zhang, Zhen Zhuang, Qianlai Zona, Donatella . Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region. Nature Climate Change. 2019, 9, 852-857 http://hdl.handle.net/10852/75962 1751100 info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.jtitle=Nature Climate Change&rft.volume=9&rft.spage=852&rft.date=2019 Nature Climate Change 9 11 852 857 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8 URN:NBN:no-79083 Fulltext https://www.duo.uio.no/bitstream/handle/10852/75962/2/Natali_NCC_08.01.19__manuscript%2Baccepted%2Bpost%2Bprint.pdf 1758-678X Journal article Tidsskriftartikkel Peer reviewed AcceptedVersion 2019 ftoslouniv https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8 2020-06-21T08:54:27Z Recent warming in the Arctic, which has been amplified during the winter1,2,3, greatly enhances microbial decomposition of soil organic matter and subsequent release of carbon dioxide (CO2)4. However, the amount of CO2 released in winter is not known and has not been well represented by ecosystem models or empirically based estimates5,6. Here we synthesize regional in situ observations of CO2 flux from Arctic and boreal soils to assess current and future winter carbon losses from the northern permafrost domain. We estimate a contemporary loss of 1,662 TgC per year from the permafrost region during the winter season (October–April). This loss is greater than the average growing season carbon uptake for this region estimated from process models (−1,032 TgC per year). Extending model predictions to warmer conditions up to 2100 indicates that winter CO2 emissions will increase 17% under a moderate mitigation scenario—Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5—and 41% under business-as-usual emissions scenario—Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5. Our results provide a baseline for winter CO2 emissions from northern terrestrial regions and indicate that enhanced soil CO2 loss due to winter warming may offset growing season carbon uptake under future climatic conditions. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic permafrost Universitet i Oslo: Digitale utgivelser ved UiO (DUO) Arctic Nature Climate Change 9 11 852 857 |