Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region

Recent warming in the Arctic, which has been amplified during the winter1,2,3, greatly enhances microbial decomposition of soil organic matter and subsequent release of carbon dioxide (CO2)4. However, the amount of CO2 released in winter is not known and has not been well represented by ecosystem mo...

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Published in:Nature Climate Change
Main Authors: Natali, Susan M., Watts, Jennifer D., Rogers, Brendan M., Potter, Stefano, Ludwig, Sarah M., Selbmann, Anne-Katrin, Sullivan, Patrick F., Abbott, Benjamin W., Arndt, Kyla A., Birch, Leah, Björkman, Mats P., Bloom, A. Anthony, Celis, Gerardo, Christensen, Torben R., Christiansen, Casper Tai, Commane, Roisin, Cooper, Elisabeth J., Crill, Patrick, Czimczik, Claudia, Davydov, Sergey, Du, Jinyang, Egan, Jocelyn E., Elberling, Bo, Euskirchen, Eugenie S., Friborg, Thomas, Genet, Hélène, Göckede, Mathias, Goodrich, Jordan P., Grogan, Paul, Helbig, Manuel, Jafarov, Elchin E., Jastrow, Julie D., Kalhori, Aram A. M., Kim, Yongwon, Kimball, John S., Kutzbach, Lars, Lara, Mark J., Larsen, Klaus S., Lee, Bang-Yong, Liu, Zhihua, Loranty, Michael M., Lund, Magnus, Lupascu, Massimo, Madani, Nima, Malhotra, Avni, Matamala, Roser, McFarland, Jack, McGuire, A. David, Michelsen, Anders, Minions, Christina, Oechel, Walter C., Olefeldt, David, Parmentier, Frans-Jan W., Pirk, Norbert, Poulter, Ben, Quinton, William, Rezanezhad, Fereidoun, Risk, David, Sachs, Torsten, Schaefer, Kevin, Schmidt, Niels M., Schuur, Edward A. G., Semenchuk, Philipp R., Shaver, Gaius, Sonnentag, Oliver, Starr, Gregory, Treat, Claire C., Waldrop, Mark P., Wang, Yihui, Welker, Jeffrey, Wille, Christian, Xu, Xiaofeng, Zhang, Zhen, Zhuang, Qianlai, Zona, Donatella
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10852/75962
http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-79083
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8
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description Recent warming in the Arctic, which has been amplified during the winter1,2,3, greatly enhances microbial decomposition of soil organic matter and subsequent release of carbon dioxide (CO2)4. However, the amount of CO2 released in winter is not known and has not been well represented by ecosystem models or empirically based estimates5,6. Here we synthesize regional in situ observations of CO2 flux from Arctic and boreal soils to assess current and future winter carbon losses from the northern permafrost domain. We estimate a contemporary loss of 1,662 TgC per year from the permafrost region during the winter season (October–April). This loss is greater than the average growing season carbon uptake for this region estimated from process models (−1,032 TgC per year). Extending model predictions to warmer conditions up to 2100 indicates that winter CO2 emissions will increase 17% under a moderate mitigation scenario—Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5—and 41% under business-as-usual emissions scenario—Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5. Our results provide a baseline for winter CO2 emissions from northern terrestrial regions and indicate that enhanced soil CO2 loss due to winter warming may offset growing season carbon uptake under future climatic conditions.
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
author Natali, Susan M.
Watts, Jennifer D.
Rogers, Brendan M.
Potter, Stefano
Ludwig, Sarah M.
Selbmann, Anne-Katrin
Sullivan, Patrick F.
Abbott, Benjamin W.
Arndt, Kyla A.
Birch, Leah
Björkman, Mats P.
Bloom, A. Anthony
Celis, Gerardo
Christensen, Torben R.
Christiansen, Casper Tai
Commane, Roisin
Cooper, Elisabeth J.
Crill, Patrick
Czimczik, Claudia
Davydov, Sergey
Du, Jinyang
Egan, Jocelyn E.
Elberling, Bo
Euskirchen, Eugenie S.
Friborg, Thomas
Genet, Hélène
Göckede, Mathias
Goodrich, Jordan P.
Grogan, Paul
Helbig, Manuel
Jafarov, Elchin E.
Jastrow, Julie D.
Kalhori, Aram A. M.
Kim, Yongwon
Kimball, John S.
Kutzbach, Lars
Lara, Mark J.
Larsen, Klaus S.
Lee, Bang-Yong
Liu, Zhihua
Loranty, Michael M.
Lund, Magnus
Lupascu, Massimo
Madani, Nima
Malhotra, Avni
Matamala, Roser
McFarland, Jack
McGuire, A. David
Michelsen, Anders
Minions, Christina
Oechel, Walter C.
Olefeldt, David
Parmentier, Frans-Jan W.
Pirk, Norbert
Poulter, Ben
Quinton, William
Rezanezhad, Fereidoun
Risk, David
Sachs, Torsten
Schaefer, Kevin
Schmidt, Niels M.
Schuur, Edward A. G.
Semenchuk, Philipp R.
Shaver, Gaius
Sonnentag, Oliver
Starr, Gregory
Treat, Claire C.
Waldrop, Mark P.
Wang, Yihui
Welker, Jeffrey
Wille, Christian
Xu, Xiaofeng
Zhang, Zhen
Zhuang, Qianlai
Zona, Donatella
spellingShingle Natali, Susan M.
Watts, Jennifer D.
Rogers, Brendan M.
Potter, Stefano
Ludwig, Sarah M.
Selbmann, Anne-Katrin
Sullivan, Patrick F.
Abbott, Benjamin W.
Arndt, Kyla A.
Birch, Leah
Björkman, Mats P.
Bloom, A. Anthony
Celis, Gerardo
Christensen, Torben R.
Christiansen, Casper Tai
Commane, Roisin
Cooper, Elisabeth J.
Crill, Patrick
Czimczik, Claudia
Davydov, Sergey
Du, Jinyang
Egan, Jocelyn E.
Elberling, Bo
Euskirchen, Eugenie S.
Friborg, Thomas
Genet, Hélène
Göckede, Mathias
Goodrich, Jordan P.
Grogan, Paul
Helbig, Manuel
Jafarov, Elchin E.
Jastrow, Julie D.
Kalhori, Aram A. M.
Kim, Yongwon
Kimball, John S.
Kutzbach, Lars
Lara, Mark J.
Larsen, Klaus S.
Lee, Bang-Yong
Liu, Zhihua
Loranty, Michael M.
Lund, Magnus
Lupascu, Massimo
Madani, Nima
Malhotra, Avni
Matamala, Roser
McFarland, Jack
McGuire, A. David
Michelsen, Anders
Minions, Christina
Oechel, Walter C.
Olefeldt, David
Parmentier, Frans-Jan W.
Pirk, Norbert
Poulter, Ben
Quinton, William
Rezanezhad, Fereidoun
Risk, David
Sachs, Torsten
Schaefer, Kevin
Schmidt, Niels M.
Schuur, Edward A. G.
Semenchuk, Philipp R.
Shaver, Gaius
Sonnentag, Oliver
Starr, Gregory
Treat, Claire C.
Waldrop, Mark P.
Wang, Yihui
Welker, Jeffrey
Wille, Christian
Xu, Xiaofeng
Zhang, Zhen
Zhuang, Qianlai
Zona, Donatella
Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region
author_facet Natali, Susan M.
Watts, Jennifer D.
Rogers, Brendan M.
Potter, Stefano
Ludwig, Sarah M.
Selbmann, Anne-Katrin
Sullivan, Patrick F.
Abbott, Benjamin W.
Arndt, Kyla A.
Birch, Leah
Björkman, Mats P.
Bloom, A. Anthony
Celis, Gerardo
Christensen, Torben R.
Christiansen, Casper Tai
Commane, Roisin
Cooper, Elisabeth J.
Crill, Patrick
Czimczik, Claudia
Davydov, Sergey
Du, Jinyang
Egan, Jocelyn E.
Elberling, Bo
Euskirchen, Eugenie S.
Friborg, Thomas
Genet, Hélène
Göckede, Mathias
Goodrich, Jordan P.
Grogan, Paul
Helbig, Manuel
Jafarov, Elchin E.
Jastrow, Julie D.
Kalhori, Aram A. M.
Kim, Yongwon
Kimball, John S.
Kutzbach, Lars
Lara, Mark J.
Larsen, Klaus S.
Lee, Bang-Yong
Liu, Zhihua
Loranty, Michael M.
Lund, Magnus
Lupascu, Massimo
Madani, Nima
Malhotra, Avni
Matamala, Roser
McFarland, Jack
McGuire, A. David
Michelsen, Anders
Minions, Christina
Oechel, Walter C.
Olefeldt, David
Parmentier, Frans-Jan W.
Pirk, Norbert
Poulter, Ben
Quinton, William
Rezanezhad, Fereidoun
Risk, David
Sachs, Torsten
Schaefer, Kevin
Schmidt, Niels M.
Schuur, Edward A. G.
Semenchuk, Philipp R.
Shaver, Gaius
Sonnentag, Oliver
Starr, Gregory
Treat, Claire C.
Waldrop, Mark P.
Wang, Yihui
Welker, Jeffrey
Wille, Christian
Xu, Xiaofeng
Zhang, Zhen
Zhuang, Qianlai
Zona, Donatella
author_sort Natali, Susan M.
title Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region
title_short Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region
title_full Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region
title_fullStr Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region
title_full_unstemmed Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region
title_sort large loss of co2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region
publishDate 2019
url http://hdl.handle.net/10852/75962
http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-79083
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8
geographic Arctic
geographic_facet Arctic
genre Arctic
permafrost
genre_facet Arctic
permafrost
op_source 1758-678X
op_relation http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-79083
Natali, Susan M. Watts, Jennifer D. Rogers, Brendan M. Potter, Stefano Ludwig, Sarah M. Selbmann, Anne-Katrin Sullivan, Patrick F. Abbott, Benjamin W. Arndt, Kyla A. Birch, Leah Björkman, Mats P. Bloom, A. Anthony Celis, Gerardo Christensen, Torben R. Christiansen, Casper Tai Commane, Roisin Cooper, Elisabeth J. Crill, Patrick Czimczik, Claudia Davydov, Sergey Du, Jinyang Egan, Jocelyn E. Elberling, Bo Euskirchen, Eugenie S. Friborg, Thomas Genet, Hélène Göckede, Mathias Goodrich, Jordan P. Grogan, Paul Helbig, Manuel Jafarov, Elchin E. Jastrow, Julie D. Kalhori, Aram A. M. Kim, Yongwon Kimball, John S. Kutzbach, Lars Lara, Mark J. Larsen, Klaus S. Lee, Bang-Yong Liu, Zhihua Loranty, Michael M. Lund, Magnus Lupascu, Massimo Madani, Nima Malhotra, Avni Matamala, Roser McFarland, Jack McGuire, A. David Michelsen, Anders Minions, Christina Oechel, Walter C. Olefeldt, David Parmentier, Frans-Jan W. Pirk, Norbert Poulter, Ben Quinton, William Rezanezhad, Fereidoun Risk, David Sachs, Torsten Schaefer, Kevin Schmidt, Niels M. Schuur, Edward A. G. Semenchuk, Philipp R. Shaver, Gaius Sonnentag, Oliver Starr, Gregory Treat, Claire C. Waldrop, Mark P. Wang, Yihui Welker, Jeffrey Wille, Christian Xu, Xiaofeng Zhang, Zhen Zhuang, Qianlai Zona, Donatella . Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region. Nature Climate Change. 2019, 9, 852-857
http://hdl.handle.net/10852/75962
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spelling ftoslouniv:oai:www.duo.uio.no:10852/75962 2023-05-15T14:57:17+02:00 Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region Natali, Susan M. Watts, Jennifer D. Rogers, Brendan M. Potter, Stefano Ludwig, Sarah M. Selbmann, Anne-Katrin Sullivan, Patrick F. Abbott, Benjamin W. Arndt, Kyla A. Birch, Leah Björkman, Mats P. Bloom, A. Anthony Celis, Gerardo Christensen, Torben R. Christiansen, Casper Tai Commane, Roisin Cooper, Elisabeth J. Crill, Patrick Czimczik, Claudia Davydov, Sergey Du, Jinyang Egan, Jocelyn E. Elberling, Bo Euskirchen, Eugenie S. Friborg, Thomas Genet, Hélène Göckede, Mathias Goodrich, Jordan P. Grogan, Paul Helbig, Manuel Jafarov, Elchin E. Jastrow, Julie D. Kalhori, Aram A. M. Kim, Yongwon Kimball, John S. Kutzbach, Lars Lara, Mark J. Larsen, Klaus S. Lee, Bang-Yong Liu, Zhihua Loranty, Michael M. Lund, Magnus Lupascu, Massimo Madani, Nima Malhotra, Avni Matamala, Roser McFarland, Jack McGuire, A. David Michelsen, Anders Minions, Christina Oechel, Walter C. Olefeldt, David Parmentier, Frans-Jan W. Pirk, Norbert Poulter, Ben Quinton, William Rezanezhad, Fereidoun Risk, David Sachs, Torsten Schaefer, Kevin Schmidt, Niels M. Schuur, Edward A. G. Semenchuk, Philipp R. Shaver, Gaius Sonnentag, Oliver Starr, Gregory Treat, Claire C. Waldrop, Mark P. Wang, Yihui Welker, Jeffrey Wille, Christian Xu, Xiaofeng Zhang, Zhen Zhuang, Qianlai Zona, Donatella 2019-11-22T14:30:42Z http://hdl.handle.net/10852/75962 http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-79083 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8 EN eng http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-79083 Natali, Susan M. Watts, Jennifer D. Rogers, Brendan M. Potter, Stefano Ludwig, Sarah M. Selbmann, Anne-Katrin Sullivan, Patrick F. Abbott, Benjamin W. Arndt, Kyla A. Birch, Leah Björkman, Mats P. Bloom, A. Anthony Celis, Gerardo Christensen, Torben R. Christiansen, Casper Tai Commane, Roisin Cooper, Elisabeth J. Crill, Patrick Czimczik, Claudia Davydov, Sergey Du, Jinyang Egan, Jocelyn E. Elberling, Bo Euskirchen, Eugenie S. Friborg, Thomas Genet, Hélène Göckede, Mathias Goodrich, Jordan P. Grogan, Paul Helbig, Manuel Jafarov, Elchin E. Jastrow, Julie D. Kalhori, Aram A. M. Kim, Yongwon Kimball, John S. Kutzbach, Lars Lara, Mark J. Larsen, Klaus S. Lee, Bang-Yong Liu, Zhihua Loranty, Michael M. Lund, Magnus Lupascu, Massimo Madani, Nima Malhotra, Avni Matamala, Roser McFarland, Jack McGuire, A. David Michelsen, Anders Minions, Christina Oechel, Walter C. Olefeldt, David Parmentier, Frans-Jan W. Pirk, Norbert Poulter, Ben Quinton, William Rezanezhad, Fereidoun Risk, David Sachs, Torsten Schaefer, Kevin Schmidt, Niels M. Schuur, Edward A. G. Semenchuk, Philipp R. Shaver, Gaius Sonnentag, Oliver Starr, Gregory Treat, Claire C. Waldrop, Mark P. Wang, Yihui Welker, Jeffrey Wille, Christian Xu, Xiaofeng Zhang, Zhen Zhuang, Qianlai Zona, Donatella . Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region. Nature Climate Change. 2019, 9, 852-857 http://hdl.handle.net/10852/75962 1751100 info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.jtitle=Nature Climate Change&rft.volume=9&rft.spage=852&rft.date=2019 Nature Climate Change 9 11 852 857 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8 URN:NBN:no-79083 Fulltext https://www.duo.uio.no/bitstream/handle/10852/75962/2/Natali_NCC_08.01.19__manuscript%2Baccepted%2Bpost%2Bprint.pdf 1758-678X Journal article Tidsskriftartikkel Peer reviewed AcceptedVersion 2019 ftoslouniv https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8 2020-06-21T08:54:27Z Recent warming in the Arctic, which has been amplified during the winter1,2,3, greatly enhances microbial decomposition of soil organic matter and subsequent release of carbon dioxide (CO2)4. However, the amount of CO2 released in winter is not known and has not been well represented by ecosystem models or empirically based estimates5,6. Here we synthesize regional in situ observations of CO2 flux from Arctic and boreal soils to assess current and future winter carbon losses from the northern permafrost domain. We estimate a contemporary loss of 1,662 TgC per year from the permafrost region during the winter season (October–April). This loss is greater than the average growing season carbon uptake for this region estimated from process models (−1,032 TgC per year). Extending model predictions to warmer conditions up to 2100 indicates that winter CO2 emissions will increase 17% under a moderate mitigation scenario—Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5—and 41% under business-as-usual emissions scenario—Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5. Our results provide a baseline for winter CO2 emissions from northern terrestrial regions and indicate that enhanced soil CO2 loss due to winter warming may offset growing season carbon uptake under future climatic conditions. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic permafrost Universitet i Oslo: Digitale utgivelser ved UiO (DUO) Arctic Nature Climate Change 9 11 852 857