Climate policy futures, energy markets, and technology : implications for Norway
This paper is part of the joint CICERO and Fridtjof Nansen Institute (FNI) project “Towards a cost-effective climate policy: The international framework and Norwegian policy framework” (“Mot en effektiv klimapolitikk: Internasjonale rammebetingelser og norsk virkemiddelbruk”). The project, financed...
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Universitetet i Oslo, CICERO - Senter for klimaforskning
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ftoslouniv:oai:www.duo.uio.no:10852/32776 2023-05-15T16:18:27+02:00 Climate policy futures, energy markets, and technology : implications for Norway Kolshus, Hans H. Torvanger, Asbjørn Malvik, Henrik 2000 http://hdl.handle.net/10852/32776 http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-4391 eng eng Universitetet i Oslo, CICERO - Senter for klimaforskning Working paper / CICERO - Senter for klimaforskning http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-3646 http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-4391 http://hdl.handle.net/10852/32776 URN:NBN:no-4391 7565 022853677 Fulltext https://www.duo.uio.no/bitstream/handle/10852/32776/1/321.pdf byrdefordeling fossileenergimarkeder klimapolitikk Kyotoprotokollen numeriskmodell teknologiskutvikling VDP::200 Working paper Arbeidsnotat 2000 ftoslouniv 2020-06-21T08:46:16Z This paper is part of the joint CICERO and Fridtjof Nansen Institute (FNI) project “Towards a cost-effective climate policy: The international framework and Norwegian policy framework” (“Mot en effektiv klimapolitikk: Internasjonale rammebetingelser og norsk virkemiddelbruk”). The project, financed by the Norwegian Research Council, started in 1999 and is poised to end in 2001. We explore two possible climate policy futures up to 2020. The first is a Climate-Stagnation scenario where the Kyoto Protocol does not enter into force, and the second is a Kyoto-Success scenario where the Kyoto Protocol enters into force and developing countries take on binding commitments to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions through a global burden-sharing scheme after 2012. We include a global oil and coal market and regional markets for gas. We argue that the two scenarios affect these international markets for fossil fuels and prices differently. In this paper, we first describe the analytical model we use, and then link different energy price paths to different paths of technological development, with a focus on scenarios from a European Commission study. Finally, we analyze both the economic implications for Norway through changes in oil and gas revenue, as well as implications for Norwegian climate policy formulation. Report Fridtjof Nansen Universitet i Oslo: Digitale utgivelser ved UiO (DUO) Norway Fridtjof ENVELOPE(-56.717,-56.717,-63.567,-63.567) |
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Universitet i Oslo: Digitale utgivelser ved UiO (DUO) |
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ftoslouniv |
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English |
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byrdefordeling fossileenergimarkeder klimapolitikk Kyotoprotokollen numeriskmodell teknologiskutvikling VDP::200 |
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byrdefordeling fossileenergimarkeder klimapolitikk Kyotoprotokollen numeriskmodell teknologiskutvikling VDP::200 Kolshus, Hans H. Torvanger, Asbjørn Malvik, Henrik Climate policy futures, energy markets, and technology : implications for Norway |
topic_facet |
byrdefordeling fossileenergimarkeder klimapolitikk Kyotoprotokollen numeriskmodell teknologiskutvikling VDP::200 |
description |
This paper is part of the joint CICERO and Fridtjof Nansen Institute (FNI) project “Towards a cost-effective climate policy: The international framework and Norwegian policy framework” (“Mot en effektiv klimapolitikk: Internasjonale rammebetingelser og norsk virkemiddelbruk”). The project, financed by the Norwegian Research Council, started in 1999 and is poised to end in 2001. We explore two possible climate policy futures up to 2020. The first is a Climate-Stagnation scenario where the Kyoto Protocol does not enter into force, and the second is a Kyoto-Success scenario where the Kyoto Protocol enters into force and developing countries take on binding commitments to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions through a global burden-sharing scheme after 2012. We include a global oil and coal market and regional markets for gas. We argue that the two scenarios affect these international markets for fossil fuels and prices differently. In this paper, we first describe the analytical model we use, and then link different energy price paths to different paths of technological development, with a focus on scenarios from a European Commission study. Finally, we analyze both the economic implications for Norway through changes in oil and gas revenue, as well as implications for Norwegian climate policy formulation. |
format |
Report |
author |
Kolshus, Hans H. Torvanger, Asbjørn Malvik, Henrik |
author_facet |
Kolshus, Hans H. Torvanger, Asbjørn Malvik, Henrik |
author_sort |
Kolshus, Hans H. |
title |
Climate policy futures, energy markets, and technology : implications for Norway |
title_short |
Climate policy futures, energy markets, and technology : implications for Norway |
title_full |
Climate policy futures, energy markets, and technology : implications for Norway |
title_fullStr |
Climate policy futures, energy markets, and technology : implications for Norway |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate policy futures, energy markets, and technology : implications for Norway |
title_sort |
climate policy futures, energy markets, and technology : implications for norway |
publisher |
Universitetet i Oslo, CICERO - Senter for klimaforskning |
publishDate |
2000 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10852/32776 http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-4391 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-56.717,-56.717,-63.567,-63.567) |
geographic |
Norway Fridtjof |
geographic_facet |
Norway Fridtjof |
genre |
Fridtjof Nansen |
genre_facet |
Fridtjof Nansen |
op_relation |
Working paper / CICERO - Senter for klimaforskning http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-3646 http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-4391 http://hdl.handle.net/10852/32776 URN:NBN:no-4391 7565 022853677 Fulltext https://www.duo.uio.no/bitstream/handle/10852/32776/1/321.pdf |
_version_ |
1766004614369378304 |