Observed Atmospheric Coupling between Barents Sea Ice and the Warm-Arctic Cold-Siberian Anomaly Pattern
The decline in Barents Sea ice has been implicated in forcing the “warm-Arctic cold-Siberian” (WACS) anomaly pattern via enhanced turbulent heat flux (THF). This study investigates interannual variability in winter [December–February (DJF)] Barents Sea THF and its relationship to Barents Sea ice and...
Main Authors: | , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English unknown |
Published: |
American Meteorological Society
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/articles/dz010v69k |
id |
ftoregonstate:ir.library.oregonstate.edu:dz010v69k |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftoregonstate:ir.library.oregonstate.edu:dz010v69k 2024-09-15T17:57:39+00:00 Observed Atmospheric Coupling between Barents Sea Ice and the Warm-Arctic Cold-Siberian Anomaly Pattern Sorokina, Svetlana A Li, Camille Wettstein, Justin J. Kvamstø, Nils Gunnar https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/articles/dz010v69k English [eng] eng unknown American Meteorological Society https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/articles/dz010v69k Copyright Not Evaluated Article ftoregonstate 2024-07-22T18:06:04Z The decline in Barents Sea ice has been implicated in forcing the “warm-Arctic cold-Siberian” (WACS) anomaly pattern via enhanced turbulent heat flux (THF). This study investigates interannual variability in winter [December–February (DJF)] Barents Sea THF and its relationship to Barents Sea ice and the large-scale atmospheric flow. ERA-Interim and observational data from 1979/80 to 2011/12 are used. The leading pattern (EOF1: 33%) of winter Barents Sea THF variability is relatively weakly correlated (r = 0.30) with Barents Sea ice and appears to be driven primarily by atmospheric variability. The sea ice–related THF variability manifests itself as EOF2 (20%, r = 0.60). THF EOF2 is robust over the entire winter season, but its link to the WACS pattern is not. However, the WACS pattern emerges consistently as the second EOF (20%) of Eurasian surface air temperature (SAT) variability in all winter months. When Eurasia is cold, there are indeed weak reductions in Barents Sea ice, but the associated THF anomalies are on average negative, which is inconsistent with the proposed direct atmospheric response to sea ice variability. Lead–lag correlation analyses on shorter time scales support this conclusion and indicate that atmospheric variability plays an important role in driving observed variability in Barents Sea THF and ice cover, as well as the WACS pattern. Keywords: Atmospheric circulation, entity, Geographic location, Climate change, Air-sea interaction, Circulation, Physical Meteorology and Climatology, Arctic, Surface fluxes, Sea ice, Dynamics Article in Journal/Newspaper Barents Sea Climate change Sea ice ScholarsArchive@OSU (Oregon State University) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
ScholarsArchive@OSU (Oregon State University) |
op_collection_id |
ftoregonstate |
language |
English unknown |
description |
The decline in Barents Sea ice has been implicated in forcing the “warm-Arctic cold-Siberian” (WACS) anomaly pattern via enhanced turbulent heat flux (THF). This study investigates interannual variability in winter [December–February (DJF)] Barents Sea THF and its relationship to Barents Sea ice and the large-scale atmospheric flow. ERA-Interim and observational data from 1979/80 to 2011/12 are used. The leading pattern (EOF1: 33%) of winter Barents Sea THF variability is relatively weakly correlated (r = 0.30) with Barents Sea ice and appears to be driven primarily by atmospheric variability. The sea ice–related THF variability manifests itself as EOF2 (20%, r = 0.60). THF EOF2 is robust over the entire winter season, but its link to the WACS pattern is not. However, the WACS pattern emerges consistently as the second EOF (20%) of Eurasian surface air temperature (SAT) variability in all winter months. When Eurasia is cold, there are indeed weak reductions in Barents Sea ice, but the associated THF anomalies are on average negative, which is inconsistent with the proposed direct atmospheric response to sea ice variability. Lead–lag correlation analyses on shorter time scales support this conclusion and indicate that atmospheric variability plays an important role in driving observed variability in Barents Sea THF and ice cover, as well as the WACS pattern. Keywords: Atmospheric circulation, entity, Geographic location, Climate change, Air-sea interaction, Circulation, Physical Meteorology and Climatology, Arctic, Surface fluxes, Sea ice, Dynamics |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Sorokina, Svetlana A Li, Camille Wettstein, Justin J. Kvamstø, Nils Gunnar |
spellingShingle |
Sorokina, Svetlana A Li, Camille Wettstein, Justin J. Kvamstø, Nils Gunnar Observed Atmospheric Coupling between Barents Sea Ice and the Warm-Arctic Cold-Siberian Anomaly Pattern |
author_facet |
Sorokina, Svetlana A Li, Camille Wettstein, Justin J. Kvamstø, Nils Gunnar |
author_sort |
Sorokina, Svetlana A |
title |
Observed Atmospheric Coupling between Barents Sea Ice and the Warm-Arctic Cold-Siberian Anomaly Pattern |
title_short |
Observed Atmospheric Coupling between Barents Sea Ice and the Warm-Arctic Cold-Siberian Anomaly Pattern |
title_full |
Observed Atmospheric Coupling between Barents Sea Ice and the Warm-Arctic Cold-Siberian Anomaly Pattern |
title_fullStr |
Observed Atmospheric Coupling between Barents Sea Ice and the Warm-Arctic Cold-Siberian Anomaly Pattern |
title_full_unstemmed |
Observed Atmospheric Coupling between Barents Sea Ice and the Warm-Arctic Cold-Siberian Anomaly Pattern |
title_sort |
observed atmospheric coupling between barents sea ice and the warm-arctic cold-siberian anomaly pattern |
publisher |
American Meteorological Society |
url |
https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/articles/dz010v69k |
genre |
Barents Sea Climate change Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Barents Sea Climate change Sea ice |
op_relation |
https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/articles/dz010v69k |
op_rights |
Copyright Not Evaluated |
_version_ |
1810433793709834240 |