Estimation of the Sea Level Rise by 2100 Resulting from Changes in the Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet
We present here future projections of the Greenland climate performed by the regional climate model MAR coupled with a snow model and forced by two scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions from the global model CanESM2 of the next IPCC assessment report (AR5). Knowing that MAR forced by CanESM2 over th...
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ftorbi:oai:orbi.ulg.ac.be:2268/98831 2024-04-21T08:03:23+00:00 Estimation of the Sea Level Rise by 2100 Resulting from Changes in the Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet Fettweis, Xavier Belleflamme, Alexandre Erpicum, Michel Franco, Bruno Nicolay, Samuel 2011-09 https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/98831 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/98831/1/InTech-Estimation_of_the_sea_level_rise_by_2100_resulting_from_changes_in_the_surface_mass_balance_of_the_greenland_ice_sheet.pdf en eng Intech http://www.intechopen.com/articles/show/title/estimation-of-the-sea-level-rise-by-2100-resulting-from-changes-in-the-surface-mass-balance-of-the-g https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/98831 info:hdl:2268/98831 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/98831/1/InTech-Estimation_of_the_sea_level_rise_by_2100_resulting_from_changes_in_the_surface_mass_balance_of_the_greenland_ice_sheet.pdf open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess urn:isbn:978-953-307-419-1 Climate Change - Geophysical Foundations and Ecological Effects, 503-520 (2011-09) Physical chemical mathematical & earth Sciences Earth sciences & physical geography Physique chimie mathématiques & sciences de la terre Sciences de la terre & géographie physique book part http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_3248 info:eu-repo/semantics/bookPart 2011 ftorbi 2024-03-27T14:44:13Z We present here future projections of the Greenland climate performed by the regional climate model MAR coupled with a snow model and forced by two scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions from the global model CanESM2 of the next IPCC assessment report (AR5). Knowing that MAR forced by CanESM2 over the current climate (1970-1999) compares well with the reference MAR simulation performed by using the ERA-40 reanalysis as forcing, this gives us confidence in our future projections. For the RCP4.5 scenario (optimistic) and respectively RCP8.5 scenario (pessimistic), MAR projects a sea level rise in 2100 of 6.5 +/- 1.5 cm and respectively 14+/-2 cm as result of increasing surface melt of the Greenland ice sheet over 2000-2100. It is true that MAR projects a small increase of snowfall in the winter because the atmosphere will be warmer and therefore can contain more water vapor. But this is not sufficient to offset the acceleration of melt, notably for the scenario RCP8.5 which projects an increase of 10 °C in 2100 above the ice sheet. This work fits in the ICE2SEA project (http://www.ice2sea.eu) of the 7th Framework Program (FP7) which aims to improve the projections of the continental ice melting contribution to sea level rise. Book Part Greenland Ice Sheet University of Liège: ORBi (Open Repository and Bibliography) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Liège: ORBi (Open Repository and Bibliography) |
op_collection_id |
ftorbi |
language |
English |
topic |
Physical chemical mathematical & earth Sciences Earth sciences & physical geography Physique chimie mathématiques & sciences de la terre Sciences de la terre & géographie physique |
spellingShingle |
Physical chemical mathematical & earth Sciences Earth sciences & physical geography Physique chimie mathématiques & sciences de la terre Sciences de la terre & géographie physique Fettweis, Xavier Belleflamme, Alexandre Erpicum, Michel Franco, Bruno Nicolay, Samuel Estimation of the Sea Level Rise by 2100 Resulting from Changes in the Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet |
topic_facet |
Physical chemical mathematical & earth Sciences Earth sciences & physical geography Physique chimie mathématiques & sciences de la terre Sciences de la terre & géographie physique |
description |
We present here future projections of the Greenland climate performed by the regional climate model MAR coupled with a snow model and forced by two scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions from the global model CanESM2 of the next IPCC assessment report (AR5). Knowing that MAR forced by CanESM2 over the current climate (1970-1999) compares well with the reference MAR simulation performed by using the ERA-40 reanalysis as forcing, this gives us confidence in our future projections. For the RCP4.5 scenario (optimistic) and respectively RCP8.5 scenario (pessimistic), MAR projects a sea level rise in 2100 of 6.5 +/- 1.5 cm and respectively 14+/-2 cm as result of increasing surface melt of the Greenland ice sheet over 2000-2100. It is true that MAR projects a small increase of snowfall in the winter because the atmosphere will be warmer and therefore can contain more water vapor. But this is not sufficient to offset the acceleration of melt, notably for the scenario RCP8.5 which projects an increase of 10 °C in 2100 above the ice sheet. This work fits in the ICE2SEA project (http://www.ice2sea.eu) of the 7th Framework Program (FP7) which aims to improve the projections of the continental ice melting contribution to sea level rise. |
format |
Book Part |
author |
Fettweis, Xavier Belleflamme, Alexandre Erpicum, Michel Franco, Bruno Nicolay, Samuel |
author_facet |
Fettweis, Xavier Belleflamme, Alexandre Erpicum, Michel Franco, Bruno Nicolay, Samuel |
author_sort |
Fettweis, Xavier |
title |
Estimation of the Sea Level Rise by 2100 Resulting from Changes in the Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet |
title_short |
Estimation of the Sea Level Rise by 2100 Resulting from Changes in the Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet |
title_full |
Estimation of the Sea Level Rise by 2100 Resulting from Changes in the Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet |
title_fullStr |
Estimation of the Sea Level Rise by 2100 Resulting from Changes in the Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimation of the Sea Level Rise by 2100 Resulting from Changes in the Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet |
title_sort |
estimation of the sea level rise by 2100 resulting from changes in the surface mass balance of the greenland ice sheet |
publisher |
Intech |
publishDate |
2011 |
url |
https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/98831 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/98831/1/InTech-Estimation_of_the_sea_level_rise_by_2100_resulting_from_changes_in_the_surface_mass_balance_of_the_greenland_ice_sheet.pdf |
genre |
Greenland Ice Sheet |
genre_facet |
Greenland Ice Sheet |
op_source |
urn:isbn:978-953-307-419-1 Climate Change - Geophysical Foundations and Ecological Effects, 503-520 (2011-09) |
op_relation |
http://www.intechopen.com/articles/show/title/estimation-of-the-sea-level-rise-by-2100-resulting-from-changes-in-the-surface-mass-balance-of-the-g https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/98831 info:hdl:2268/98831 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/98831/1/InTech-Estimation_of_the_sea_level_rise_by_2100_resulting_from_changes_in_the_surface_mass_balance_of_the_greenland_ice_sheet.pdf |
op_rights |
open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
_version_ |
1796943248934043648 |