Assessment of future wind speed and wind power changes over South Greenland using the MAR regional climate model
peer reviewed Wind is an infinitely renewable energy source that is not evenly distributed in space and time. The interconnection of energy-demanding and energy-resourceful (yet remote) regions would help preventing energy scarcity in a world where fossil fuels are no longer used. Previous studies h...
Published in: | International Journal of Climatology |
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Language: | English |
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John Wiley & Sons
2022
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Online Access: | https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/288534 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/288534/1/lambin_2022.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7795 |
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ftorbi:oai:orbi.ulg.ac.be:2268/288534 2024-04-21T07:59:30+00:00 Assessment of future wind speed and wind power changes over South Greenland using the MAR regional climate model Lambin, Clara Fettweis, Xavier Kittel, Christoph Fonder, Michaël Ernst, Damien 2022-08-31 https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/288534 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/288534/1/lambin_2022.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7795 en eng John Wiley & Sons urn:issn:0899-8418 urn:issn:1097-0088 https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/288534 info:hdl:2268/288534 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/288534/1/lambin_2022.pdf doi:10.1002/joc.7795 scopus-id:2-s2.0-85137215206 open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess International Journal of Climatology (2022-08-31) wind speed wind power future changes MAR Greenland Physical chemical mathematical & earth Sciences Earth sciences & physical geography Physique chimie mathématiques & sciences de la terre Sciences de la terre & géographie physique journal article http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 info:eu-repo/semantics/article peer reviewed 2022 ftorbi https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7795 2024-03-27T14:56:43Z peer reviewed Wind is an infinitely renewable energy source that is not evenly distributed in space and time. The interconnection of energy-demanding and energy-resourceful (yet remote) regions would help preventing energy scarcity in a world where fossil fuels are no longer used. Previous studies have shown that South Greenland and West Europe have complementary wind regimes. In particular, the southern tip of Greenland, Cape Farewell, has gained growing interest for wind farm development as it is one of the windiest places on Earth. In order to gain new insights about future wind speed variations over South Greenland, the Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR), validated against in situ observations over the tundra where wind turbines are most likely to be installed, is used to built climate projections under the emission scenario SSP5-8.5 by downscaling an ensemble of CMIP6 Earth System Models (ESMs). It appeared that between 1981 and 2100, the wind speed is projected to decrease by ~-0.8 m/s at 100 m a.g.l. over the tundra surrounding Cape Farewell. This decrease is particularly marked in winter while in summer, a wind speed acceleration is projected along the ice sheet margins. An analysis of two-dimensional wind speed changes at different vertical levels indicates that the winter decrease is likely due to a large-scale circulation change while in summer, the katabatic winds flowing down the ice sheet are expected to increase due to an enhanced temperature contrast between the ice sheet and the surroundings. As for the mean annual maximum wind power a turbine can yield, a decrease of ~-178.1 W is projected at 100 m a.g.l. Again, the decrease is especially pronounced in winter. Considering the very high winter wind speeds occurring in South Greenland which can cut off wind turbines if too intense, the projected wind speed decrease might be beneficial for the establishment of wind farms near Cape Farewell. Article in Journal/Newspaper Cape Farewell Greenland Ice Sheet Tundra University of Liège: ORBi (Open Repository and Bibliography) International Journal of Climatology 43 1 558 574 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Liège: ORBi (Open Repository and Bibliography) |
op_collection_id |
ftorbi |
language |
English |
topic |
wind speed wind power future changes MAR Greenland Physical chemical mathematical & earth Sciences Earth sciences & physical geography Physique chimie mathématiques & sciences de la terre Sciences de la terre & géographie physique |
spellingShingle |
wind speed wind power future changes MAR Greenland Physical chemical mathematical & earth Sciences Earth sciences & physical geography Physique chimie mathématiques & sciences de la terre Sciences de la terre & géographie physique Lambin, Clara Fettweis, Xavier Kittel, Christoph Fonder, Michaël Ernst, Damien Assessment of future wind speed and wind power changes over South Greenland using the MAR regional climate model |
topic_facet |
wind speed wind power future changes MAR Greenland Physical chemical mathematical & earth Sciences Earth sciences & physical geography Physique chimie mathématiques & sciences de la terre Sciences de la terre & géographie physique |
description |
peer reviewed Wind is an infinitely renewable energy source that is not evenly distributed in space and time. The interconnection of energy-demanding and energy-resourceful (yet remote) regions would help preventing energy scarcity in a world where fossil fuels are no longer used. Previous studies have shown that South Greenland and West Europe have complementary wind regimes. In particular, the southern tip of Greenland, Cape Farewell, has gained growing interest for wind farm development as it is one of the windiest places on Earth. In order to gain new insights about future wind speed variations over South Greenland, the Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR), validated against in situ observations over the tundra where wind turbines are most likely to be installed, is used to built climate projections under the emission scenario SSP5-8.5 by downscaling an ensemble of CMIP6 Earth System Models (ESMs). It appeared that between 1981 and 2100, the wind speed is projected to decrease by ~-0.8 m/s at 100 m a.g.l. over the tundra surrounding Cape Farewell. This decrease is particularly marked in winter while in summer, a wind speed acceleration is projected along the ice sheet margins. An analysis of two-dimensional wind speed changes at different vertical levels indicates that the winter decrease is likely due to a large-scale circulation change while in summer, the katabatic winds flowing down the ice sheet are expected to increase due to an enhanced temperature contrast between the ice sheet and the surroundings. As for the mean annual maximum wind power a turbine can yield, a decrease of ~-178.1 W is projected at 100 m a.g.l. Again, the decrease is especially pronounced in winter. Considering the very high winter wind speeds occurring in South Greenland which can cut off wind turbines if too intense, the projected wind speed decrease might be beneficial for the establishment of wind farms near Cape Farewell. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Lambin, Clara Fettweis, Xavier Kittel, Christoph Fonder, Michaël Ernst, Damien |
author_facet |
Lambin, Clara Fettweis, Xavier Kittel, Christoph Fonder, Michaël Ernst, Damien |
author_sort |
Lambin, Clara |
title |
Assessment of future wind speed and wind power changes over South Greenland using the MAR regional climate model |
title_short |
Assessment of future wind speed and wind power changes over South Greenland using the MAR regional climate model |
title_full |
Assessment of future wind speed and wind power changes over South Greenland using the MAR regional climate model |
title_fullStr |
Assessment of future wind speed and wind power changes over South Greenland using the MAR regional climate model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Assessment of future wind speed and wind power changes over South Greenland using the MAR regional climate model |
title_sort |
assessment of future wind speed and wind power changes over south greenland using the mar regional climate model |
publisher |
John Wiley & Sons |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/288534 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/288534/1/lambin_2022.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7795 |
genre |
Cape Farewell Greenland Ice Sheet Tundra |
genre_facet |
Cape Farewell Greenland Ice Sheet Tundra |
op_source |
International Journal of Climatology (2022-08-31) |
op_relation |
urn:issn:0899-8418 urn:issn:1097-0088 https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/288534 info:hdl:2268/288534 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/288534/1/lambin_2022.pdf doi:10.1002/joc.7795 scopus-id:2-s2.0-85137215206 |
op_rights |
open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7795 |
container_title |
International Journal of Climatology |
container_volume |
43 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
558 |
op_container_end_page |
574 |
_version_ |
1796940232563621888 |