Modelling species response to climate change in sub-Antarctic islands: echinoids as a case study for the Kerguelen Plateau
peer reviewed In the Kerguelen Islands, the multiple effects of climate change are expected to impact coastal marine habitats. Species distribution models (SDM) can represent a convenient tool to predict the biogeographic response of species to climate change but biotic interactions are not consider...
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Australian Antarctic Division
2019
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ftorbi:oai:orbi.ulg.ac.be:2268/236157 2024-04-21T07:49:42+00:00 Modelling species response to climate change in sub-Antarctic islands: echinoids as a case study for the Kerguelen Plateau Saucède, Thomas Guillaumot, Charlène Michel, Loïc Fabri-Ruiz, Salomé Bazin, Alexis Cabessut, Marie Garcia-Berro, Aurora Mateos, Amélie Mathieu, Olivier De Ridder, Chantal Dubois, Philippe Danis, Bruno David, Bruno Diaz, Angie Lepoint, Gilles Motreuil, Sébastien Poulin, Elie Féral, Jean-Pierre MARE - Centre Interfacultaire de Recherches en Océanologie - ULiège FOCUS - Freshwater and OCeanic science Unit of reSearch - ULiège 2019 https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/236157 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/236157/1/Saucede%20et%20al%2019%20CCAMLR%20Science.pdf en eng Australian Antarctic Division http://heardisland.antarctica.gov.au/research/kerguelen-plateau-symposium/the-kerguelen-plateau-marine-ecosystems-and-fisheries https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/236157 info:hdl:2268/236157 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/236157/1/Saucede%20et%20al%2019%20CCAMLR%20Science.pdf open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess urn:isbn:978-1-876934-30-9 The Kerguelen Plateau: marine ecosystem and fisheries. Proceedings of the Second Symposium., 95-116 (2019); 2nd Kerguelen Plateau Symposium on Marine Ecosystems and Fisheries, Hobart, Australia [AU], 13-15/11/2017 climate change southern ocean stable isotopes ecological modelling Life sciences Environmental sciences & ecology Zoology Aquatic sciences & oceanology Sciences du vivant Sciences de l’environnement & écologie Zoologie Sciences aquatiques & océanologie conference paper http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794 info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject peer reviewed 2019 ftorbi 2024-03-27T14:57:31Z peer reviewed In the Kerguelen Islands, the multiple effects of climate change are expected to impact coastal marine habitats. Species distribution models (SDM) can represent a convenient tool to predict the biogeographic response of species to climate change but biotic interactions are not considered in these models. Nevertheless, new species interactions can emerge in communities exposed to environmental changes and the structure of biotic interactions is directly related to the potential resilience of ecosystems. Trophic interaction studies can help predict species vulnerability to environmental changes using carbon (δ13C) and nitrogen (δ15N) stable isotope ratios to generate trophic models. Using new available data inputs, we generated robust SDM and trophic interaction models to assess the potential response and sensitivity of three echinoid species to future worst-case scenarios of environmental change in the Kerguelen Plateau region. The two modelling approaches provide contrasting insights into the potential responses of each species to future environmental changes with both approaches identifying Abatus cordatus to be particularly vulnerable due to its narrow ecological niche and endemism to near-shore areas. Coupling insights gained from trophic niche ecology with species distribution modelling represents a promising approach that can improve our understanding and ability to predict the potential responses of species to future habitat changes. vERSO (BR/132/A1/ vERSO) Conference Object Antarc* Antarctic Kerguelen Islands Southern Ocean University of Liège: ORBi (Open Repository and Bibliography) |
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Open Polar |
collection |
University of Liège: ORBi (Open Repository and Bibliography) |
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ftorbi |
language |
English |
topic |
climate change southern ocean stable isotopes ecological modelling Life sciences Environmental sciences & ecology Zoology Aquatic sciences & oceanology Sciences du vivant Sciences de l’environnement & écologie Zoologie Sciences aquatiques & océanologie |
spellingShingle |
climate change southern ocean stable isotopes ecological modelling Life sciences Environmental sciences & ecology Zoology Aquatic sciences & oceanology Sciences du vivant Sciences de l’environnement & écologie Zoologie Sciences aquatiques & océanologie Saucède, Thomas Guillaumot, Charlène Michel, Loïc Fabri-Ruiz, Salomé Bazin, Alexis Cabessut, Marie Garcia-Berro, Aurora Mateos, Amélie Mathieu, Olivier De Ridder, Chantal Dubois, Philippe Danis, Bruno David, Bruno Diaz, Angie Lepoint, Gilles Motreuil, Sébastien Poulin, Elie Féral, Jean-Pierre Modelling species response to climate change in sub-Antarctic islands: echinoids as a case study for the Kerguelen Plateau |
topic_facet |
climate change southern ocean stable isotopes ecological modelling Life sciences Environmental sciences & ecology Zoology Aquatic sciences & oceanology Sciences du vivant Sciences de l’environnement & écologie Zoologie Sciences aquatiques & océanologie |
description |
peer reviewed In the Kerguelen Islands, the multiple effects of climate change are expected to impact coastal marine habitats. Species distribution models (SDM) can represent a convenient tool to predict the biogeographic response of species to climate change but biotic interactions are not considered in these models. Nevertheless, new species interactions can emerge in communities exposed to environmental changes and the structure of biotic interactions is directly related to the potential resilience of ecosystems. Trophic interaction studies can help predict species vulnerability to environmental changes using carbon (δ13C) and nitrogen (δ15N) stable isotope ratios to generate trophic models. Using new available data inputs, we generated robust SDM and trophic interaction models to assess the potential response and sensitivity of three echinoid species to future worst-case scenarios of environmental change in the Kerguelen Plateau region. The two modelling approaches provide contrasting insights into the potential responses of each species to future environmental changes with both approaches identifying Abatus cordatus to be particularly vulnerable due to its narrow ecological niche and endemism to near-shore areas. Coupling insights gained from trophic niche ecology with species distribution modelling represents a promising approach that can improve our understanding and ability to predict the potential responses of species to future habitat changes. vERSO (BR/132/A1/ vERSO) |
author2 |
MARE - Centre Interfacultaire de Recherches en Océanologie - ULiège FOCUS - Freshwater and OCeanic science Unit of reSearch - ULiège |
format |
Conference Object |
author |
Saucède, Thomas Guillaumot, Charlène Michel, Loïc Fabri-Ruiz, Salomé Bazin, Alexis Cabessut, Marie Garcia-Berro, Aurora Mateos, Amélie Mathieu, Olivier De Ridder, Chantal Dubois, Philippe Danis, Bruno David, Bruno Diaz, Angie Lepoint, Gilles Motreuil, Sébastien Poulin, Elie Féral, Jean-Pierre |
author_facet |
Saucède, Thomas Guillaumot, Charlène Michel, Loïc Fabri-Ruiz, Salomé Bazin, Alexis Cabessut, Marie Garcia-Berro, Aurora Mateos, Amélie Mathieu, Olivier De Ridder, Chantal Dubois, Philippe Danis, Bruno David, Bruno Diaz, Angie Lepoint, Gilles Motreuil, Sébastien Poulin, Elie Féral, Jean-Pierre |
author_sort |
Saucède, Thomas |
title |
Modelling species response to climate change in sub-Antarctic islands: echinoids as a case study for the Kerguelen Plateau |
title_short |
Modelling species response to climate change in sub-Antarctic islands: echinoids as a case study for the Kerguelen Plateau |
title_full |
Modelling species response to climate change in sub-Antarctic islands: echinoids as a case study for the Kerguelen Plateau |
title_fullStr |
Modelling species response to climate change in sub-Antarctic islands: echinoids as a case study for the Kerguelen Plateau |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modelling species response to climate change in sub-Antarctic islands: echinoids as a case study for the Kerguelen Plateau |
title_sort |
modelling species response to climate change in sub-antarctic islands: echinoids as a case study for the kerguelen plateau |
publisher |
Australian Antarctic Division |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/236157 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/236157/1/Saucede%20et%20al%2019%20CCAMLR%20Science.pdf |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Kerguelen Islands Southern Ocean |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Kerguelen Islands Southern Ocean |
op_source |
urn:isbn:978-1-876934-30-9 The Kerguelen Plateau: marine ecosystem and fisheries. Proceedings of the Second Symposium., 95-116 (2019); 2nd Kerguelen Plateau Symposium on Marine Ecosystems and Fisheries, Hobart, Australia [AU], 13-15/11/2017 |
op_relation |
http://heardisland.antarctica.gov.au/research/kerguelen-plateau-symposium/the-kerguelen-plateau-marine-ecosystems-and-fisheries https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/236157 info:hdl:2268/236157 https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/236157/1/Saucede%20et%20al%2019%20CCAMLR%20Science.pdf |
op_rights |
open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
_version_ |
1796933714312167424 |