Future climate and surface mass balance of Svalbard glaciers in an RCP8.5 climate scenario: a study with the regional climate model MAR forced by MIROC5

peer reviewed We simulated the 21st century Svalbard SMB with the regional model MAR (RCP8.5 scenario). Melt is projected to increase gently up to 2050 and then dramatically increase, with a larger increase in the south of the archipelago. This difference is due to larger ice albedo decrease in the...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Cryosphere
Main Authors: Lang, Charlotte, Fettweis, Xavier, Erpicum, Michel
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Copernicus 2015
Subjects:
Svalbard
regional climate model
surface mass balance
Physical
chemical
mathematical & earth Sciences
Earth sciences & physical geography
Physique
chimie
mathématiques & sciences de la terre
Sciences de la terre & géographie physique
The Cryosphere
Online Access:https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/181297
https://orbi.uliege.be/bitstream/2268/181297/1/lang_et_al_2015b_futur.pdf
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-945-2015
Description
Summary:peer reviewed We simulated the 21st century Svalbard SMB with the regional model MAR (RCP8.5 scenario). Melt is projected to increase gently up to 2050 and then dramatically increase, with a larger increase in the south of the archipelago. This difference is due to larger ice albedo decrease in the south causing larger increase of absorbed solar radiation. The ablation area is projected to disappear over the entire Svalbard by 2085. The SMB decrease compared to present is projected to contribute 7mm to SLR.

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