Temperature selectivity in Icelandic and Northeast-Arctic cod

• Main Author: von Leesen, Gotje
• Other Authors: Steven E. Campana, Líf- og umhverfisvísindadeild (HÍ), Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences (UI), Verkfræði- og náttúruvísindasvið (HÍ), School of Engineering and Natural Sciences (UI), Háskóli Íslands, University of Iceland
• Format: Doctoral or Postdoctoral Thesis
• Language: English
• Published: University of Iceland, School of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences 2021
• Subjects: Fiskifræði; Þorskur; Sjávarhiti; Norður-Atlantshaf; Sjávarlíffræði; Doktorsritgerðir; Arctic; Arctic cod; atlantic cod; Climate change; Gadus morhua; Northeast Arctic cod
• Online Access: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11815/2628

Increasing water temperatures are predicted worldwide, with high amplitudes in the Arctic and sub-Arctic regions exceeding predictions for other regions. An understanding how Atlantic cod ( Gadus morhua ) reacted to changing environmental conditions in the past is essential for predicting re-distribution under climate change. In this thesis, I examined the temperature selectivity of Icelandic and Northeast-Arctic (NEA) cod in response to fluctuating temperature conditions and changes in the stock dynamics. Multiple century-long data time series and linear mixed-effect models were used to investigate the effect of fluctuating water temperatures and changes in stock dynamics on the temperature selectivity of cod, using stable oxygen isotope composition in otoliths as a proxy of ambient temperature. Icelandic cod δ 18 O otolith values were significantly correlated with water temperature time series, indicating that they were exposed to fluctuating water temperatures during the past 100 years and did not move appreciably in response to increasing ocean temperatures. Furthermore, abundance changes have affected the temperature selectivity of Icelandic and NEA cod as a density-driven response; however, the response of the two populations was different. Increasing abundance resulted in increasing intraspecific competition and decreasing individual fitness levels, which expanded the distribution area of both cod stocks into previously unfavorable thermal habitats. To validate the accuracy of high-resolution otolith isotopic records as a temperature proxy, stable oxygen isotope records of wild, free-swimming Icelandic cod tracked with data-storage tags (DST) were analyzed with high-resolution secondary-ion mass spectrometry (SIMS). Results demonstrated that the method is well-suited as a relative index of temperature exposure, although maximum ambient temperatures were often overestimated. Using century-long data time series and oxygen isotope chronologies of cod otoliths have markedly improved our understanding of the ...