Participatory Planning Under Scenarios of Glacier Retreat and Tourism Growth in Southeast Iceland
Publisher's version (útgefin grein) Glacial mountain environments are changing rapidly as a result of climate change and the expansion of nature-based recreation. Anticipatory planning to adapt to such changes is a key management challenge. The aim of this study was to explore how adaptation pl...
Published in: | Mountain Research and Development |
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Main Authors: | , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
International Mountain Society (IMS) and United Nations University
2019
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11815/1746 https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1 |
id |
ftopinvisindi:oai:opinvisindi.is:20.500.11815/1746 |
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record_format |
openpolar |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Opin vísindi (Iceland) |
op_collection_id |
ftopinvisindi |
language |
English |
topic |
Climate change adaptation Glacial land-cover mapping Iceland Land-use mapping Local stakeholders Outdoor recreation Participatory scenario planning Vatnajökull national park Loftslagsbreytingar Þjóðgarðar Landakort Landnýting |
spellingShingle |
Climate change adaptation Glacial land-cover mapping Iceland Land-use mapping Local stakeholders Outdoor recreation Participatory scenario planning Vatnajökull national park Loftslagsbreytingar Þjóðgarðar Landakort Landnýting Welling, Johannes Olafsdottir, Rannveig Árnason, Þorvarður Guðmundsson, Snævarr Participatory Planning Under Scenarios of Glacier Retreat and Tourism Growth in Southeast Iceland |
topic_facet |
Climate change adaptation Glacial land-cover mapping Iceland Land-use mapping Local stakeholders Outdoor recreation Participatory scenario planning Vatnajökull national park Loftslagsbreytingar Þjóðgarðar Landakort Landnýting |
description |
Publisher's version (útgefin grein) Glacial mountain environments are changing rapidly as a result of climate change and the expansion of nature-based recreation. Anticipatory planning to adapt to such changes is a key management challenge. The aim of this study was to explore how adaptation planning for recreation sites in these areas can be supported using participatory scenario planning (PSP). For this purpose, a study area in southeast Iceland was chosen where management is likely to be heavily impacted in the near future. PSP involves local stakeholder workshops in which participants generate maps reflecting plausible glacial land cover and land use in the near future. This process takes place in stages, including the identification of potential drivers of land-use change, development of multiple land-use scenarios, and examination of the potential consequences of these scenarios and options for adapting to them. The study demonstrates that PSP can be a valuable tool to support recreational land-use planning in glacial landscapes, and to improve anticipatory adaptation to potentially undesirable future changes. PSP also has the potential to provide salient and usable knowledge for local stakeholders, stimulate stakeholders to elaborate on long-term changes and associated uncertainties through scenario construction and visualization, provide insight into the adaptive capacity of current recreational planning systems, and reframe stakeholders' guiding assumptions to encourage a more future-oriented mentality. This approach could be valuable in other glaciated mountain areas and in recreation areas where there are multiple significant future changes in landscape attributes, processes, and uses at play simultaneously. This work is a part of a larger project supported by the European Union Interreg Northern Periphery and Arctic Programme (Interreg-npa.eu), titled BuSK (Building shared knowledge capital to support natural resource governance in the northern periphery). It also received financial support from ... |
author2 |
Líf- og umhverfisvísindadeild (HÍ) Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences (UI) Rannsóknasetur á Hornafirði (HÍ) Research Centre in Hornafjörður (UI) Verkfræði- og náttúruvísindasvið (HÍ) School of Engineering and Natural Sciences (UI) Háskóli Íslands University of Iceland |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Welling, Johannes Olafsdottir, Rannveig Árnason, Þorvarður Guðmundsson, Snævarr |
author_facet |
Welling, Johannes Olafsdottir, Rannveig Árnason, Þorvarður Guðmundsson, Snævarr |
author_sort |
Welling, Johannes |
title |
Participatory Planning Under Scenarios of Glacier Retreat and Tourism Growth in Southeast Iceland |
title_short |
Participatory Planning Under Scenarios of Glacier Retreat and Tourism Growth in Southeast Iceland |
title_full |
Participatory Planning Under Scenarios of Glacier Retreat and Tourism Growth in Southeast Iceland |
title_fullStr |
Participatory Planning Under Scenarios of Glacier Retreat and Tourism Growth in Southeast Iceland |
title_full_unstemmed |
Participatory Planning Under Scenarios of Glacier Retreat and Tourism Growth in Southeast Iceland |
title_sort |
participatory planning under scenarios of glacier retreat and tourism growth in southeast iceland |
publisher |
International Mountain Society (IMS) and United Nations University |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11815/1746 https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-129.454,-129.454,58.250,58.250) ENVELOPE(-16.823,-16.823,64.420,64.420) |
geographic |
Arctic Glacial Mountain Vatnajökull |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Glacial Mountain Vatnajökull |
genre |
Arctic Climate change glacier Iceland Vatnajökull |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change glacier Iceland Vatnajökull |
op_relation |
Mountain Research and Development;39(2) https://bioone.org/journals/mountain-research-and-development/volume-39/issue-2/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1/Participatory-Planning-Under-Scenarios-of-Glacier-Retreat-and-Tourism-Growth/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1.full Johannes Welling, Rannveig Ólafsdóttir, Þorvarður Árnason, and Snævarr Guðmundsson "Participatory Planning Under Scenarios of Glacier Retreat and Tourism Growth in Southeast Iceland," Mountain Research and Development 39(2), D1-D13, (18 October 2019). https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1 0276-4741 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11815/1746 Mountain Research and Development doi:10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/20.500.11815/1746 https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1 |
container_title |
Mountain Research and Development |
container_volume |
39 |
container_issue |
2 |
_version_ |
1766344772423778304 |
spelling |
ftopinvisindi:oai:opinvisindi.is:20.500.11815/1746 2023-05-15T15:14:18+02:00 Participatory Planning Under Scenarios of Glacier Retreat and Tourism Growth in Southeast Iceland Welling, Johannes Olafsdottir, Rannveig Árnason, Þorvarður Guðmundsson, Snævarr Líf- og umhverfisvísindadeild (HÍ) Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences (UI) Rannsóknasetur á Hornafirði (HÍ) Research Centre in Hornafjörður (UI) Verkfræði- og náttúruvísindasvið (HÍ) School of Engineering and Natural Sciences (UI) Háskóli Íslands University of Iceland 2019-10-18 D1-D13 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11815/1746 https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1 en eng International Mountain Society (IMS) and United Nations University Mountain Research and Development;39(2) https://bioone.org/journals/mountain-research-and-development/volume-39/issue-2/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1/Participatory-Planning-Under-Scenarios-of-Glacier-Retreat-and-Tourism-Growth/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1.full Johannes Welling, Rannveig Ólafsdóttir, Þorvarður Árnason, and Snævarr Guðmundsson "Participatory Planning Under Scenarios of Glacier Retreat and Tourism Growth in Southeast Iceland," Mountain Research and Development 39(2), D1-D13, (18 October 2019). https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1 0276-4741 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11815/1746 Mountain Research and Development doi:10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Climate change adaptation Glacial land-cover mapping Iceland Land-use mapping Local stakeholders Outdoor recreation Participatory scenario planning Vatnajökull national park Loftslagsbreytingar Þjóðgarðar Landakort Landnýting info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2019 ftopinvisindi https://doi.org/20.500.11815/1746 https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-18-00090.1 2022-11-18T06:51:56Z Publisher's version (útgefin grein) Glacial mountain environments are changing rapidly as a result of climate change and the expansion of nature-based recreation. Anticipatory planning to adapt to such changes is a key management challenge. The aim of this study was to explore how adaptation planning for recreation sites in these areas can be supported using participatory scenario planning (PSP). For this purpose, a study area in southeast Iceland was chosen where management is likely to be heavily impacted in the near future. PSP involves local stakeholder workshops in which participants generate maps reflecting plausible glacial land cover and land use in the near future. This process takes place in stages, including the identification of potential drivers of land-use change, development of multiple land-use scenarios, and examination of the potential consequences of these scenarios and options for adapting to them. The study demonstrates that PSP can be a valuable tool to support recreational land-use planning in glacial landscapes, and to improve anticipatory adaptation to potentially undesirable future changes. PSP also has the potential to provide salient and usable knowledge for local stakeholders, stimulate stakeholders to elaborate on long-term changes and associated uncertainties through scenario construction and visualization, provide insight into the adaptive capacity of current recreational planning systems, and reframe stakeholders' guiding assumptions to encourage a more future-oriented mentality. This approach could be valuable in other glaciated mountain areas and in recreation areas where there are multiple significant future changes in landscape attributes, processes, and uses at play simultaneously. This work is a part of a larger project supported by the European Union Interreg Northern Periphery and Arctic Programme (Interreg-npa.eu), titled BuSK (Building shared knowledge capital to support natural resource governance in the northern periphery). It also received financial support from ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change glacier Iceland Vatnajökull Opin vísindi (Iceland) Arctic Glacial Mountain ENVELOPE(-129.454,-129.454,58.250,58.250) Vatnajökull ENVELOPE(-16.823,-16.823,64.420,64.420) Mountain Research and Development 39 2 |