Deepening of Future Aleutian Low in Ensemble Global Warming Simulations with the Kiel Climate Model
We project changes of the Aleutian Low (AL) under global warming using ensemble simulations with a fully coupled ocean-atmosphere-sea ice model, the Kiel Climate Model (KCM). In the global warming simulations, the carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration increases by 1% per year from the preindustrial lev...
Published in: | Ocean Science Journal |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Springer
2020
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/49932/ https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/49932/1/Choi2020_Article_DeepeningOfFutureAleutianLowIn.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7 |
id |
ftoceanrep:oai:oceanrep.geomar.de:49932 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftoceanrep:oai:oceanrep.geomar.de:49932 2023-05-15T13:14:53+02:00 Deepening of Future Aleutian Low in Ensemble Global Warming Simulations with the Kiel Climate Model Choi, Hwan Young Lee, Ho Jin Kim, Sang-Yeob Park, Wonsun 2020-06-09 text https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/49932/ https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/49932/1/Choi2020_Article_DeepeningOfFutureAleutianLowIn.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7 en eng Springer https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/49932/1/Choi2020_Article_DeepeningOfFutureAleutianLowIn.pdf Choi, H. Y., Lee, H. J., Kim, S. Y. and Park, W. (2020) Deepening of Future Aleutian Low in Ensemble Global Warming Simulations with the Kiel Climate Model. Ocean Science Journal, 55 . pp. 219-230. DOI 10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7 <https://doi.org/10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7>. doi:10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7 info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess Article PeerReviewed 2020 ftoceanrep https://doi.org/10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7 2023-04-07T15:50:56Z We project changes of the Aleutian Low (AL) under global warming using ensemble simulations with a fully coupled ocean-atmosphere-sea ice model, the Kiel Climate Model (KCM). In the global warming simulations, the carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration increases by 1% per year from the preindustrial level of 286.2 ppm to a quadruple value in 140 years. Results from the 40 members of an ensemble simulation show an intensification of the AL such that ensemble mean North Pacific Index (NPI) is decreased by 2.71 hPa. It is also accompanied with an expansion of the AL to north. While the effect of weakened land-ocean thermal contrast and SST warming in the eastern tropical Pacific on the AL strength are relatively weak and marginally significant, sea ice loss in the marginal seas of the North Pacific, such as the Bering Sea and the Sea of Okhotsk, increases the surface air temperature and makes pressure lower over the Bering Sea and the Aleutian Islands. Especially, sea ice loss in the Okhotsk Sea drives the SLP change around the Aleutian Islands and contributes to the strengthening of the AL. Article in Journal/Newspaper aleutian low Bering Sea okhotsk sea Sea ice Aleutian Islands OceanRep (GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre für Ocean Research Kiel) Bering Sea Okhotsk Pacific Ocean Science Journal 55 2 219 230 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
OceanRep (GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre für Ocean Research Kiel) |
op_collection_id |
ftoceanrep |
language |
English |
description |
We project changes of the Aleutian Low (AL) under global warming using ensemble simulations with a fully coupled ocean-atmosphere-sea ice model, the Kiel Climate Model (KCM). In the global warming simulations, the carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration increases by 1% per year from the preindustrial level of 286.2 ppm to a quadruple value in 140 years. Results from the 40 members of an ensemble simulation show an intensification of the AL such that ensemble mean North Pacific Index (NPI) is decreased by 2.71 hPa. It is also accompanied with an expansion of the AL to north. While the effect of weakened land-ocean thermal contrast and SST warming in the eastern tropical Pacific on the AL strength are relatively weak and marginally significant, sea ice loss in the marginal seas of the North Pacific, such as the Bering Sea and the Sea of Okhotsk, increases the surface air temperature and makes pressure lower over the Bering Sea and the Aleutian Islands. Especially, sea ice loss in the Okhotsk Sea drives the SLP change around the Aleutian Islands and contributes to the strengthening of the AL. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Choi, Hwan Young Lee, Ho Jin Kim, Sang-Yeob Park, Wonsun |
spellingShingle |
Choi, Hwan Young Lee, Ho Jin Kim, Sang-Yeob Park, Wonsun Deepening of Future Aleutian Low in Ensemble Global Warming Simulations with the Kiel Climate Model |
author_facet |
Choi, Hwan Young Lee, Ho Jin Kim, Sang-Yeob Park, Wonsun |
author_sort |
Choi, Hwan Young |
title |
Deepening of Future Aleutian Low in Ensemble Global Warming Simulations with the Kiel Climate Model |
title_short |
Deepening of Future Aleutian Low in Ensemble Global Warming Simulations with the Kiel Climate Model |
title_full |
Deepening of Future Aleutian Low in Ensemble Global Warming Simulations with the Kiel Climate Model |
title_fullStr |
Deepening of Future Aleutian Low in Ensemble Global Warming Simulations with the Kiel Climate Model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Deepening of Future Aleutian Low in Ensemble Global Warming Simulations with the Kiel Climate Model |
title_sort |
deepening of future aleutian low in ensemble global warming simulations with the kiel climate model |
publisher |
Springer |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/49932/ https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/49932/1/Choi2020_Article_DeepeningOfFutureAleutianLowIn.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7 |
geographic |
Bering Sea Okhotsk Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Bering Sea Okhotsk Pacific |
genre |
aleutian low Bering Sea okhotsk sea Sea ice Aleutian Islands |
genre_facet |
aleutian low Bering Sea okhotsk sea Sea ice Aleutian Islands |
op_relation |
https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/49932/1/Choi2020_Article_DeepeningOfFutureAleutianLowIn.pdf Choi, H. Y., Lee, H. J., Kim, S. Y. and Park, W. (2020) Deepening of Future Aleutian Low in Ensemble Global Warming Simulations with the Kiel Climate Model. Ocean Science Journal, 55 . pp. 219-230. DOI 10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7 <https://doi.org/10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7>. doi:10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12601-020-0017-7 |
container_title |
Ocean Science Journal |
container_volume |
55 |
container_issue |
2 |
container_start_page |
219 |
op_container_end_page |
230 |
_version_ |
1766265901163741184 |