The effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late Pleistocene
We reanalyze existing paleodata of global mean surface temperature ΔTg and radiative forcing ΔR of CO2 and land ice albedo for the last 800,000 years to show that a state‐dependency in paleoclimate sensitivity S, as previously suggested, is only found if ΔTg is based on reconstructions, and not when...
Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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2018
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Online Access: | https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/43449/ https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/43449/1/2018GL077717.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077717 |
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ftoceanrep:oai:oceanrep.geomar.de:43449 2023-05-15T16:40:54+02:00 The effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late Pleistocene Köhler, Peter Knorr, Gregor Stap, Lennert B. Ganoposlky, Andrey de Boer, Bas van de Wal, Roderik S. W. Barker, Stephen Rüpke, Lars H. 2018-07-16 text https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/43449/ https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/43449/1/2018GL077717.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077717 en eng AGU (American Geophysical Union) Wiley https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/43449/1/2018GL077717.pdf Köhler, P., Knorr, G., Stap, L. B., Ganoposlky, A., de Boer, B., van de Wal, R. S. W., Barker, S. and Rüpke, L. H. (2018) The effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late Pleistocene. Open Access Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (13). pp. 6661-6671. DOI 10.1029/2018GL077717 <https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077717>. doi:10.1029/2018GL077717 cc_by_nc_nd_4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Article PeerReviewed 2018 ftoceanrep https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077717 2023-04-07T15:40:21Z We reanalyze existing paleodata of global mean surface temperature ΔTg and radiative forcing ΔR of CO2 and land ice albedo for the last 800,000 years to show that a state‐dependency in paleoclimate sensitivity S, as previously suggested, is only found if ΔTg is based on reconstructions, and not when ΔTg is based on model simulations. Furthermore, during times of decreasing obliquity (periods of land‐ice sheet growth and sea level fall) the multi‐millennial component of reconstructed ΔTg diverges from CO2, while in simulations both variables vary more synchronously, suggesting that the differences during these times are due to relatively low rates of simulated land ice growth and associated cooling. To produce a reconstruction‐based extrapolation of S for the future we exclude intervals with strong ΔTg‐CO2 divergence and find that S is less state‐dependent, or even constant (state‐independent), yielding a mean equilibrium warming of 2–4 K for a doubling of CO2. Article in Journal/Newspaper Ice Sheet OceanRep (GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre für Ocean Research Kiel) Geophysical Research Letters 45 13 6661 6671 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
OceanRep (GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre für Ocean Research Kiel) |
op_collection_id |
ftoceanrep |
language |
English |
description |
We reanalyze existing paleodata of global mean surface temperature ΔTg and radiative forcing ΔR of CO2 and land ice albedo for the last 800,000 years to show that a state‐dependency in paleoclimate sensitivity S, as previously suggested, is only found if ΔTg is based on reconstructions, and not when ΔTg is based on model simulations. Furthermore, during times of decreasing obliquity (periods of land‐ice sheet growth and sea level fall) the multi‐millennial component of reconstructed ΔTg diverges from CO2, while in simulations both variables vary more synchronously, suggesting that the differences during these times are due to relatively low rates of simulated land ice growth and associated cooling. To produce a reconstruction‐based extrapolation of S for the future we exclude intervals with strong ΔTg‐CO2 divergence and find that S is less state‐dependent, or even constant (state‐independent), yielding a mean equilibrium warming of 2–4 K for a doubling of CO2. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Köhler, Peter Knorr, Gregor Stap, Lennert B. Ganoposlky, Andrey de Boer, Bas van de Wal, Roderik S. W. Barker, Stephen Rüpke, Lars H. |
spellingShingle |
Köhler, Peter Knorr, Gregor Stap, Lennert B. Ganoposlky, Andrey de Boer, Bas van de Wal, Roderik S. W. Barker, Stephen Rüpke, Lars H. The effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late Pleistocene |
author_facet |
Köhler, Peter Knorr, Gregor Stap, Lennert B. Ganoposlky, Andrey de Boer, Bas van de Wal, Roderik S. W. Barker, Stephen Rüpke, Lars H. |
author_sort |
Köhler, Peter |
title |
The effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late Pleistocene |
title_short |
The effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late Pleistocene |
title_full |
The effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late Pleistocene |
title_fullStr |
The effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late Pleistocene |
title_full_unstemmed |
The effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late Pleistocene |
title_sort |
effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late pleistocene |
publisher |
AGU (American Geophysical Union) |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/43449/ https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/43449/1/2018GL077717.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077717 |
genre |
Ice Sheet |
genre_facet |
Ice Sheet |
op_relation |
https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/43449/1/2018GL077717.pdf Köhler, P., Knorr, G., Stap, L. B., Ganoposlky, A., de Boer, B., van de Wal, R. S. W., Barker, S. and Rüpke, L. H. (2018) The effect of obliquity-driven changes on paleoclimate sensitivity during the late Pleistocene. Open Access Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (13). pp. 6661-6671. DOI 10.1029/2018GL077717 <https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077717>. doi:10.1029/2018GL077717 |
op_rights |
cc_by_nc_nd_4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077717 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
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45 |
container_issue |
13 |
container_start_page |
6661 |
op_container_end_page |
6671 |
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1766031337424158720 |