Broad-Scale Climate Influences on Spring-Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus, L.) Recruitment in the Western Baltic Sea
Climate forcing in complex ecosystems can have profound implications for ecosystem sustainability and may thus challenge a precautionary ecosystem management. Climatic influences documented to affect various ecological functions on a global scale, may themselves be observed on quantitative or qualit...
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Online Access: | https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/23707/ https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/23707/1/journal.pone.0087525.pdf https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087525 |
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ftoceanrep:oai:oceanrep.geomar.de:23707 2023-05-15T17:35:08+02:00 Broad-Scale Climate Influences on Spring-Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus, L.) Recruitment in the Western Baltic Sea Gröger, Joachim P. Hinrichsen, Hans-Harald Polte, Patrick 2014-02-25 text https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/23707/ https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/23707/1/journal.pone.0087525.pdf https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087525 en eng Public Library of Science https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/23707/1/journal.pone.0087525.pdf Gröger, J. P., Hinrichsen, H. H. and Polte, P. (2014) Broad-Scale Climate Influences on Spring-Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus, L.) Recruitment in the Western Baltic Sea. Open Access PLoS ONE, 9 (2). e87525. DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0087525 <https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087525>. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0087525 cc_by_3.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Article PeerReviewed info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2014 ftoceanrep https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087525 2023-04-07T15:12:36Z Climate forcing in complex ecosystems can have profound implications for ecosystem sustainability and may thus challenge a precautionary ecosystem management. Climatic influences documented to affect various ecological functions on a global scale, may themselves be observed on quantitative or qualitative scales including regime shifts in complex marine ecosystems. This study investigates the potential climatic impact on the reproduction success of spring-spawning herring (Clupea harengus) in the Western Baltic Sea (WBSS herring). To test for climate effects on reproduction success, the regionally determined and scientifically well-documented spawning grounds of WBSS herring represent an ideal model system. Climate effects on herring reproduction were investigated using two global indices of atmospheric variability and sea surface temperature, represented by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO), respectively, and the Baltic Sea Index (BSI) which is a regional-scale atmospheric index for the Baltic Sea. Moreover, we combined a traditional approach with modern time series analysis based on a recruitment model connecting parental population components with reproduction success. Generalized transfer functions (ARIMAX models) allowed evaluating the dynamic nature of exogenous climate processes interacting with the endogenous recruitment process. Using different model selection criteria our results reveal that in contrast to NAO and AMO, the BSI shows a significant positive but delayed signal on the annual dynamics of herring recruitment. The westward influence of the Siberian high is considered strongly suppressing the influence of the NAO in this area leading to a higher explanatory power of the BSI reflecting the atmospheric pressure regime on a North-South transect between Oslo, Norway and Szczecin, Poland. We suggest incorporating climate-induced effects into stock and risk assessments and management strategies as part of the EU ecosystem approach to support ... Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation OceanRep (GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre für Ocean Research Kiel) Norway PLoS ONE 9 2 e87525 |
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Open Polar |
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OceanRep (GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre für Ocean Research Kiel) |
op_collection_id |
ftoceanrep |
language |
English |
description |
Climate forcing in complex ecosystems can have profound implications for ecosystem sustainability and may thus challenge a precautionary ecosystem management. Climatic influences documented to affect various ecological functions on a global scale, may themselves be observed on quantitative or qualitative scales including regime shifts in complex marine ecosystems. This study investigates the potential climatic impact on the reproduction success of spring-spawning herring (Clupea harengus) in the Western Baltic Sea (WBSS herring). To test for climate effects on reproduction success, the regionally determined and scientifically well-documented spawning grounds of WBSS herring represent an ideal model system. Climate effects on herring reproduction were investigated using two global indices of atmospheric variability and sea surface temperature, represented by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO), respectively, and the Baltic Sea Index (BSI) which is a regional-scale atmospheric index for the Baltic Sea. Moreover, we combined a traditional approach with modern time series analysis based on a recruitment model connecting parental population components with reproduction success. Generalized transfer functions (ARIMAX models) allowed evaluating the dynamic nature of exogenous climate processes interacting with the endogenous recruitment process. Using different model selection criteria our results reveal that in contrast to NAO and AMO, the BSI shows a significant positive but delayed signal on the annual dynamics of herring recruitment. The westward influence of the Siberian high is considered strongly suppressing the influence of the NAO in this area leading to a higher explanatory power of the BSI reflecting the atmospheric pressure regime on a North-South transect between Oslo, Norway and Szczecin, Poland. We suggest incorporating climate-induced effects into stock and risk assessments and management strategies as part of the EU ecosystem approach to support ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Gröger, Joachim P. Hinrichsen, Hans-Harald Polte, Patrick |
spellingShingle |
Gröger, Joachim P. Hinrichsen, Hans-Harald Polte, Patrick Broad-Scale Climate Influences on Spring-Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus, L.) Recruitment in the Western Baltic Sea |
author_facet |
Gröger, Joachim P. Hinrichsen, Hans-Harald Polte, Patrick |
author_sort |
Gröger, Joachim P. |
title |
Broad-Scale Climate Influences on Spring-Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus, L.) Recruitment in the Western Baltic Sea |
title_short |
Broad-Scale Climate Influences on Spring-Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus, L.) Recruitment in the Western Baltic Sea |
title_full |
Broad-Scale Climate Influences on Spring-Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus, L.) Recruitment in the Western Baltic Sea |
title_fullStr |
Broad-Scale Climate Influences on Spring-Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus, L.) Recruitment in the Western Baltic Sea |
title_full_unstemmed |
Broad-Scale Climate Influences on Spring-Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus, L.) Recruitment in the Western Baltic Sea |
title_sort |
broad-scale climate influences on spring-spawning herring (clupea harengus, l.) recruitment in the western baltic sea |
publisher |
Public Library of Science |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/23707/ https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/23707/1/journal.pone.0087525.pdf https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087525 |
geographic |
Norway |
geographic_facet |
Norway |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/23707/1/journal.pone.0087525.pdf Gröger, J. P., Hinrichsen, H. H. and Polte, P. (2014) Broad-Scale Climate Influences on Spring-Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus, L.) Recruitment in the Western Baltic Sea. Open Access PLoS ONE, 9 (2). e87525. DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0087525 <https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087525>. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0087525 |
op_rights |
cc_by_3.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087525 |
container_title |
PLoS ONE |
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9 |
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2 |
container_start_page |
e87525 |
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1766134186732683264 |