Probabilistic analysis of seasonal ice loads on the Molikpaq

• Main Authors: Timco, Garry, Frederking, Robert
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: unknown
• Published: International Association of Hydraulic Engineering and Research 2004
• Subjects: Beaufort Sea
• Online Access: https://nrc-publications.canada.ca/eng/view/accepted/?id=d48aee53-4a93-4e8f-a7c0-d8bd5bec0351; https://nrc-publications.canada.ca/eng/view/object/?id=d48aee53-4a93-4e8f-a7c0-d8bd5bec0351; https://nrc-publications.canada.ca/fra/voir/objet/?id=d48aee53-4a93-4e8f-a7c0-d8bd5bec0351

A probabilistic analysis is made to predict the seasonal evolution of first-year ice loads on the Molikpaq offshore structure throughout a winter in the Canadian Beaufort Sea. The analysis is based solely on the failure modes of the ice, the ice thickness, and the number of weekly ice loading events. The paper illustrates the use of the probabilistic approach using these basic input values. The results of the analysis show good agreement with the measured ice loads on the Molikpaq in the Beaufort Sea. NRC publication: Yes