Modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between Northeast Asia and Northwest Europe
The Northeast Passage (NEP) has always been an attractive transport alternative for trade between Northwest Europe and Northeast Asia due to its shorter distance. While a growing body of literature addresses the economic and technical viability of NEP transit shipping, there is still a need for incr...
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2023
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Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/11250/3082343 https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2023.2220703 |
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ftnorduniv:oai:nordopen.nord.no:11250/3082343 2023-08-27T04:11:09+02:00 Modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between Northeast Asia and Northwest Europe Kovalenko, Alina 2023 application/pdf https://hdl.handle.net/11250/3082343 https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2023.2220703 eng eng Taylor & Francis Kovalenko, A. (2023). Modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between Northeast Asia and Northwest Europe. Maritime Policy & Management. doi: urn:issn:1464-5254 https://hdl.handle.net/11250/3082343 https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2023.2220703 cristin:2154220 Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.no © 2023 The Authors 16 Maritime Policy & Management Peer reviewed Journal article 2023 ftnorduniv https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2023.2220703 2023-08-09T22:46:38Z The Northeast Passage (NEP) has always been an attractive transport alternative for trade between Northwest Europe and Northeast Asia due to its shorter distance. While a growing body of literature addresses the economic and technical viability of NEP transit shipping, there is still a need for increased knowledge on the features of maritime trade between the regions that could potentially use the route. This study aimed to propose a conceptual model to explain the main factors influencing the cargo demand transported by container ships in order to analyse the types of trade that could increase by using the NEP. Structural equation modelling (SEM) was applied to the empirical data on trade volumes between Northwest Europe and Northeast Asia and suggested that logistics performance has the greatest impact on total volume of container ship flow between these regions. The data of maritime trade volume are further disaggregated to examine how the impact of the analysed factors varied between commodity groups. This study contributes to identifying which type of cargo flow may be the most receptive in case of opening the NEP for regular shipping whilst offering insights into the impact of global economic policy uncertainty on container ship demand. publishedVersion Article in Journal/Newspaper Northeast Passage Open archive Nord universitet Maritime Policy & Management 1 16 |
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English |
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The Northeast Passage (NEP) has always been an attractive transport alternative for trade between Northwest Europe and Northeast Asia due to its shorter distance. While a growing body of literature addresses the economic and technical viability of NEP transit shipping, there is still a need for increased knowledge on the features of maritime trade between the regions that could potentially use the route. This study aimed to propose a conceptual model to explain the main factors influencing the cargo demand transported by container ships in order to analyse the types of trade that could increase by using the NEP. Structural equation modelling (SEM) was applied to the empirical data on trade volumes between Northwest Europe and Northeast Asia and suggested that logistics performance has the greatest impact on total volume of container ship flow between these regions. The data of maritime trade volume are further disaggregated to examine how the impact of the analysed factors varied between commodity groups. This study contributes to identifying which type of cargo flow may be the most receptive in case of opening the NEP for regular shipping whilst offering insights into the impact of global economic policy uncertainty on container ship demand. publishedVersion |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Kovalenko, Alina |
spellingShingle |
Kovalenko, Alina Modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between Northeast Asia and Northwest Europe |
author_facet |
Kovalenko, Alina |
author_sort |
Kovalenko, Alina |
title |
Modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between Northeast Asia and Northwest Europe |
title_short |
Modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between Northeast Asia and Northwest Europe |
title_full |
Modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between Northeast Asia and Northwest Europe |
title_fullStr |
Modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between Northeast Asia and Northwest Europe |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between Northeast Asia and Northwest Europe |
title_sort |
modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between northeast asia and northwest europe |
publisher |
Taylor & Francis |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/11250/3082343 https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2023.2220703 |
genre |
Northeast Passage |
genre_facet |
Northeast Passage |
op_source |
16 Maritime Policy & Management |
op_relation |
Kovalenko, A. (2023). Modelling container ship transport flow : an application to alternative sea routes between Northeast Asia and Northwest Europe. Maritime Policy & Management. doi: urn:issn:1464-5254 https://hdl.handle.net/11250/3082343 https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2023.2220703 cristin:2154220 |
op_rights |
Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.no © 2023 The Authors |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2023.2220703 |
container_title |
Maritime Policy & Management |
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1 |
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16 |
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1775353671576453120 |