Brief Communication: Antarctic sea ice loss brings observed trends into agreement with climate models
Most climate models do not reproduce the 1979–2014 increase in Antarctic sea ice cover. This was a contributing factor in successive Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports allocating low confidence to model projections of sea ice over the 21st century. We show that recent rapid dec...
Main Authors: | , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2023
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2881 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00070616 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00068961/egusphere-2023-2881.pdf https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-2881/egusphere-2023-2881.pdf |
id |
ftnonlinearchiv:oai:noa.gwlb.de:cop_mods_00070616 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftnonlinearchiv:oai:noa.gwlb.de:cop_mods_00070616 2024-01-21T10:00:37+01:00 Brief Communication: Antarctic sea ice loss brings observed trends into agreement with climate models Holmes, Caroline R. Bracegirdle, Thomas J. Holland, Paul R. Stroeve, Julienne Wilkinson, Jeremy 2023-12 electronic https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2881 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00070616 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00068961/egusphere-2023-2881.pdf https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-2881/egusphere-2023-2881.pdf eng eng Copernicus Publications https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2881 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00070616 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00068961/egusphere-2023-2881.pdf https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-2881/egusphere-2023-2881.pdf https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ uneingeschränkt info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess article Verlagsveröffentlichung article Text doc-type:article 2023 ftnonlinearchiv https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2881 2023-12-25T00:22:44Z Most climate models do not reproduce the 1979–2014 increase in Antarctic sea ice cover. This was a contributing factor in successive Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports allocating low confidence to model projections of sea ice over the 21st century. We show that recent rapid declines bring observed sea ice area trends into line with the models. This implies that projections of substantial future Antarctic sea ice loss may be more reliable than previously thought, with substantial implications for the evolution of the Southern Hemisphere climate. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice Niedersächsisches Online-Archiv NOA Antarctic |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Niedersächsisches Online-Archiv NOA |
op_collection_id |
ftnonlinearchiv |
language |
English |
topic |
article Verlagsveröffentlichung |
spellingShingle |
article Verlagsveröffentlichung Holmes, Caroline R. Bracegirdle, Thomas J. Holland, Paul R. Stroeve, Julienne Wilkinson, Jeremy Brief Communication: Antarctic sea ice loss brings observed trends into agreement with climate models |
topic_facet |
article Verlagsveröffentlichung |
description |
Most climate models do not reproduce the 1979–2014 increase in Antarctic sea ice cover. This was a contributing factor in successive Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports allocating low confidence to model projections of sea ice over the 21st century. We show that recent rapid declines bring observed sea ice area trends into line with the models. This implies that projections of substantial future Antarctic sea ice loss may be more reliable than previously thought, with substantial implications for the evolution of the Southern Hemisphere climate. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Holmes, Caroline R. Bracegirdle, Thomas J. Holland, Paul R. Stroeve, Julienne Wilkinson, Jeremy |
author_facet |
Holmes, Caroline R. Bracegirdle, Thomas J. Holland, Paul R. Stroeve, Julienne Wilkinson, Jeremy |
author_sort |
Holmes, Caroline R. |
title |
Brief Communication: Antarctic sea ice loss brings observed trends into agreement with climate models |
title_short |
Brief Communication: Antarctic sea ice loss brings observed trends into agreement with climate models |
title_full |
Brief Communication: Antarctic sea ice loss brings observed trends into agreement with climate models |
title_fullStr |
Brief Communication: Antarctic sea ice loss brings observed trends into agreement with climate models |
title_full_unstemmed |
Brief Communication: Antarctic sea ice loss brings observed trends into agreement with climate models |
title_sort |
brief communication: antarctic sea ice loss brings observed trends into agreement with climate models |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2881 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00070616 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00068961/egusphere-2023-2881.pdf https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-2881/egusphere-2023-2881.pdf |
geographic |
Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2881 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00070616 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00068961/egusphere-2023-2881.pdf https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-2881/egusphere-2023-2881.pdf |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ uneingeschränkt info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2881 |
_version_ |
1788703362190934016 |