Variability of North Atlantic CO2 fluxes for the 2000–2017 period estimated from atmospheric inverse analyses
We present new estimates of the regional North Atlantic (15–80∘ N) CO2 flux for the 2000–2017 period using atmospheric CO2 measurements from the NOAA long-term surface site network in combination with an atmospheric carbon cycle data assimilation system (GEOS-Chem–LETKF, Local Ensemble Transform Kal...
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2021
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ftnonlinearchiv:oai:noa.gwlb.de:cop_mods_00057707 2024-09-15T18:22:03+00:00 Variability of North Atlantic CO2 fluxes for the 2000–2017 period estimated from atmospheric inverse analyses Chen, Zhaohui Suntharalingam, Parvadha Watson, Andrew J. Schuster, Ute Zhu, Jiang Zeng, Ning 2021-08 electronic https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4549-2021 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00057707 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00057357/bg-18-4549-2021.pdf https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/18/4549/2021/bg-18-4549-2021.pdf eng eng Copernicus Publications Biogeosciences -- http://www.bibliothek.uni-regensburg.de/ezeit/?2158181 -- http://www.copernicus.org/EGU/bg/bg.html -- 1726-4189 https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4549-2021 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00057707 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00057357/bg-18-4549-2021.pdf https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/18/4549/2021/bg-18-4549-2021.pdf https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ uneingeschränkt info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess article Verlagsveröffentlichung article Text doc-type:article 2021 ftnonlinearchiv https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4549-2021 2024-06-26T04:38:21Z We present new estimates of the regional North Atlantic (15–80∘ N) CO2 flux for the 2000–2017 period using atmospheric CO2 measurements from the NOAA long-term surface site network in combination with an atmospheric carbon cycle data assimilation system (GEOS-Chem–LETKF, Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter). We assess the sensitivity of flux estimates to alternative ocean CO2 prior flux distributions and to the specification of uncertainties associated with ocean fluxes. We present a new scheme to characterize uncertainty in ocean prior fluxes, derived from a set of eight surface pCO2-based ocean flux products, and which reflects uncertainties associated with measurement density and pCO2-interpolation methods. This scheme provides improved model performance in comparison to fixed prior uncertainty schemes, based on metrics of model–observation differences at the network of surface sites. Long-term average posterior flux estimates for the 2000–2017 period from our GEOS-Chem–LETKF analyses are −0.255 ± 0.037 PgC yr−1 for the subtropical basin (15–50∘ N) and −0.203 ± 0.037 PgC yr−1 for the subpolar region (50–80∘ N, eastern boundary at 20∘ E). Our basin-scale estimates of interannual variability (IAV) are 0.036 ± 0.006 and 0.034 ± 0.009 PgC yr−1 for subtropical and subpolar regions, respectively. We find statistically significant trends in carbon uptake for the subtropical and subpolar North Atlantic of −0.064 ± 0.007 and −0.063 ± 0.008 PgC yr−1 decade−1; these trends are of comparable magnitude to estimates from surface ocean pCO2-based flux products, but they are larger, by a factor of 3–4, than trends estimated from global ocean biogeochemistry models. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic Niedersächsisches Online-Archiv NOA Biogeosciences 18 15 4549 4570 |
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Niedersächsisches Online-Archiv NOA |
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English |
topic |
article Verlagsveröffentlichung |
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article Verlagsveröffentlichung Chen, Zhaohui Suntharalingam, Parvadha Watson, Andrew J. Schuster, Ute Zhu, Jiang Zeng, Ning Variability of North Atlantic CO2 fluxes for the 2000–2017 period estimated from atmospheric inverse analyses |
topic_facet |
article Verlagsveröffentlichung |
description |
We present new estimates of the regional North Atlantic (15–80∘ N) CO2 flux for the 2000–2017 period using atmospheric CO2 measurements from the NOAA long-term surface site network in combination with an atmospheric carbon cycle data assimilation system (GEOS-Chem–LETKF, Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter). We assess the sensitivity of flux estimates to alternative ocean CO2 prior flux distributions and to the specification of uncertainties associated with ocean fluxes. We present a new scheme to characterize uncertainty in ocean prior fluxes, derived from a set of eight surface pCO2-based ocean flux products, and which reflects uncertainties associated with measurement density and pCO2-interpolation methods. This scheme provides improved model performance in comparison to fixed prior uncertainty schemes, based on metrics of model–observation differences at the network of surface sites. Long-term average posterior flux estimates for the 2000–2017 period from our GEOS-Chem–LETKF analyses are −0.255 ± 0.037 PgC yr−1 for the subtropical basin (15–50∘ N) and −0.203 ± 0.037 PgC yr−1 for the subpolar region (50–80∘ N, eastern boundary at 20∘ E). Our basin-scale estimates of interannual variability (IAV) are 0.036 ± 0.006 and 0.034 ± 0.009 PgC yr−1 for subtropical and subpolar regions, respectively. We find statistically significant trends in carbon uptake for the subtropical and subpolar North Atlantic of −0.064 ± 0.007 and −0.063 ± 0.008 PgC yr−1 decade−1; these trends are of comparable magnitude to estimates from surface ocean pCO2-based flux products, but they are larger, by a factor of 3–4, than trends estimated from global ocean biogeochemistry models. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Chen, Zhaohui Suntharalingam, Parvadha Watson, Andrew J. Schuster, Ute Zhu, Jiang Zeng, Ning |
author_facet |
Chen, Zhaohui Suntharalingam, Parvadha Watson, Andrew J. Schuster, Ute Zhu, Jiang Zeng, Ning |
author_sort |
Chen, Zhaohui |
title |
Variability of North Atlantic CO2 fluxes for the 2000–2017 period estimated from atmospheric inverse analyses |
title_short |
Variability of North Atlantic CO2 fluxes for the 2000–2017 period estimated from atmospheric inverse analyses |
title_full |
Variability of North Atlantic CO2 fluxes for the 2000–2017 period estimated from atmospheric inverse analyses |
title_fullStr |
Variability of North Atlantic CO2 fluxes for the 2000–2017 period estimated from atmospheric inverse analyses |
title_full_unstemmed |
Variability of North Atlantic CO2 fluxes for the 2000–2017 period estimated from atmospheric inverse analyses |
title_sort |
variability of north atlantic co2 fluxes for the 2000–2017 period estimated from atmospheric inverse analyses |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4549-2021 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00057707 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00057357/bg-18-4549-2021.pdf https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/18/4549/2021/bg-18-4549-2021.pdf |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_relation |
Biogeosciences -- http://www.bibliothek.uni-regensburg.de/ezeit/?2158181 -- http://www.copernicus.org/EGU/bg/bg.html -- 1726-4189 https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4549-2021 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00057707 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00057357/bg-18-4549-2021.pdf https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/18/4549/2021/bg-18-4549-2021.pdf |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ uneingeschränkt info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4549-2021 |
container_title |
Biogeosciences |
container_volume |
18 |
container_issue |
15 |
container_start_page |
4549 |
op_container_end_page |
4570 |
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1810461351348273152 |