Permafrost degradation risk zone assessment using simulation models
In this proof-of-concept study we focus on linking large scale climate and permafrost simulations to small scale engineering projects by bridging the gap between climate and permafrost sciences on the one hand and on the other technical recommendation for adaptation of planned infrastructures to cli...
Published in: | The Cryosphere |
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Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2011
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ftnonlinearchiv:oai:noa.gwlb.de:cop_mods_00026525 2023-05-15T16:27:25+02:00 Permafrost degradation risk zone assessment using simulation models Daanen, R. P. Ingeman-Nielsen, T. Marchenko, S. S. Romanovsky, V. E. Foged, N. Stendel, M. Christensen, J. H. Hornbech Svendsen, K. 2011-11 electronic https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-1043-2011 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00026525 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00026480/tc-5-1043-2011.pdf https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/5/1043/2011/tc-5-1043-2011.pdf eng eng Copernicus Publications The Cryosphere -- ˜Theœ Cryosphere -- http://www.bibliothek.uni-regensburg.de/ezeit/?2393169 -- http://www.the-cryosphere.net/ -- 1994-0424 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-1043-2011 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00026525 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00026480/tc-5-1043-2011.pdf https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/5/1043/2011/tc-5-1043-2011.pdf uneingeschränkt info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess article Verlagsveröffentlichung article Text doc-type:article 2011 ftnonlinearchiv https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-1043-2011 2022-02-08T22:49:10Z In this proof-of-concept study we focus on linking large scale climate and permafrost simulations to small scale engineering projects by bridging the gap between climate and permafrost sciences on the one hand and on the other technical recommendation for adaptation of planned infrastructures to climate change in a region generally underlain by permafrost. We present the current and future state of permafrost in Greenland as modelled numerically with the GIPL model driven by HIRHAM climate projections up to 2080. We develop a concept called Permafrost Thaw Potential (PTP), defined as the potential active layer increase due to climate warming and surface alterations. PTP is then used in a simple risk assessment procedure useful for engineering applications. The modelling shows that climate warming will result in continuing wide-spread permafrost warming and degradation in Greenland, in agreement with present observations. We provide examples of application of the risk zone assessment approach for the two towns of Sisimiut and Ilulissat, both classified with high PTP. Article in Journal/Newspaper Greenland Ilulissat permafrost Sisimiut The Cryosphere Niedersächsisches Online-Archiv NOA Greenland Ilulissat ENVELOPE(-51.099,-51.099,69.220,69.220) Sisimiut ENVELOPE(-53.674,-53.674,66.939,66.939) The Cryosphere 5 4 1043 1056 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Niedersächsisches Online-Archiv NOA |
op_collection_id |
ftnonlinearchiv |
language |
English |
topic |
article Verlagsveröffentlichung |
spellingShingle |
article Verlagsveröffentlichung Daanen, R. P. Ingeman-Nielsen, T. Marchenko, S. S. Romanovsky, V. E. Foged, N. Stendel, M. Christensen, J. H. Hornbech Svendsen, K. Permafrost degradation risk zone assessment using simulation models |
topic_facet |
article Verlagsveröffentlichung |
description |
In this proof-of-concept study we focus on linking large scale climate and permafrost simulations to small scale engineering projects by bridging the gap between climate and permafrost sciences on the one hand and on the other technical recommendation for adaptation of planned infrastructures to climate change in a region generally underlain by permafrost. We present the current and future state of permafrost in Greenland as modelled numerically with the GIPL model driven by HIRHAM climate projections up to 2080. We develop a concept called Permafrost Thaw Potential (PTP), defined as the potential active layer increase due to climate warming and surface alterations. PTP is then used in a simple risk assessment procedure useful for engineering applications. The modelling shows that climate warming will result in continuing wide-spread permafrost warming and degradation in Greenland, in agreement with present observations. We provide examples of application of the risk zone assessment approach for the two towns of Sisimiut and Ilulissat, both classified with high PTP. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Daanen, R. P. Ingeman-Nielsen, T. Marchenko, S. S. Romanovsky, V. E. Foged, N. Stendel, M. Christensen, J. H. Hornbech Svendsen, K. |
author_facet |
Daanen, R. P. Ingeman-Nielsen, T. Marchenko, S. S. Romanovsky, V. E. Foged, N. Stendel, M. Christensen, J. H. Hornbech Svendsen, K. |
author_sort |
Daanen, R. P. |
title |
Permafrost degradation risk zone assessment using simulation models |
title_short |
Permafrost degradation risk zone assessment using simulation models |
title_full |
Permafrost degradation risk zone assessment using simulation models |
title_fullStr |
Permafrost degradation risk zone assessment using simulation models |
title_full_unstemmed |
Permafrost degradation risk zone assessment using simulation models |
title_sort |
permafrost degradation risk zone assessment using simulation models |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2011 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-1043-2011 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00026525 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00026480/tc-5-1043-2011.pdf https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/5/1043/2011/tc-5-1043-2011.pdf |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-51.099,-51.099,69.220,69.220) ENVELOPE(-53.674,-53.674,66.939,66.939) |
geographic |
Greenland Ilulissat Sisimiut |
geographic_facet |
Greenland Ilulissat Sisimiut |
genre |
Greenland Ilulissat permafrost Sisimiut The Cryosphere |
genre_facet |
Greenland Ilulissat permafrost Sisimiut The Cryosphere |
op_relation |
The Cryosphere -- ˜Theœ Cryosphere -- http://www.bibliothek.uni-regensburg.de/ezeit/?2393169 -- http://www.the-cryosphere.net/ -- 1994-0424 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-1043-2011 https://noa.gwlb.de/receive/cop_mods_00026525 https://noa.gwlb.de/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/cop_derivate_00026480/tc-5-1043-2011.pdf https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/5/1043/2011/tc-5-1043-2011.pdf |
op_rights |
uneingeschränkt info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-1043-2011 |
container_title |
The Cryosphere |
container_volume |
5 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
1043 |
op_container_end_page |
1056 |
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1766016595855933440 |